Monterey Bay vs Rio Grande Valley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/04/2023 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Monterey Bay
42.1%
Draw
26.6%
Rio Grande Valley
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 26.4% 34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5% 25.4% 33.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monterey Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Rio Grande Valley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Grande Valley than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Monterey Bay - Rio Grande Valley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2.3)
    3.45
    (3.4)
    2.93
    (2.6)
    9%
    (11.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
    • Monterey Bay has the most likely position - 11 (14.98%), project points - 41, currently - 11, a chance of playoffs (45%), a small chance of qtrs (14%), a very small chance of semis (5%), a very small chance of final (2%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Rio Grande Valley has the most likely position - 12 (25.24%), project points - 37, currently - 6, a chance of playoffs (28%), a small chance of qtrs (9%), a very small chance of semis (3%), a very small chance of final (1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has small quality 11, small importance 22, small match rating 17. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Monterey Bay is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Rio Grande Valley is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Monterey Bay won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Monterey Bay won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monterey Bay - Rio Grande Valley were as follows:
    24.03.2023 Rio Grande Valley - Monterey Bay 1:1
    15.10.2022 Rio Grande Valley - Monterey Bay 4:1
    Latest results of Monterey Bay
    Latest results of Rio Grande Valley
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tampa Bay752012:4817
    2Louisville City851216:11516
    3Detroit74129:5413
    4Charleston841312:12013
    5Miami FC833210:12-212
    6Pittsburgh831410:13-310
    7Hartford Athletic72417:7010
    8Indy Eleven723210:919
    9Birmingham723210:919
    10Rhode Island722312:1118
    11Brooklyn82158:13-57
    12Loudoun705210:13-35
    13Sporting Jax80175:18-131


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Antonio944111:8316
    2Orange County SC94329:6315
    3El Paso741217:12513
    4Sacramento Republic834111:7413
    5Oakland Roots834114:11313
    6Phoenix Rising833212:8412
    7FC Tulsa833211:9212
    8Colorado Springs723215:1329
    9Las Vegas Lights822413:16-38
    10New Mexico52035:8-36
    11Lexington81347:10-36
    12Monterey Bay80264:15-112

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)