Independiente vs Rosario Central – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Result
1:0
15/11/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 16
  • Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
brazilBrazilDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV6
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.99
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
77% (234/303)78% (332/426)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.99
xG on target (xGOT)
1.091.17
Total shots
159
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2118
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1410
Passes
77% (234/303)78% (332/426)
Long passes
39% (19/49)53% (31/58)
Passes in final third
58% (52/90)54% (53/98)
Crosses
29% (4/14)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.770.75
Throw-ins
1819
Fouls
1014
Tackles
40% (4/10)60% (9/15)
Duels won
4056
Clearances
1529
Interceptions
1020
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
1.171.09
Goals prevented
1.170.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Avalos G. ⚽, Zabala F. (A),
  • 45', Godoy L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Lopez S. ↓, Duarte G. ↑,
  • 46', Lo Celso F. ↓, O'Connor T. ↑,
  • 63', Campaz J. ↓, Cantizano G. ↑,
  • 64', Avalos G. ↓, Pussetto I. ↑,
  • 64', Cabral L. ↓, Galdames P. ↑,
  • 64', Abaldo M. ↓, Tarzia D. ↑,
  • 70', Godoy L. ↓, Vera F. ↑,
  • 74', Lomonaco K. 🟨,
  • 75', Lomonaco K. ↓, Freire N. ↑,
  • 75', Copetti E. ↓, Modica A. ↑,
  • 75', Navarro F. ↓, Lovera M. ↑,
  • 83', Duarte G. 🟨,
  • 90', Zabala F. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Galdames P. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Komar J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente
45.4%		Draw
32.1%		Rosario Central
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.1% 32.2% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4% 33.3% 28.7%

Independiente - Rosario Central Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.13 ↓
(2.45)		 2.97 ↑
(2.9)		 4.18 ↑
(3.15)		 4.5%
(7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Independiente - Rosario Central?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 18 - 69.2%). Rosario will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 51.5% – 86.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Independiente (1.83) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Independiente will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Rosario is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 2.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Independiente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Independiente is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Independiente: Marcone I. (Inactive) Mazzantti W. (Inactive) Paredes F. (Inactive) Valenzuela M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Rosario: Gimenez J. (Knee Injury) Gutierrez K. (Knee Injury) Ibarra F. (Knee Injury) Quintana C. (Broken ankle)
    • There are questionable in Independiente: Valdez S. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:3. (average 1.4:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - Rosario Central were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Rosario Central - Independiente 1:0
    17.08.2024 Independiente - Rosario Central 1:0
    13.02.2024 Independiente - Rosario Central 1:0
    19.09.2023 Rosario Central - Independiente 1:1
    12.04.2023 Rosario Central - Independiente 1:0
    Latest results of Independiente
    10.11.2025 Deportivo Riestra - Independiente 0:1 ✺
    01.11.2025 Independiente - Atlético Tucumán 3:0 ✺
    24.10.2025 Independiente - Platense 3:0 ✺
    19.10.2025 San Martín de San Juan - Independiente 1:0 ✺
    12.10.2025 Independiente - Lanús 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Rosario Central
    07.11.2025 Rosario Central - San Lorenzo 0:0 ✺
    31.10.2025 Instituto Córdoba - Rosario Central 1:3 ✺
    24.10.2025 Sarmiento de Junín - Rosario Central 0:1 ✺
    19.10.2025 Rosario Central - Platense 1:0 ✺
    11.10.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Rosario Central 1:2 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Newells Old Boys00000:000
    2Lanus00000:000
    3Velez Sarsfield00000:000
    4San Lorenzo00000:000
    5Independiente00000:000
    6Estudiantes L.P00000:000
    7Boca Juniors00000:000
    8Union de Santa Fe00000:000
    9Talleres Cordoba00000:000
    10Defensa y Justicia00000:000
    11Instituto00000:000
    12Platense00000:000
    13Dep. Riestra00000:000
    14Central Cordoba00000:000
    15Gimnasia Mendoza00000:000


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rosario Central00000:000
    2Tigre00000:000
    3Argentinos Jrs00000:000
    4Banfield00000:000
    5Gimnasia L.P00000:000
    6Racing Club00000:000
    7Huracan00000:000
    8River Plate00000:000
    9Belgrano00000:000
    10Aldosivi00000:000
    11Atl. Tucuman00000:000
    12Ind. Rivadavia00000:000
    13Sarmiento Junin00000:000
    14Barracas Central00000:000
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto00000:000

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