Result
3:1
24/08/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 3
- Referee: Manschot J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.30 | 2.15 |
Ball Possession |
---|
40% | 60% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
73% (228/311) | 78% (372/476) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.30 | 2.15 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.22 | 1.71 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
7 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 22 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 16 |
Passes |
---|
73% (228/311) | 78% (372/476) |
Long passes |
---|
46% (26/56) | 45% (34/75) |
Passes in final third |
---|
64% (62/97) | 62% (76/123) |
Crosses |
---|
8% (1/13) | 14% (2/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.42 | 1.16 |
Throw-ins |
---|
16 | 26 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
63% (12/19) | 89% (8/9) |
Duels won |
---|
60 | 50 |
Clearances |
---|
40 | 22 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.71 | 1.22 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.71 | -0.78 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, Treichel J. (Own goal),
- 27', Zandbergen D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 51', 2 - 0, Heise P. ⚽,
- 55', Schwirten J. ↓, Paulissen M. ↑,
- 55', Breij M. ↓, Griffith I. ↑,
- 55', Seedorf C. ↓, Lajud Martinez D. ↑,
- 57', Reinders T. 🟨,
- 58', 2 - 1, van den Hurk A. (Pen),
- 64', Ait Mouhou N. ↓, Eijgenraam J. ↑,
- 64', Saddiki D. ↓, Kromah L. ↑,
- 75', Nisbet J. ↓, Cooper-Love J. ↑,
- 77', Zandbergen D. ↓, van Zijl B. ↑,
- 77', Wehmeyer L. ↓, Matoug N. ↑,
- 79', 3 - 1, van Zijl B. ⚽,
- 82', Muller J. P. 🟨,
- 84', Foor N. ↓, Odriss M. ↑,
- 90+1', Lajud Martinez D. ↓, Maiorano L. ↑,
Chances of winning
VVV-Venlo 39.2% | Draw 26.2% | Roda 34.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
VVV-Venlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
VVV-Venlo - Roda Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.42 ↓ (2.54) |
3.66 ↑ (3.5) |
2.82 ↑ (2.6) |
4.2% (6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for VVV-Venlo - Roda?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Roda will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roda: 35% – 88%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 1.
- Venlo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Roda is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Venlo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Venlo: Timber D.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:28. (average 1.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Venlo won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.1:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has VVV-Venlo won against Roda?
VVV-Venlo has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Roda won against VVV-Venlo?
Roda has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between VVV-Venlo - Roda were as follows:
29.03.2025
Roda
-
VVV-Venlo
1:4
25.08.2024
VVV-Venlo
-
Roda
1:1
07.04.2024
Roda
-
VVV-Venlo
2:1
14.10.2023
VVV-Venlo
-
Roda
1:1
19.03.2023
VVV-Venlo
-
Roda
1:1
Latest results of VVV-Venlo
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Jong PSV | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Eindhoven FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 10 |
3 | Dordrecht | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 9 |
4 | Cambuur | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
5 | Den Haag | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 7 |
6 | Waalwijk | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
7 | Roda | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
8 | Den Bosch | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 6 |
9 | Willem II | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 |
10 | Jong Ajax | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 4 |
11 | Jong Utrecht | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 4 |
12 | Helmond | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
13 | Maastricht | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 4 |
14 | Almere City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
15 | De Graafschap | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
16 | Venlo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 3 |
17 | Oss | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 3 |
18 | FC Emmen | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 3 |
19 | Jong AZ | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )