Rio Ave vs Santa Clara – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/04/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estádio da Capital do Móvel (Paços de Ferreira).

Liga Portugal - Round 30
Referee: Guelho S. (Por)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9
Israel	Sport 3
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	AntenaPLAY
South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.46	1.64
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
8	17
Shots on target
3	5
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
6	4
Passes
80% (282/351)	82% (298/365)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.46	1.64
xG on target (xGOT)
0.52	0.73
Total shots
8	17
Shots on target
3	5
Shots off target
4	10
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
3	9
Shots outside the Box
5	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
6	4
Touches in opposition box
10	15
Through passes
0% (0/1)	0% (0/1)
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
14	15
Passes
80% (282/351)	82% (298/365)
Long passes
36% (16/45)	42% (23/55)
Passes in final third
63% (72/115)	61% (62/101)
Crosses
24% (5/21)	25% (5/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.34	0.45
Fouls
15	14
Tackles
62% (8/13)	73% (11/15)
Duels won
51	51
Clearances Total
34	15
Interceptions
6	8
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2
xGOT faced
0.73	0.52
Goals prevented
-0.27	-0.48

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Kostoulas K. 🟨,
8', Ramos G. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Andre Luiz ⚽, Graca J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Vinicius Lopes ↓, Ricardinho ↑,
60', Ferreira P. ↓, Serginho ↑,
60', Lucas Soares ↓, Diogo Calila ↑,
61', Costa J. ↓, Wendell ↑,
70', Ntoi A. 🟨,
73', Novais J. ↓, Vrousai M. ↑,
73', Graca J. ↓, Pohlmann O. ↑,
76', Ramos G. ↓, Matheusinho ↑,
81', Aguilera Zamora B. ↓, Neto M. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Sidney Lima ⚽, Gabriel Silva (A),
89', Matheusinho 🟨,
89', Andre Luiz ↓, Zoabi K. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Rio Ave
25.2%

Draw
29.9%

Santa Clara
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

30.3%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

29.4%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Rio Ave - Santa Clara Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↑ (3.27)	3.16 ↑ (3.1)	2.14 ↓ (2.3)	5.5% (6.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Rio Ave - Santa Clara?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Rio Ave will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Santa Clara will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Clara: 28.1% – 78.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Santa Clara will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Neutral location - Estádio da Capital do Móvel.
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 6).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Rio Ave won 2.
Rio Ave is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Santa Clara is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Santa Clara will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Rio Ave: Kiko Bondoso (Inactive) Panzo J. (Yellow Cards) Petrasso F. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Santa Clara: Pacheco P. (Knee Injury) Rocha L. (Red Card)
Last 14 head-to-head matches Rio Ave won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 16:18 (average 1.1:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Rio Ave won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:13 (average 1.1:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Rio Ave won against Santa Clara?

Rio Ave has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Santa Clara won against Rio Ave?

Santa Clara has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Rio Ave - Santa Clara were as follows:

07.12.2024 Santa Clara - Rio Ave 1:0

27.07.2024 Rio Ave - Santa Clara 1:2

17.03.2023 Santa Clara - Rio Ave 0:2

02.10.2022 Rio Ave - Santa Clara 1:0

Latest results of Rio Ave

13.04.2025 Moreirense - Rio Ave 0:2 ✺

07.04.2025 Rio Ave - Boavista 0:2 ✺

03.04.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Rio Ave 2:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Casa Pia - Rio Ave 2:1 ✺

10.03.2025 Famalicão - Rio Ave 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Santa Clara

12.04.2025 Santa Clara - Sporting Lisbon 0:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - Santa Clara 2:0 ✺

30.03.2025 Santa Clara - Nacional 1:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Gil Vicente - Santa Clara 0:1 ✺

09.03.2025 Santa Clara - Moreirense 1:1 ✺

Liga Portugal Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Estrela	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Vitoria Guimaraes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Estoril	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Gil Vicente	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Rio Ave	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Santa Clara	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Moreirense	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	FC Porto	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Sporting CP	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Benfica	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Braga	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Nacional	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Arouca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Casa Pia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Tondela	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Alverca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Famalicao	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	AFS	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

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