Result
1:0
03/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 16
- Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 China | K-Ball |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (212/276) | 84% (316/378) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (212/276) | 84% (316/378) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (22/44) | 56% (22/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (38/61) | 62% (63/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (1/7) | 13% (3/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (24/28) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.06 | 1.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | 1.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', Freire N. 🟨,
- 16', Sandez A. 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 0, Sporle A. (Own goal),
- 41', Cabral L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Lovera M. ↓, Giaccone L. ↑,
- 53', Medina J. 🟨,
- 56', Vera F. 🟨,
- 59', Vera F. ↓, Montiel S. ↑,
- 59', Cabral L. ↓, Millan L. ↑,
- 70', Salle S. ↓, Valdez S. ↑,
- 70', Gimenez M. ↓, Maestro I. ↑,
- 74', Lopez S. ↓, Duarte G. ↑,
- 75', Copetti E. 🟨,
- 78', Malcorra I. 🟨,
- 81', Ibarra F. ↓, Gimenez E. ↑,
- 83', Paredes F. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
- 83', Coronel E. 🟨,
- 85', Sporle A. 🟨,
- 87', Gimenez E. 🟨,
- 90+4', Malcorra I. ↓, O'Connor T. ↑,
- 90+4', Navarro F. ↓, Ortiz K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Rosario Central
46.6% | Draw
32.1% | Independiente
21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rosario Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rosario Central's performance.Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Rosario Central - Independiente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↓
(2.35) |
2.96 ↑
(2.93) |
4.39 ↑
(3.47) |
5.6%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Rosario Central - Independiente?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Rosario (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Rosario Central will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rosario Central will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Rosario is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Independiente is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rosario won 1.
- Rosario has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Independiente has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Rosario may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Rosario is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Rosario: Campaz J.
(Knee Injury)
Gimenez J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Independiente: Avalos G.
(Inactive)
Galdames P.
(Inactive)
Montiel S.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Rosario won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rosario won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Rosario Central won against Independiente?
Rosario Central has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente won against Rosario Central?
Independiente has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rosario Central - Independiente were as follows:
17.08.2024
Independiente
-
Rosario Central
1:0
13.02.2024
Independiente
-
Rosario Central
1:0
19.09.2023
Rosario Central
-
Independiente
1:1
12.04.2023
Rosario Central
-
Independiente
1:0
Latest results of Rosario Central
Latest results of Independiente
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Central Cordoba | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 21 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 21 |
| 3 | Union de Santa Fe | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Defensa y Justicia | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 19 |
| 5 | Argentinos Jrs | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Belgrano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 | Tigre | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13:11 | 2 | 18 |
| 9 | Racing Club | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 18 |
| 10 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 17 |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 | Ind. Rivadavia | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 11 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 5:15 | -10 | 9 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Riestra | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 18:9 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Lanus | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 26 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:9 | 10 | 25 |
| 5 | River Plate | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:12 | 8 | 21 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | San Martin S.J | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 17 |
| 8 | Atl. Tucuman | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Junin | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 15 |
| 10 | Instituto | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 15 |
| 11 | Talleres Cordoba | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Gimnasia L.P | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 8:16 | -8 | 13 |
| 13 | Platense | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 11 |
| 14 | Godoy Cruz | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 10 |
| 15 | Independiente | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 9:13 | -4 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
