Result
3:3
10/05/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 33
- Referee: Costa B. J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 7 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (289/366) | 77% (232/303) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 2.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (289/366) | 77% (232/303) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (23/52) | 37% (21/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (67/114) | 62% (58/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (17/23) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.18 | 2.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.94 | 0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 3', 0 - 1, Tiknaz D. E. ⚽,
- 18', Tiknaz D. E. 🟨,
- 28', 0 - 2, Bakoulas T. ⚽,
- 43', 0 - 3, Tiknaz D. E. ⚽, Tome J. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Tiknaz D. E. ↓, Novais J. ↑,
- 46', Labidi C. ↓, Sousa A. ↑,
- 46', Yamada F. ↓, Macedo R. ↑,
- 46', Daniel Penha ↓, Esteves L. ↑,
- 46', Soumare D. ↓, Matheus Dias ↑,
- 46', 1 - 3, Sousa A. ⚽, Aurelio J. (A),
- 57', Kostoulas K. 🟨,
- 64', Kiko Bondoso ↓, Pohlmann O. ↑,
- 64', Bakoulas T. ↓, Graca J. ↑,
- 71', Joel ↓, Isaac ↑,
- 72', Lucas Franca 🟨,
- 80', Clayton 🟨,
- 88', Joao Pedro ↓, Karseladze J. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 3, Leo Santos ⚽, Esteves L. (A),
- 90+1', Pohlmann O. 🟨,
- 90+4', 3 - 3, Kostoulas K. (Own goal),
- 90+5', Neto M. ↓, Petrasso F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nacional
47.5% | Draw
25.4% | Rio Ave
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Rio Ave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Nacional - Rio Ave Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↑
(1.9) |
3.71 ↑
(3.53) |
3.48 ↓
(4.07) |
5.7%
(5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Nacional - Rio Ave?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Rio Ave will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 23.8% – 76.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 1.
- Nacional is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Rio Ave has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Nacional will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Nacional: Baeza M.
(Muscle Injury)
Fernandes I.
(Inactive)
Goncalves C.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Rio Ave: Abbey N.
(Inactive)
Petrasso F.
(Muscle Injury)
Vrousai M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Nacional: Sousa D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Rio Ave: Aguilera Zamora B.
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:20. (average 1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 0.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Rio Ave?
Nacional has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Ave won against Nacional?
Rio Ave has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional - Rio Ave were as follows:
29.12.2024
Rio Ave
-
Nacional
2:1
Latest results of Nacional
Latest results of Rio Ave
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estrela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Estoril | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Santa Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | FC Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Sporting CP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Arouca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Tondela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Alverca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Famalicao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | AFS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
