Result
1:1
17/08/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 2
- Referee: Pereira C. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.98 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (371/438) | 71% (171/240) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.81 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (371/438) | 71% (171/240) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (19/44) | 40% (23/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (58/74) | 59% (52/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 19% (5/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.04 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 2.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | 1.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Clayton ⚽, Andre Luiz (A),
- 33', Matheus Dias 🟨,
- 33', Andre Luiz 🟨,
- 36', Ulisses 🟨,
- 39', Ulisses 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Matheus Dias ↓, Pablo Ruan ↑,
- 46', Witi ↓, Leo Santos ↑,
- 63', Aguilera Zamora B. ↓, Novais J. ↑,
- 63', Pohlmann O. ↓, Papakanellos A. ↑,
- 73', Novais J. 🟨,
- 74', Andre Luiz ↓, Gual M. ↑,
- 78', Liziero ↓, Silva J. ↑,
- 78', Labidi C. ↓, Soares F. ↑,
- 79', Soares F. 🟨,
- 81', Abbey N. ↓, Petrasso F. ↑,
- 81', Athanasiou N. ↓, Liavas G. ↑,
- 82', Paulinho Boia ↓, Watts ↑,
- 83', 1 - 1, Ramirez J. ⚽, Jose Gomes (A),
Chances of winning
Rio Ave
42.4% | Draw
29.3% | Nacional
28.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rio Ave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
Rio Ave - Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↓
(2.41) |
3.21 ↓
(3.28) |
3.34 ↑
(3.03) |
6.1%
(5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Rio Ave - Nacional?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Rio Ave will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Nacional will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rio Ave: 35.4% – 82.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Rio Ave (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 3.
- Rio Ave may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Rio Ave is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Nacional: Baeza M.
(Muscle Injury)
Deivison
(Inactive)
Fernandes I.
(Inactive)
Joao L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Nacional: Nourani M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rio Ave won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:10. (average 1.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Ave won against Nacional?
Rio Ave has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Rio Ave?
Nacional has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rio Ave - Nacional were as follows:
10.05.2025
Nacional
-
Rio Ave
3:3
29.12.2024
Rio Ave
-
Nacional
2:1
Latest results of Rio Ave
Latest results of Nacional
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 8 | 6 |
| 2 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
| 3 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Famalicao | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Arouca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Nacional | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Tondela | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | AFS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
