Rosario Central vs Independiente – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Rosario Central - Independiente
Result
1:0
03/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 16
  • Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
chinaChinaK-Ball
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
usaUsaFanatiz
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.280.31
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
15
Passes
77% (212/276)84% (316/378)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.280.31
xG on target (xGOT)
1.120.06
Total shots
138
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
02
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
1317
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1420
Passes
77% (212/276)84% (316/378)
Long passes
50% (22/44)56% (22/39)
Passes in final third
62% (38/61)62% (63/101)
Crosses
14% (1/7)13% (3/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.500.46
Throw-ins
1222
Fouls
2014
Tackles
86% (24/28)69% (11/16)
Duels won
5751
Clearances
3612
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.061.12
Goals prevented
0.061.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', Freire N. 🟨,
  • 16', Sandez A. 🟨,
  • 20', 1 - 0, Sporle A. (Own goal),
  • 41', Cabral L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Lovera M. , Giaccone L. ,
  • 53', Medina J. 🟨,
  • 56', Vera F. 🟨,
  • 59', Vera F. , Montiel S. ,
  • 59', Cabral L. , Millan L. ,
  • 70', Salle S. , Valdez S. ,
  • 70', Gimenez M. , Maestro I. ,
  • 74', Lopez S. , Duarte G. ,
  • 75', Copetti E. 🟨,
  • 78', Malcorra I. 🟨,
  • 81', Ibarra F. , Gimenez E. ,
  • 83', Paredes F. , Martinez D. ,
  • 83', Coronel E. 🟨,
  • 85', Sporle A. 🟨,
  • 87', Gimenez E. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Malcorra I. , O'Connor T. ,
  • 90+4', Navarro F. , Ortiz K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Rosario Central
46.6%
Draw
32.1%
Independiente
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.3% 32.4% 27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7% 31.3% 26.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rosario Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rosario Central's performance.
  • Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Rosario Central - Independiente Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (2.35)
    2.96
    (2.93)
    4.39
    (3.47)
    5.6%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Rosario Central - Independiente?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Rosario (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Rosario Central will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rosario Central will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Rosario is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Independiente is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rosario won 1.
    • Rosario has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Independiente has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Rosario may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Rosario is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Rosario: Campaz J. (Knee Injury) Gimenez J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Independiente: Avalos G. (Inactive) Galdames P. (Inactive) Montiel S. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Rosario won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 0.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rosario won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rosario Central - Independiente were as follows:
    17.08.2024 Independiente - Rosario Central 1:0
    13.02.2024 Independiente - Rosario Central 1:0
    19.09.2023 Rosario Central - Independiente 1:1
    12.04.2023 Rosario Central - Independiente 1:0
    Latest results of Rosario Central
    Latest results of Independiente
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P32013:216
    2Barracas Central32014:406
    3Central Cordoba31203:215
    4Union de Santa Fe31202:115
    5Ind. Rivadavia31114:224
    6Belgrano31113:124
    7Defensa y Justicia31113:214
    8Newells Old Boys31113:304
    9Tigre31113:304
    10Banfield31113:4-14
    11Racing Club31021:2-13
    12Huracan31022:5-33
    13Argentinos Jrs30211:2-12
    14Boca Juniors30211:2-12
    15Aldosivi30210:2-22


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate32107:167
    2Dep. Riestra32014:316
    3Rosario Central31202:115
    4Velez Sarsfield31202:115
    5San Lorenzo31202:115
    6San Martin S.J31114:404
    7Talleres Cordoba31113:304
    8Atl. Tucuman31113:304
    9Gimnasia L.P31111:104
    10Instituto31111:4-34
    11Lanus31022:203
    12Godoy Cruz30301:103
    13Sarmiento Junin30212:4-22
    14Platense30211:3-22
    15Independiente30123:5-21

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)