Result
25/01/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Nacional
42.4% | Draw
28.5% | Rio Ave
29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Nacional - Rio Ave Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(2.14) |
3.3 ↓
(3.43) |
3.21 ↓
(3.33) |
6.3%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nacional - Rio Ave?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 1.
- Recent performances by Nacional have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Rio Ave is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Rio Ave may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Nacional might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:24. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Rio Ave?
Nacional has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Ave won against Nacional?
Rio Ave has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional - Rio Ave were as follows:
17.08.2025
Rio Ave
-
Nacional
1:1
10.05.2025
Nacional
-
Rio Ave
3:3
29.12.2024
Rio Ave
-
Nacional
2:1
Latest results of Nacional
Latest results of Rio Ave
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 18 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 37:4 | 33 | 52 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 50:9 | 41 | 45 |
| 3 | Benfica | 18 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 38:11 | 27 | 42 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 24:13 | 11 | 31 |
| 5 | Braga | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 32:18 | 14 | 30 |
| 6 | Moreirense | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25:26 | -1 | 27 |
| 7 | Famalicao | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 21:14 | 7 | 26 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 25 |
| 9 | Estoril | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 33:29 | 4 | 23 |
| 10 | Alverca | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 19:28 | -9 | 23 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 22:31 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 | Estrela | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23:32 | -9 | 19 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
| 14 | Nacional | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 22:28 | -6 | 17 |
| 15 | Arouca | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19:42 | -23 | 17 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17:35 | -18 | 14 |
| 17 | Tondela | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12:30 | -18 | 12 |
| 18 | AFS | 18 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11:44 | -33 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
