Result
2:1
10/01/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 18
- Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.95 | 1.35 |
Ball Possession |
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32% | 68% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
11 | 12 |
Shots on Goal |
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4 | 1 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
3 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
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4 | 6 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
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10 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
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1 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 9 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 5 |
Fouls |
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9 | 14 |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 4 |
Red Cards |
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1 | 1 |
Throw-ins |
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13 | 15 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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24 | 23 |
Passes |
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68% (179/264) | 88% (506/573) |
Passes in the final third |
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53% (66/124) | 75% (104/138) |
Crosses |
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47% (8/17) | 8% (1/12) |
Tackles |
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72% (13/18) | 50% (3/6) |
Clearances Total |
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14 | 16 |
Interceptions |
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15 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', Vandenabeele E. 🟥,
- 17', 1 - 0, Nkada T. ⚽, Mambo S. (A),
- 30', Diaz Jr. M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', Mpasi-Nzau L. 🟨,
- 49', Laurent L. 🟨,
- 49', 1 - 1, Ripart R. (Pen),
- 63', Ripart R. ↓, Ba P. I. ↑,
- 65', Balde I. ↓, Mazou-Sacko D. ↑,
- 74', Boura I. 🟨,
- 75', Kante A. ↓, Dong K. ↑,
- 75', Irie C. ↓, Adeline M. ↑,
- 75', Boura I. 🟥,
- 79', Diop M. ↓, Gozzi P. ↑,
- 79', Said R. ↓, Assoumou J. ↑,
- 83', Galves N. ↓, Abdallah A. ↑,
- 90+2', Mendes H. 🟨,
- 90+2', Ba P. I. 🟨,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, Nkada T. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Rodez 39.8% | Draw 27.8% | Troyes 32.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rodez's form might have worsened.Troyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Troyes's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rodez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Troyes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Rodez - Troyes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.35 ↑ (2) |
3.37 ↓ (3.6) |
2.88 ↓ (3.47) |
7% (6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Rodez - Troyes?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Rodez will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Troyes will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rodez: 30.4% – 86.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 14 and 12).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Rodez won 3.
- Recent matches Rodez is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Troyes is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Rodez: Lipinski R.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Troyes: Hamdi M.
(Injury)
Traore I.
(Injury)
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Rodez won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:7 (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Rodez won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Rodez won against Troyes?
Rodez has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Troyes won against Rodez?
Troyes has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rodez - Troyes were as follows:
20.09.2024
Troyes
-
Rodez
0:3
30.03.2024
Troyes
-
Rodez
2:3
26.09.2023
Rodez
-
Troyes
2:1
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Grenoble | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Le Mans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Nancy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | St Etienne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Amiens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Bastia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Clermont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Guingamp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Montpellier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Reims | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Troyes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Laval | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Pau FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Rodez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Annecy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Dunkerque | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Red Star | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National