Result
1:1
05/04/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | K-Ball |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | Como TV, Sport Italia, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Plus |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 World | Disney+, TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 29% | 71% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (137/215) | 83% (437/524) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (137/215) | 83% (437/524) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (37/79) | 58% (26/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (37/73) | 75% (120/160) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/9) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.61 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 35 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 21 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.63 | 1.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', Gonzalez Pirez L. 🟨,
- 17', Villalba C. 🟨,
- 30', 0 - 1, Miguel Borja ⚽, Mastantuono F. (A),
- 45', 1 - 1, Insaurralde J. ⚽, Gho J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Fernandez N. ↓, Meza M. ↑,
- 46', Mastantuono F. ↓, Rojas M. ↑,
- 46', Subiabre I. ↓, Colidio F. ↑,
- 59', Carabajal G. ↓, Magnin P. ↑,
- 59', Gho J. ↓, Burgoa V. ↑,
- 67', Miguel Borja ↓, Driussi S. ↑,
- 69', Castano K. 🟨,
- 72', Orihuela R. 🟨,
- 79', Colidio F. 🟨,
- 79', Castano K. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
- 82', Suhr L. ↓, Vigo A. ↑,
- 89', Morales I. ↓, Frias F. ↑,
- 89', Gimenez E. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sarmiento de Junín
18.5% | Draw
26.8% | River Plate
54.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting River Plate's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for River Plate, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sarmiento de Junín - River Plate Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.15 ↑
(4.24) |
3.53 ↑
(3.05) |
1.73 ↓
(2.01) |
5.6%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Watch this match and Argentinian Liga Profesional with fubo (for US customers) Network on : TyC Sports
What is the prediction for Sarmiento de Junín - River Plate?
Users Predictions:
31 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 2 - 6.5%). River Plate will win (votes: 22 - 71%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 22.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 55% – 87%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. River Plate (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Recent matches Sarmiento is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- River Plate is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Sarmiento could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match River Plate is a favorite.
- There will not play in Sarmiento: Diaz G.
(Inactive)
Rosales M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in River Plate: Beltran S.
(Injury)
Kranevitter M.
(Inactive)
Martinez P.
(Inactive)
Montiel G.
(Inactive)
Ruberto A.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Sarmiento won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:13 (average 0.6:2.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Sarmiento won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:11 (average 0.3:3.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Sarmiento de Junín won against River Plate?
Sarmiento de Junín has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has River Plate won against Sarmiento de Junín?
River Plate has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Junín - River Plate were as follows:
28.07.2024
River Plate
-
Sarmiento de Junín
1:0
19.03.2023
Sarmiento de Junín
-
River Plate
0:2
Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
Latest results of River Plate
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barracas Central | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 14 |
| 2 | Central Cordoba | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Union de Santa Fe | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Estudiantes L.P | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Huracan | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Banfield | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Argentinos Jrs | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Ind. Rivadavia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Tigre | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Belgrano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Newells Old Boys | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 | Racing Club | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1:8 | -7 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:4 | 10 | 15 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Dep. Riestra | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | San Lorenzo | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:5 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | Lanus | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Atl. Tucuman | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 | San Martin S.J | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Godoy Cruz | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Platense | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | Instituto | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2:10 | -8 | 6 |
| 14 | Talleres Cordoba | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 5 |
| 15 | Independiente | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
