Rio Grande Valley vs Miami – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
10/06/2023 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP
  • Referee: Garcia E. (Usa)

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Rio Grande Valley
47.1%
Draw
27.7%
Miami
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.7% 26.9% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3% 25.5% 30%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rio Grande Valley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Grande Valley than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Rio Grande Valley - Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (2.04)
    3.3
    (3.38)
    3.62
    (3.21)
    9.5%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 and 11).
    • Rio Grande Valley has the most likely position - 12 (34.94%), project points - 34, currently - 11, a small chance of playoffs (14%), a very small chance of qtrs (4%), a very small chance of semis (2%), a very small chance of final (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Miami has the most likely position - 9 (13.9%), project points - 39, currently - 12, a good chance of playoffs (54%), a chance of qtrs (19%), a small chance of semis (7%), a very small chance of final (3%), a very small chance of win league (1%).
    • This event has small quality 12, small importance 18, small match rating 15. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • The competitors look crappy now.
    • Rio Grande Valley will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Rio Grande Valley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.
    Latest results of Miami
    03.06.2023 Memphis 901 - Miami 5:1
    27.05.2023 Miami - Orange County SC 0:0
    20.05.2023 Miami - San Diego Loyal 2:3
    13.05.2023 Louisville City - Miami 3:1
    03.05.2023 Miami - Birmingham Legion 3:1
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City330010:469
    2Hartford Athletic32105:147
    3Tampa Bay22004:046
    4Charleston22005:326
    5Detroit21014:223
    6Indy Eleven21012:203
    7Pittsburgh31024:7-33
    8Brooklyn31022:5-33
    9Loudoun20112:3-11
    10Rhode Island20113:5-21
    11Birmingham30122:4-21
    12Miami FC20111:4-31
    13Sporting Jax20111:4-31


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Oakland Roots32105:327
    2San Antonio32103:127
    3Sacramento Republic31203:125
    4Orange County SC31203:215
    5El Paso21105:234
    6Colorado Springs31115:504
    7FC Tulsa31113:4-14
    8Phoenix Rising30214:5-12
    9Lexington20111:2-11
    10Las Vegas Lights30125:7-21
    11Monterey Bay30121:5-41
    12New Mexico20021:3-20

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)