Roda vs VVV-Venlo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
26/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 22
  • Referee: Martens R. (Ned)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.002.40
Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
1816
Shots on target
66
Big chances
42
Corner kicks
65
Passes
75% (298/397)80% (340/426)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
3.002.40
xG on target (xGOT)
2.992.31
Total shots
1816
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
94
Blocked shots
36
Shots inside the box
1312
Shots outside the box
54
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
42
Corner kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2328
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free kicks
169
Passes
75% (298/397)80% (340/426)
Long passes
38% (25/66)52% (28/54)
Passes in final third
63% (70/112)72% (86/120)
Crosses
16% (3/19)17% (4/24)
Expected assists (xA)
2.120.76
Throw ins
1925
Fouls
916
Tackles
69% (11/16)53% (8/15)
Duels won
5050
Clearances
1824
Interceptions
1113
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
34
xGOT faced
2.312.99
Goals prevented
0.310.99

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 6', Eijgenraam J. 🟨,
  • 11', 0 - 1, Heise P. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 16', van den Hurk A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 16', 1 - 1, Nisbet J. ,
  • 35', 2 - 1, Cooper-Love J. , Kruiver J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', van Oorschot D. , van Zijl B. ,
  • 46', Eijgenraam J. , Kluskens J. ,
  • 55', Kromah L. , Matoug N. ,
  • 65', Foor N. , Saddiki D. ,
  • 70', Breij M. , Takidine I. ,
  • 81', de Blok L. , Wehmeyer L. ,
  • 82', van den Hurk A. , Paulissen M. ,
  • 83', 2 - 2, van Zijl B. , Zandbergen D. (A),
  • 89', Griffith I. , Maiorano L. ,
  • 90+1', Paulissen M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Roda
52.8%
Draw
24.2%
VVV-Venlo
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.2% 25.3% 20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9% 27% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • VVV-Venlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • Roda - VVV-Venlo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.72)
    3.83
    (3.68)
    4.03
    (4.57)
    7.6%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Roda - VVV-Venlo?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Roda will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Roda: 50.5%99.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Roda will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Postponed due to bad weather.
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roda won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Roda is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Roda: Breij M. (Yellow Cards) Kother T. (Knee Injury) Paulissen M. (Knee Injury) Schwirten J. (Knee Injury) Van den Buijs D. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Venlo: Timber D. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Roda won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:20. (average 1.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Roda won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.9:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Roda - VVV-Venlo were as follows:
    24.08.2025 VVV-Venlo - Roda 3:1
    29.03.2025 Roda - VVV-Venlo 1:4
    25.08.2024 VVV-Venlo - Roda 1:1
    07.04.2024 Roda - VVV-Venlo 2:1
    14.10.2023 VVV-Venlo - Roda 1:1
    Latest results of Roda
    23.01.2026 Roda - FC Oss 1:2
    19.01.2026 Jong Ajax - Roda 2:2
    14.01.2026 Schalke U23 - Roda 7:3
    22.12.2025 Jong Utrecht - Roda 1:3
    17.12.2025 Roda - Go Ahead Eagles 1:2
    Latest results of VVV-Venlo
    23.01.2026 Willem II - VVV-Venlo 2:1
    19.12.2025 VVV-Venlo - Dordrecht 3:1
    12.12.2025 Den Bosch - VVV-Venlo 0:1
    05.12.2025 Waalwijk - VVV-Venlo 1:2
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag ✔ 35272682:344883
    2Cambuur ✔ 35228571:432874
    3De Graafschap351781068:531559
    4Willem II351781052:401259
    5Almere City351741472:571555
    6Jong PSV351651463:59453
    7Waalwijk3514101161:53852
    8Roda3513121054:49551
    9Den Bosch341471360:60049
    10Dordrecht3511111345:50-544
    11Eindhoven FC351351749:63-1444
    12Venlo351251844:52-841
    13FC Emmen351181655:65-1041
    14Vitesse3514101160:53740
    15Jong Utrecht341091552:58-639
    16Jong AZ351142059:71-1237
    17Maastricht35991741:71-3036
    18Oss358111646:61-1535
    19Helmond35981840:61-2135
    20Jong Ajax35881948:69-2132

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
    Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie