Result
2:1
10/01/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 18
- Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 1.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off Goal |
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| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
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| 24 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (179/264) | 88% (506/573) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 53% (66/124) | 75% (104/138) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 8% (1/12) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 50% (3/6) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
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| 15 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', Vandenabeele E. 🟥,
- 17', 1 - 0, Nkada T. ⚽, Mambo S. (A),
- 30', Diaz Jr. M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', Mpasi-Nzau L. 🟨,
- 49', Laurent L. 🟨,
- 49', 1 - 1, Ripart R. (Pen),
- 63', Ripart R. ↓, Ba P. I. ↑,
- 65', Balde I. ↓, Mazou-Sacko D. ↑,
- 74', Boura I. 🟨,
- 75', Kante A. ↓, Dong K. ↑,
- 75', Irie C. ↓, Adeline M. ↑,
- 75', Boura I. 🟥,
- 79', Diop M. ↓, Gozzi P. ↑,
- 79', Said R. ↓, Assoumou J. ↑,
- 83', Galves N. ↓, Abdallah A. ↑,
- 90+2', Mendes H. 🟨,
- 90+2', Ba P. I. 🟨,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, Nkada T. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Rodez
39.8% | Draw
27.8% | Troyes
32.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rodez's form might have worsened.Troyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Troyes's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rodez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Troyes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Rodez - Troyes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↑
(2) |
3.37 ↓
(3.6) |
2.88 ↓
(3.47) |
7%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Rodez - Troyes?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Rodez will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Troyes will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rodez: 30.4% – 86.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 14 and 12).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Rodez won 3.
- Recent matches Rodez is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Troyes is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Rodez: Lipinski R.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Troyes: Hamdi M.
(Injury)
Traore I.
(Injury)
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Rodez won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:7 (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Rodez won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Rodez won against Troyes?
Rodez has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Troyes won against Rodez?
Troyes has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rodez - Troyes were as follows:
20.09.2024
Troyes
-
Rodez
0:3
30.03.2024
Troyes
-
Rodez
2:3
26.09.2023
Rodez
-
Troyes
2:1
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20:9 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Red Star | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Pau FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 21 |
| 4 | St Etienne | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 20 |
| 5 | Reims | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | Le Mans | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | Guingamp | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:22 | -4 | 15 |
| 8 | Montpellier | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 14 |
| 9 | Dunkerque | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 13 |
| 10 | Rodez | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Clermont | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 13 |
| 12 | Amiens | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 | Nancy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 | Annecy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 12 |
| 15 | Grenoble | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Boulogne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 | Laval | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 | Bastia | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
