Result
1:0
03/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 16
- Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Argentina | ESPN Premium |
China | K-Ball |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Usa | Fanatiz |
World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.28 | 0.31 |
Ball Possession |
---|
42% | 58% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
77% (212/276) | 84% (316/378) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.28 | 0.31 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.12 | 0.06 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
0 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
13 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 20 |
Passes |
---|
77% (212/276) | 84% (316/378) |
Long passes |
---|
50% (22/44) | 56% (22/39) |
Passes in final third |
---|
62% (38/61) | 62% (63/101) |
Crosses |
---|
14% (1/7) | 13% (3/23) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.50 | 0.46 |
Throw-ins |
---|
12 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
20 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
86% (24/28) | 69% (11/16) |
Duels won |
---|
57 | 51 |
Clearances |
---|
36 | 12 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.06 | 1.12 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.06 | 1.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', Freire N. 🟨,
- 16', Sandez A. 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 0, Sporle A. (Own goal),
- 41', Cabral L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Lovera M. ↓, Giaccone L. ↑,
- 53', Medina J. 🟨,
- 56', Vera F. 🟨,
- 59', Vera F. ↓, Montiel S. ↑,
- 59', Cabral L. ↓, Millan L. ↑,
- 70', Salle S. ↓, Valdez S. ↑,
- 70', Gimenez M. ↓, Maestro I. ↑,
- 74', Lopez S. ↓, Duarte G. ↑,
- 75', Copetti E. 🟨,
- 78', Malcorra I. 🟨,
- 81', Ibarra F. ↓, Gimenez E. ↑,
- 83', Paredes F. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
- 83', Coronel E. 🟨,
- 85', Sporle A. 🟨,
- 87', Gimenez E. 🟨,
- 90+4', Malcorra I. ↓, O'Connor T. ↑,
- 90+4', Navarro F. ↓, Ortiz K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Rosario Central 46.6% | Draw 32.1% | Independiente 21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rosario Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rosario Central's performance.Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Rosario Central - Independiente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.04 ↓ (2.35) |
2.96 ↑ (2.93) |
4.39 ↑ (3.47) |
5.6% (5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Rosario Central - Independiente?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Rosario (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Rosario Central will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rosario Central will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Rosario is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Independiente is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rosario won 1.
- Rosario has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Independiente has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Rosario may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Rosario is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Rosario: Campaz J.
(Knee Injury)
Gimenez J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Independiente: Avalos G.
(Inactive)
Galdames P.
(Inactive)
Montiel S.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Rosario won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rosario won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Rosario Central won against Independiente?
Rosario Central has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente won against Rosario Central?
Independiente has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rosario Central - Independiente were as follows:
17.08.2024
Independiente
-
Rosario Central
1:0
13.02.2024
Independiente
-
Rosario Central
1:0
19.09.2023
Rosario Central
-
Independiente
1:1
12.04.2023
Rosario Central
-
Independiente
1:0
Latest results of Rosario Central
Latest results of Independiente
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estudiantes L.P | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
2 | Barracas Central | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
3 | Central Cordoba | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
4 | Union de Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
5 | Ind. Rivadavia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
6 | Belgrano | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
7 | Defensa y Justicia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
8 | Newells Old Boys | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
9 | Tigre | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Banfield | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Racing Club | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
12 | Huracan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
13 | Argentinos Jrs | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
14 | Boca Juniors | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
15 | Aldosivi | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | River Plate | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 7 |
2 | Dep. Riestra | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
3 | Rosario Central | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
4 | Velez Sarsfield | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
5 | San Lorenzo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
6 | San Martin S.J | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
7 | Talleres Cordoba | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
8 | Atl. Tucuman | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
9 | Gimnasia L.P | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Instituto | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 4 |
11 | Lanus | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
12 | Godoy Cruz | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
13 | Sarmiento Junin | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
14 | Platense | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
15 | Independiente | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)