Result
29/04/2023 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Monterey Bay
42.1% | Draw
26.6% | Rio Grande Valley
31.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monterey Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Rio Grande Valley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Grande Valley than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Monterey Bay - Rio Grande Valley Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↓
(2.3) |
3.45 ↑
(3.4) |
2.93 ↑
(2.6) |
9%
(11.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
- Monterey Bay has the most likely position - 11 (14.98%), project points - 41, currently - 11, a chance of playoffs (45%), a small chance of qtrs (14%), a very small chance of semis (5%), a very small chance of final (2%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Rio Grande Valley has the most likely position - 12 (25.24%), project points - 37, currently - 6, a chance of playoffs (28%), a small chance of qtrs (9%), a very small chance of semis (3%), a very small chance of final (1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has small quality 11, small importance 22, small match rating 17. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Monterey Bay is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Rio Grande Valley is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Monterey Bay won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.
- Including matches at home between the teams Monterey Bay won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Monterey Bay won against Rio Grande Valley?
Monterey Bay has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Grande Valley won against Monterey Bay?
Rio Grande Valley has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monterey Bay - Rio Grande Valley were as follows:
24.03.2023
Rio Grande Valley
-
Monterey Bay
1:1
15.10.2022
Rio Grande Valley
-
Monterey Bay
4:1
Latest results of Monterey Bay
Latest results of Rio Grande Valley
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 42:17 | 25 | 48 |
| 2 | Charleston | 21 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 45:22 | 23 | 47 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31:27 | 4 | 33 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 32:33 | -1 | 31 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 20:19 | 1 | 28 |
| 6 | Detroit | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 28 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29:23 | 6 | 26 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 32:37 | -5 | 23 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15:23 | -8 | 21 |
| 10 | Miami FC | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 21:34 | -13 | 20 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24:33 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 | Tampa Bay | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 22:31 | -9 | 18 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37:23 | 14 | 42 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29:17 | 12 | 31 |
| 3 | El Paso | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33:27 | 6 | 31 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 25:26 | -1 | 29 |
| 5 | Phoenix Rising | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 28 |
| 6 | Lexington | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 28 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 27 |
| 8 | New Mexico | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 27 |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 24 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 23:29 | -6 | 24 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 24:32 | -8 | 21 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17:39 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
