Result
1:1
30/11/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 12
- Referee: Torres M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 1.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (376/447) | 80% (251/314) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (376/447) | 80% (251/314) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (10/33) | 56% (29/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (44/71) | 63% (55/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 5% (1/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.14 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.21 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', Clayton (Pen),
- 19', Serginho 🟨,
- 23', Paulo Victor 🟨,
- 24', 1 - 0, Clayton ⚽, Pohlmann O. (A),
- 38', 1 - 1, Serginho (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 69', Ntoi A. 🟨,
- 71', Pohlmann O. ↓, Spikic D. ↑,
- 72', Brenner 🟨,
- 76', Paulo Victor ↓, MT ↑,
- 80', Ntoi A. ↓, Papakanellos A. ↑,
- 80', Brenner ↓, Luquinhas ↑,
- 81', Athanasiou N. ↓, Liavas G. ↑,
- 89', Andre Luiz ↓, Gual M. ↑,
- 89', Serginho ↓, Diogo Calila ↑,
- 89', Adriano Firmino ↓, Tavares J. ↑,
- 89', Wendell ↓, Costa J. ↑,
- 90+3', Petrasso F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rio Ave
31.6% | Draw
31.1% | Santa Clara
37.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rio Ave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Santa Clara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)The ML Model estimate for Rio Ave aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Rio Ave - Santa Clara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.03 ↓
(3.25) |
3.07 ↓
(3.08) |
2.54 ↑
(2.31) |
5%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Rio Ave - Santa Clara?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Rio Ave will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Santa Clara will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Clara: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Santa Clara (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Santa Clara (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Santa Clara (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 14)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Santa Clara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Rio Ave: Bakoulas T.
(Knee Injury)
Rafael Lobato
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Santa Clara: Pacheco P.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Rio Ave: Richards O.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:19. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rio Ave won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Ave won against Santa Clara?
Rio Ave has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Clara won against Rio Ave?
Santa Clara has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rio Ave - Santa Clara were as follows:
18.04.2025
Rio Ave
-
Santa Clara
1:1
07.12.2024
Santa Clara
-
Rio Ave
1:0
27.07.2024
Rio Ave
-
Santa Clara
1:2
17.03.2023
Santa Clara
-
Rio Ave
0:2
02.10.2022
Rio Ave
-
Santa Clara
1:0
Latest results of Rio Ave
Latest results of Santa Clara
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 47:8 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 62:12 | 50 | 61 |
| 3 | Benfica | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 51:14 | 37 | 58 |
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 50:23 | 27 | 45 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 36 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Estoril | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Arouca | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32:52 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | Nacional | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:31 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Tondela | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 19:38 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 | AFS | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
