River Plate vs Sarmiento de Junín – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Result
0:1
12/10/2025 at 18:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 12
  • Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
brazilBrazilDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
israelIsraelSport 1
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.300.97
Ball Possession
74%26%
Total shots
287
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
133
Passes
76% (345/451)46% (76/164)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
1.300.97
xG on target (xGOT)
0.691.45
Total shots
287
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
152
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
155
Shots outside the Box
132
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
133
Touches in opposition box
2910
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
2010
Passes
76% (345/451)46% (76/164)
Long passes
51% (31/61)25% (18/71)
Passes in final third
64% (123/191)33% (26/79)
Crosses
25% (9/36)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.620.30
Throw-ins
2818
Fouls
1020
Tackles
91% (10/11)61% (11/18)
Duels won
5438
Clearances
1360
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
37
xGOT faced
1.450.69
Goals prevented
0.45-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 28', Giuliano Galoppo 🟨,
  • 30', 0 - 1, Morales I. ⚽,
  • 36', Insaurralde J. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Pratto L. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Contrera J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Colidio F. ↓, Miguel Borja ↑,
  • 48', Godoy J. 🟨,
  • 54', Pratto L. ↓, Seyral A. ↑,
  • 61', Lencina S. ↓, Jaime C. ↑,
  • 61', Acosta T. ↓, Driussi S. ↑,
  • 66', Villalba C. ↓, Gimenez E. ↑,
  • 67', Morales I. 🟨,
  • 67', Morales I. ↓, Ardaiz J. ↑,
  • 75', Diaz P. 🟨,
  • 77', Casco M. ↓, Meza M. ↑,
  • 87', Contrera J. ↓, Suhr L. ↑,
  • 87', Arismendi Y. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


River Plate
69%		Draw
21.9%		Sarmiento de Junín
9.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64% 21.9% 14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8% 21.2% 14.6%

River Plate - Sarmiento de Junín Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.38 ↓
(1.46)		 4.35 ↑
(4.27)		 10.24 ↑
(6.6)		 5.2%
(7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for River Plate - Sarmiento de Junín?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. River Plate will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Sarmiento will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 54% – 99.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.25 - River Plate (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): River Plate will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. River Plate (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 3.
    • Recent form of River Plate has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Sarmiento has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • River Plate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, River Plate has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, River Plate is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in River Plate: Costantini G. (Knee Injury) Driussi S. (Muscle Injury) Martinez P. (Calf Injury) Meza M. (Knee Injury) Perez E. (Injury) Pezzella G. (Knee Injury) Portillo J. (Red Card) Ruberto A. (Knee Injury) Subiabre I. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Magnin P. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sarmiento: Ardaiz J. (Muscle Injury) Gonzalez G. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:4. (average 2.3:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, River Plate won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate - Sarmiento de Junín were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Sarmiento de Junín - River Plate 1:1
    28.07.2024 River Plate - Sarmiento de Junín 1:0
    19.03.2023 Sarmiento de Junín - River Plate 0:2
    Latest results of River Plate
    05.10.2025 Rosario Central - River Plate 2:1 ✺
    02.10.2025 Racing - River Plate 0:1 ✺
    28.09.2025 River Plate - Deportivo Riestra 1:2 ✺
    24.09.2025 Palmeiras - River Plate 3:1 ✺
    20.09.2025 Atlético Tucumán - River Plate 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
    04.10.2025 Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata 0:1 ✺
    27.09.2025 Talleres de Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín 1:0 ✺
    20.09.2025 Barracas Central - Sarmiento de Junín 0:1 ✺
    13.09.2025 Sarmiento de Junín - Aldosivi 2:0 ✺
    25.08.2025 Deportivo Riestra - Sarmiento de Junín 3:0 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Newells Old Boys00000:000
    2Lanus00000:000
    3Velez Sarsfield00000:000
    4San Lorenzo00000:000
    5Independiente00000:000
    6Estudiantes L.P00000:000
    7Boca Juniors00000:000
    8Union de Santa Fe00000:000
    9Talleres Cordoba00000:000
    10Defensa y Justicia00000:000
    11Instituto00000:000
    12Platense00000:000
    13Dep. Riestra00000:000
    14Central Cordoba00000:000
    15Gimnasia Mendoza00000:000


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rosario Central00000:000
    2Tigre00000:000
    3Argentinos Jrs00000:000
    4Banfield00000:000
    5Gimnasia L.P00000:000
    6Racing Club00000:000
    7Huracan00000:000
    8River Plate00000:000
    9Belgrano00000:000
    10Aldosivi00000:000
    11Atl. Tucuman00000:000
    12Ind. Rivadavia00000:000
    13Sarmiento Junin00000:000
    14Barracas Central00000:000
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto00000:000

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    © Copyright 2026 | Powered by WordPress

    Impressum - Cookies Policy - Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy