Roda vs De Graafschap – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie Roda - De Graafschap
Result
1:0
15/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.891.02
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
59
Passes
79% (241/307)86% (367/427)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.891.02
xG on target (xGOT)
0.680.48
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
59
Touches in opposition box
1831
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1611
Passes
79% (241/307)86% (367/427)
Long passes
43% (31/72)59% (23/39)
Passes in final third
60% (53/88)75% (82/110)
Crosses
25% (4/16)30% (8/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.611.50
Throw-ins
1615
Fouls
1117
Tackles
63% (15/24)38% (6/16)
Duels won
6553
Clearances
2820
Interceptions
44
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
55
xGOT faced
0.480.68
Goals prevented
0.48-0.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', Van den Buijs D. 🟨,
  • 54', 1 - 0, Schwirten J. , Seedorf C. (A),
  • 67', Seedorf C. , Maiorano L. ,
  • 67', Schwirten J. , Paulissen M. ,
  • 68', Kother T. , Jansen K. ,
  • 71', Theodoridis D. , Boersma B. ,
  • 73', van den Hurk A. , Cooper-Love J. ,
  • 80', Smits M. , Symons K. ,
  • 80', Simons J. , Kaninda N. ,
  • 82', Maiorano L. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Bultman S. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Gijselhart T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Roda
39.6%
Draw
26.4%
De Graafschap
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 26.2% 37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8% 25.8% 38%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Roda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • De Graafschap has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roda than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Roda - De Graafschap Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (2.57)
    3.52
    (3.57)
    2.74
    (2.5)
    7.1%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Roda - De Graafschap?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Roda will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). De Graafschap will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roda won 0.
    • In recent matches, Roda has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • De Graafschap is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There are questionable in De Graafschap: Schoppema L. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Roda won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:32. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Roda won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.7:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Roda - De Graafschap were as follows:
    06.04.2025 De Graafschap - Roda 2:0
    01.09.2024 Roda - De Graafschap 1:4
    19.04.2024 Roda - De Graafschap 1:1
    29.09.2023 De Graafschap - Roda 0:0
    19.02.2023 De Graafschap - Roda 2:0
    Latest results of Roda
    10.08.2025 Helmond Sport - Roda 1:3
    18.07.2025 Jong PSV - Roda 1:1
    11.07.2025 Roda - Alemannia Aachen 2:0
    05.07.2025 Den Bosch - Roda 5:3
    Latest results of De Graafschap
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag1091030:72328
    2Cambuur1283124:131127
    3Jong PSV1163223:15821
    4Roda1163221:14721
    5Willem II1162315:15020
    6Den Bosch1152422:25-317
    7Dordrecht1144315:14116
    8Helmond1151515:16-116
    9Venlo1150618:17115
    10Waalwijk1143418:17115
    11De Graafschap1134416:17-113
    12FC Emmen1241721:25-413
    13Oss1133517:23-612
    14Almere City1132622:18411
    15Jong Utrecht1132615:21-611
    16Maastricht1132610:17-711
    17Eindhoven FC123279:26-1711
    18Jong AZ1122714:23-98
    19Jong Ajax1114618:24-67
    20Vitesse942318:1442

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