Rio Grande Valley vs Miami – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
10/06/2023 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP
  • Referee: Garcia E. (Usa)

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Rio Grande Valley
47.1%
Draw
27.7%
Miami
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.7% 26.9% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3% 25.5% 30%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rio Grande Valley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Grande Valley than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Rio Grande Valley - Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (2.04)
    3.3
    (3.38)
    3.62
    (3.21)
    9.5%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 and 11).
    • Rio Grande Valley has the most likely position - 12 (34.94%), project points - 34, currently - 11, a small chance of playoffs (14%), a very small chance of qtrs (4%), a very small chance of semis (2%), a very small chance of final (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Miami has the most likely position - 9 (13.9%), project points - 39, currently - 12, a good chance of playoffs (54%), a chance of qtrs (19%), a small chance of semis (7%), a very small chance of final (3%), a very small chance of win league (1%).
    • This event has small quality 12, small importance 18, small match rating 15. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • The competitors look crappy now.
    • Rio Grande Valley will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Rio Grande Valley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.
    Latest results of Miami
    03.06.2023 Memphis 901 - Miami 5:1
    27.05.2023 Miami - Orange County SC 0:0
    20.05.2023 Miami - San Diego Loyal 2:3
    13.05.2023 Louisville City - Miami 3:1
    03.05.2023 Miami - Birmingham Legion 3:1
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tampa Bay752012:4817
    2Louisville City851216:11516
    3Detroit74129:5413
    4Charleston841312:12013
    5Miami FC833210:12-212
    6Pittsburgh831410:13-310
    7Hartford Athletic72417:7010
    8Indy Eleven723210:919
    9Birmingham723210:919
    10Rhode Island722312:1118
    11Brooklyn82158:13-57
    12Loudoun705210:13-35
    13Sporting Jax80175:18-131


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Antonio944111:8316
    2Orange County SC94329:6315
    3El Paso741217:12513
    4Sacramento Republic834111:7413
    5Oakland Roots834114:11313
    6Phoenix Rising833212:8412
    7FC Tulsa833211:9212
    8Colorado Springs723215:1329
    9Las Vegas Lights822413:16-38
    10New Mexico52035:8-36
    11Lexington81347:10-36
    12Monterey Bay80264:15-112

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)