Result
0:2
11/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 29
- Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Usa | Fubo Latino |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.26 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (304/399) | 76% (256/339) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (304/399) | 76% (256/339) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (27/58) | 44% (31/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (85/130) | 57% (50/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.40 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 32 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (16/20) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.43 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 39', Brabec J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Welinton Torrao ↓, Vinicius Lopes ↑,
- 50', 0 - 1, Nikitscher T. ⚽, Vrousai M. (A),
- 57', Gustavo Klismahn ↓, Brenner ↑,
- 57', Fernando ↓, Paciencia G. ↑,
- 61', 0 - 2, Lima S. (Own goal),
- 63', Gustavo Mancha 🟨,
- 69', Lucas Soares ↓, Diogo Calila ↑,
- 70', Nikitscher T. 🟨,
- 75', Gabriel Silva 🟨,
- 76', Pohlmann O. ↓, Ryan Guilherme ↑,
- 81', Ferreira P. ↓, Tavares J. ↑,
- 86', Monteiro T. ↓, Papakanellos A. ↑,
- 86', Spikic D. ↓, Petrasso F. ↑,
- 87', Silva H. 🟨,
- 90+2', Vrousai M. ↓, Tome J. ↑,
- 90+2', Diogo Bezerra ↓, Liavas G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Santa Clara 54.7% | Draw 26.5% | Rio Ave 18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Santa Clara - Rio Ave Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.74 ↓ (1.85) |
3.56 ↑ (3.37) |
5.08 ↑ (4.66) |
5.3% (5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Santa Clara - Rio Ave?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Santa Clara will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Rio Ave will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Clara: 29% – 96%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Santa Clara (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.5 - Rio Ave (4.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Santa Clara (votes: 1 - 50%). Rio Ave (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 2.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Santa Clara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Santa Clara is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Rio Ave: Aguilera Zamora B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Santa Clara: MT
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Rio Ave: Nikitscher T.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santa Clara won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Clara won against Rio Ave?
Santa Clara has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Ave won against Santa Clara?
Rio Ave has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Clara - Rio Ave were as follows:
30.11.2025
Rio Ave
-
Santa Clara
1:1
18.04.2025
Rio Ave
-
Santa Clara
1:1
07.12.2024
Santa Clara
-
Rio Ave
1:0
27.07.2024
Rio Ave
-
Santa Clara
1:2
17.03.2023
Santa Clara
-
Rio Ave
0:2
Latest results of Santa Clara
Latest results of Rio Ave
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 59:14 | 45 | 76 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 28 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 73:17 | 56 | 71 |
| 3 | Benfica | 29 | 20 | 9 | 0 | 61:18 | 43 | 69 |
| 4 | Braga | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 55:27 | 28 | 52 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 36:25 | 11 | 47 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 42:28 | 14 | 45 |
| 7 | Estoril | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 51:50 | 1 | 37 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 36 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 32:41 | -9 | 36 |
| 10 | Alverca | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 32:47 | -15 | 35 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 31:48 | -17 | 33 |
| 12 | Arouca | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 37:58 | -21 | 32 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 26:37 | -11 | 28 |
| 14 | Estrela | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 33:48 | -15 | 28 |
| 15 | Nacional | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 31:41 | -10 | 25 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 28:52 | -24 | 25 |
| 17 | Tondela | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 19:44 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 | AFS | 29 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 19:62 | -43 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2