Result
29/04/2023 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Monterey Bay
42.1% | Draw
26.6% | Rio Grande Valley
31.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monterey Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Rio Grande Valley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Grande Valley than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Monterey Bay - Rio Grande Valley Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↓
(2.3) |
3.45 ↑
(3.4) |
2.93 ↑
(2.6) |
9%
(11.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
- Monterey Bay has the most likely position - 11 (14.98%), project points - 41, currently - 11, a chance of playoffs (45%), a small chance of qtrs (14%), a very small chance of semis (5%), a very small chance of final (2%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Rio Grande Valley has the most likely position - 12 (25.24%), project points - 37, currently - 6, a chance of playoffs (28%), a small chance of qtrs (9%), a very small chance of semis (3%), a very small chance of final (1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has small quality 11, small importance 22, small match rating 17. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Monterey Bay is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Rio Grande Valley is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Monterey Bay won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.
- Including matches at home between the teams Monterey Bay won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Monterey Bay won against Rio Grande Valley?
Monterey Bay has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Grande Valley won against Monterey Bay?
Rio Grande Valley has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monterey Bay - Rio Grande Valley were as follows:
24.03.2023
Rio Grande Valley
-
Monterey Bay
1:1
15.10.2022
Rio Grande Valley
-
Monterey Bay
4:1
Latest results of Monterey Bay
Latest results of Rio Grande Valley
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Charleston | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 38:16 | 22 | 41 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 34:14 | 20 | 41 |
| 3 | Loudoun | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 28:27 | 1 | 27 |
| 4 | North Carolina | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 17:15 | 2 | 26 |
| 6 | Detroit | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:22 | -2 | 21 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 27:31 | -4 | 20 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 19 |
| 9 | Birmingham | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 22:28 | -6 | 19 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20:26 | -6 | 17 |
| 11 | Rhode Island | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
| 12 | Hartford Athletic | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 16 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 27:18 | 9 | 32 |
| 2 | San Antonio | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 27 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 25:13 | 12 | 27 |
| 4 | El Paso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 26 |
| 5 | New Mexico | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 25 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 30:33 | -3 | 24 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 26:23 | 3 | 23 |
| 8 | Monterey Bay | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 21 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 20 |
| 11 | Lexington | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 13:34 | -21 | 18 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
