Result
29/04/2023 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Monterey Bay
42.1% | Draw
26.6% | Rio Grande Valley
31.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monterey Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Rio Grande Valley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Grande Valley than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Monterey Bay - Rio Grande Valley Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↓
(2.3) |
3.43 ↑
(3.4) |
2.93 ↑
(2.6) |
9%
(11.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
- Monterey Bay has the most likely position - 11 (14.98%), project points - 41, currently - 11, a chance of playoffs (45%), a small chance of qtrs (14%), a very small chance of semis (5%), a very small chance of final (2%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Rio Grande Valley has the most likely position - 12 (25.24%), project points - 37, currently - 6, a chance of playoffs (28%), a small chance of qtrs (9%), a very small chance of semis (3%), a very small chance of final (1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has small quality 11, small importance 22, small match rating 17. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Monterey Bay is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Rio Grande Valley is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Monterey Bay won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.
- Including matches at home between the teams Monterey Bay won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Monterey Bay won against Rio Grande Valley?
Monterey Bay has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Grande Valley won against Monterey Bay?
Rio Grande Valley has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monterey Bay - Rio Grande Valley were as follows:
24.03.2023
Rio Grande Valley
-
Monterey Bay
1:1
15.10.2022
Rio Grande Valley
-
Monterey Bay
4:1
Latest results of Monterey Bay
Latest results of Rio Grande Valley
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 28 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 55:19 | 36 | 69 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:29 | 25 | 55 |
| 3 | Hartford Athletic | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 46:32 | 14 | 44 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 44:45 | -1 | 42 |
| 5 | North Carolina ✔ | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 39:39 | 0 | 41 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 40 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 28:27 | 1 | 37 |
| 8 | Detroit | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 31:33 | -2 | 35 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 41:49 | -8 | 32 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 39:47 | -8 | 30 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 25:42 | -17 | 24 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 46:29 | 17 | 53 |
| 2 | New Mexico ✔ | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 40:37 | 3 | 44 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic ✔ | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 41:24 | 17 | 44 |
| 4 | El Paso | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 44:39 | 5 | 40 |
| 5 | San Antonio | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 34:34 | 0 | 37 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 47:48 | -1 | 36 |
| 7 | Lexington | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:37 | -8 | 35 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 34 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 41:44 | -3 | 32 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 36:49 | -13 | 28 |
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 28 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 22:48 | -26 | 26 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
