Result
2:0
15/03/2026 at 18:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 Bolivia | ESPN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Ecuador | ESPN |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Paraguay | ESPN |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 World | Onefootball, TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.25 | 0.08 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 78% | 22% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 34 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (605/680) | 57% (105/185) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.25 | 0.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.09 | 0.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 34 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 17 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 17 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (605/680) | 57% (105/185) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 68% (36/53) | 34% (21/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (146/187) | 39% (18/46) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 20% (1/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.37 | 0.08 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 1 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.02 | 3.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | 1.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', Diaz G. 🟨,
- 26', Martinez Quarta L. 🟨,
- 34', Seyral A. 🟨,
- 39', Diaz G. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 0, Driussi S. ⚽,
- 45+2', Zabala C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Paez K. ↓, Freitas J. ↑,
- 60', Marabel J. ↓, Diego Churin ↑,
- 61', Galvan T. ↓, Quintero J. ↑,
- 67', Santamaria T. ↓, Cabrera J. M. ↑,
- 67', Contrera J. ↓, Salle S. ↑,
- 67', Villalba C. ↓, Arismendi Y. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 0, Subiabre I. ⚽, Moreno A. (A),
- 72', Moreno A. ↓, Castano K. ↑,
- 73', Garcia M. 🟨,
- 81', Driussi S. ↓, Salas M. ↑,
- 81', Martinez Quarta L. ↓, Diaz P. ↑,
- 88', Zabala C. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
Chances of winning
River Plate
64.2% | Draw
23.8% | Sarmiento de Junín
12% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
River Plate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that River Plate's form might have worsened.Sarmiento de Junín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for River Plate, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
River Plate - Sarmiento de Junín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↑
(1.36) |
3.97 ↓
(4.65) |
7.68 ↓
(9.13) |
6.3%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for River Plate - Sarmiento de Junín?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. River Plate will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - River Plate (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): River Plate will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. River Plate (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 2.
- River Plate is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sarmiento is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sarmiento may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, River Plate is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 2:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, River Plate won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has River Plate won against Sarmiento de Junín?
River Plate has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sarmiento de Junín won against River Plate?
Sarmiento de Junín has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate - Sarmiento de Junín were as follows:
12.10.2025
River Plate
-
Sarmiento de Junín
0:1
05.04.2025
Sarmiento de Junín
-
River Plate
1:1
28.07.2024
River Plate
-
Sarmiento de Junín
1:0
19.03.2023
Sarmiento de Junín
-
River Plate
0:2
Latest results of River Plate
Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 22 |
| 2 | Defensa y Justicia | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 15:8 | 7 | 19 |
| 3 | Lanus | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 18 |
| 4 | Estudiantes L.P | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Talleres Cordoba | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 18 |
| 6 | Boca Juniors | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 17 |
| 7 | Union de Santa Fe | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 16 |
| 8 | Independiente | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Platense | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Central Cordoba | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5:7 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Instituto | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 9 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2:6 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:22 | -15 | 6 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 23 |
| 2 | River Plate | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Racing Club | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Tigre | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Argentinos Jrs | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Gimnasia L.P | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 | Huracan | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Banfield | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12:13 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 8:11 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 5 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3:17 | -14 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
