Result
3:1
24/08/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 3
- Referee: Manschot J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 2.15 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (228/311) | 78% (372/476) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 2.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (228/311) | 78% (372/476) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (26/56) | 45% (34/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (62/97) | 62% (76/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/13) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 89% (8/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.71 | -0.78 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, Treichel J. (Own goal),
- 27', Zandbergen D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 51', 2 - 0, Heise P. ⚽,
- 55', Schwirten J. ↓, Paulissen M. ↑,
- 55', Breij M. ↓, Griffith I. ↑,
- 55', Seedorf C. ↓, Lajud Martinez D. ↑,
- 57', Reinders T. 🟨,
- 58', 2 - 1, van den Hurk A. (Pen),
- 64', Ait Mouhou N. ↓, Eijgenraam J. ↑,
- 64', Saddiki D. ↓, Kromah L. ↑,
- 75', Nisbet J. ↓, Cooper-Love J. ↑,
- 77', Zandbergen D. ↓, van Zijl B. ↑,
- 77', Wehmeyer L. ↓, Matoug N. ↑,
- 79', 3 - 1, van Zijl B. ⚽,
- 82', Muller J. P. 🟨,
- 84', Foor N. ↓, Odriss M. ↑,
- 90+1', Lajud Martinez D. ↓, Maiorano L. ↑,
Chances of winning
VVV-Venlo
39.2% | Draw
26.2% | Roda
34.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
VVV-Venlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
VVV-Venlo - Roda Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↓
(2.54) |
3.66 ↑
(3.5) |
2.82 ↑
(2.6) |
4.2%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for VVV-Venlo - Roda?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Roda will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roda: 35% – 88%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 1.
- Venlo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Roda is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Venlo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Venlo: Timber D.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:28. (average 1.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Venlo won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.1:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has VVV-Venlo won against Roda?
VVV-Venlo has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Roda won against VVV-Venlo?
Roda has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between VVV-Venlo - Roda were as follows:
29.03.2025
Roda
-
VVV-Venlo
1:4
25.08.2024
VVV-Venlo
-
Roda
1:1
07.04.2024
Roda
-
VVV-Venlo
2:1
14.10.2023
VVV-Venlo
-
Roda
1:1
19.03.2023
VVV-Venlo
-
Roda
1:1
Latest results of VVV-Venlo
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 19 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Jong PSV | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Roda | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 14 |
| 5 | Dordrecht | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Venlo | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Willem II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Waalwijk | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Oss | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | FC Emmen | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Helmond | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Eindhoven FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Almere City | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16:10 | 6 | 9 |
| 15 | De Graafschap | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 | Jong AZ | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Jong Utrecht | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 | Maastricht | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 7 |
| 19 | Jong Ajax | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 5 |
| 20 | Vitesse | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | -8 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
