Result
1:0
15/11/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 16
- Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia |
 Mexico | Disney+, Fanatiz |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.99 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (234/303) | 78% (332/426) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (234/303) | 78% (332/426) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (19/49) | 53% (31/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (52/90) | 54% (53/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.75 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Avalos G. ⚽, Zabala F. (A),
- 45', Godoy L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Lopez S. ↓, Duarte G. ↑,
- 46', Lo Celso F. ↓, O'Connor T. ↑,
- 63', Campaz J. ↓, Cantizano G. ↑,
- 64', Avalos G. ↓, Pussetto I. ↑,
- 64', Cabral L. ↓, Galdames P. ↑,
- 64', Abaldo M. ↓, Tarzia D. ↑,
- 70', Godoy L. ↓, Vera F. ↑,
- 74', Lomonaco K. 🟨,
- 75', Lomonaco K. ↓, Freire N. ↑,
- 75', Copetti E. ↓, Modica A. ↑,
- 75', Navarro F. ↓, Lovera M. ↑,
- 83', Duarte G. 🟨,
- 90', Zabala F. 🟨,
- 90+3', Galdames P. 🟨,
- 90+5', Komar J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Independiente
45.4% | Draw
32.1% | Rosario Central
22.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente's performance.Rosario Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rosario Central might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rosario Central could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Independiente - Rosario Central Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↓
(2.45) |
2.97 ↑
(2.9) |
4.18 ↑
(3.15) |
4.5%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Independiente - Rosario Central?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 18 - 69.2%). Rosario will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 51.5% – 86.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Rosario (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Independiente (1.83) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 20 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 15 - 75%). Rosario (votes: 1 - 5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Rosario is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 2.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Independiente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Independiente is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Independiente: Marcone I.
(Inactive)
Mazzantti W.
(Inactive)
Paredes F.
(Inactive)
Valenzuela M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Rosario: Gimenez J.
(Knee Injury)
Gutierrez K.
(Knee Injury)
Ibarra F.
(Knee Injury)
Quintana C.
(Broken ankle)
- There are questionable in Independiente: Valdez S.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:3. (average 1.4:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente won against Rosario Central?
Independiente has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rosario Central won against Independiente?
Rosario Central has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - Rosario Central were as follows:
03.05.2025
Rosario Central
-
Independiente
1:0
17.08.2024
Independiente
-
Rosario Central
1:0
13.02.2024
Independiente
-
Rosario Central
1:0
19.09.2023
Rosario Central
-
Independiente
1:1
12.04.2023
Rosario Central
-
Independiente
1:0
Latest results of Independiente
Latest results of Rosario Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 18 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Union de Santa Fe | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Independiente | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Platense | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Defensa y Justicia | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Talleres Cordoba | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Lanus | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Instituto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Central Cordoba | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3:6 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:16 | -11 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 17 |
| 2 | Tigre | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Huracan | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 12 |
| 6 | Racing Club | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | River Plate | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Gimnasia L.P | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Banfield | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Argentinos Jrs | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Barracas Central | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6:9 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 5 |
| 14 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3:12 | -9 | 4 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
