Result
1:1
18/04/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 30
- Referee: Guelho S. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Brazil | Disney+ |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 9 |
Israel | Sport 3 |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Romania | AntenaPLAY |
South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1 |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Inter |
World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (282/351) | 82% (298/365) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 0% (0/1) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (282/351) | 82% (298/365) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (16/45) | 42% (23/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (72/115) | 61% (62/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.45 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 51 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 34 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | -0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', Kostoulas K. 🟨,
- 8', Ramos G. 🟨,
- 25', 1 - 0, Andre Luiz ⚽, Graca J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Vinicius Lopes ↓, Ricardinho ↑,
- 60', Ferreira P. ↓, Serginho ↑,
- 60', Lucas Soares ↓, Diogo Calila ↑,
- 61', Costa J. ↓, Wendell ↑,
- 70', Ntoi A. 🟨,
- 73', Novais J. ↓, Vrousai M. ↑,
- 73', Graca J. ↓, Pohlmann O. ↑,
- 76', Ramos G. ↓, Matheusinho ↑,
- 81', Aguilera Zamora B. ↓, Neto M. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 1, Sidney Lima ⚽, Gabriel Silva (A),
- 89', Matheusinho 🟨,
- 89', Andre Luiz ↓, Zoabi K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Rio Ave 25.2% | Draw 29.9% | Santa Clara 44.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Rio Ave - Santa Clara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.7 ↑ (3.27) |
3.16 ↑ (3.1) |
2.14 ↓ (2.3) |
5.5% (6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Rio Ave - Santa Clara?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Rio Ave will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Santa Clara will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Clara: 28.1% – 78.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Santa Clara will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Neutral location - Estádio da Capital do Móvel.
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 6).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Rio Ave won 2.
- Rio Ave is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Santa Clara is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Santa Clara will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Rio Ave: Kiko Bondoso
(Inactive)
Panzo J.
(Yellow Cards)
Petrasso F.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Santa Clara: Pacheco P.
(Knee Injury)
Rocha L.
(Red Card)
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Rio Ave won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 16:18 (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Rio Ave won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:13 (average 1.1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Ave won against Santa Clara?
Rio Ave has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Clara won against Rio Ave?
Santa Clara has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rio Ave - Santa Clara were as follows:
07.12.2024
Santa Clara
-
Rio Ave
1:0
27.07.2024
Rio Ave
-
Santa Clara
1:2
17.03.2023
Santa Clara
-
Rio Ave
0:2
02.10.2022
Rio Ave
-
Santa Clara
1:0
Latest results of Rio Ave
Latest results of Santa Clara
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20:5 | 15 | 19 |
| 3 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:4 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | Benfica | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Braga | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Nacional | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 | Arouca | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Estrela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Estoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Tondela | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:14 | -10 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:20 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2