Lokomotiv Moscow vs Rostov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Russian Premier League Lokomotiv Moscow - Rostov
Result
3:3
23/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 6
  • Referee: Cheban S. (Rus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaQ Sport Asia
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.591.81
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
76
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
71% (202/283)83% (431/519)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.591.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.261.95
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
1212
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
2730
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
813
Passes
71% (202/283)83% (431/519)
Long passes
47% (28/60)46% (28/61)
Passes in final third
56% (51/91)71% (99/140)
Crosses
50% (8/16)33% (9/27)
Expected assists (xA)
1.431.46
Throw-ins
1617
Fouls
138
Tackles
90% (9/10)67% (4/6)
Duels won
4245
Clearances
3213
Interceptions
512
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.951.26
Goals prevented
-1.05-1.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Batrakov A. , Bakaev Z. (A),
  • 20', 2 - 0, Vorobyev D. , Batrakov A. (A),
  • 40', Komarov I. , Zhbanov I. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Shantaliy D. , Semenchuk D. ,
  • 46', Vakhania I. , Mironov A. ,
  • 46', Rudenko A. , Ramirez C. ,
  • 52', Ramirez C. 🟨,
  • 57', 2 - 1, Mohebi M. (Pen),
  • 65', 2 - 2, Suleymanov T. , Zhbanov I. (A),
  • 66', Bakaev Z. , Saltykov N. ,
  • 67', Vorobyev D. , Komlichenko N. ,
  • 76', Karpukas A. , Sarveli V. ,
  • 82', 3 - 2, Silyanov A. , Komlichenko N. (A),
  • 87', Shchetinin K. , Golenkov E. ,
  • 90+4', Nenakhov M. , Lucas Fasson ,
  • 90+8', 3 - 3, Ronaldo ,

Chances of winning


Lokomotiv Moscow
54.1%
Draw
25.6%
Rostov
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.5% 25.5% 19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8% 24.1% 17.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lokomotiv Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Lokomotiv Moscow - Rostov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.68)
    3.75
    (3.65)
    4.74
    (4.9)
    4%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Moscow - Rostov?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Lokomotiv Moscow will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lokomotiv Moscow will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 and 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 3.
    • Lokomotiv is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Rostov's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Lokomotiv is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:28. (average 1.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiv Moscow - Rostov were as follows:
    30.04.2025 Lokomotiv Moscow - Rostov 0:2
    26.04.2025 Rostov - Lokomotiv Moscow 1:1
    23.10.2024 Rostov - Lokomotiv Moscow 2:3
    25.08.2024 Lokomotiv Moscow - Rostov 3:2
    30.07.2024 Lokomotiv Moscow - Rostov 1:0
    Latest results of Lokomotiv Moscow
    Latest results of Rostov
    17.08.2025 Rubin Kazan - Rostov 1:0
    14.08.2025 Pari NN - Rostov 1:0
    10.08.2025 Rostov - Pari NN 1:0
    02.08.2025 Rostov - Krylya Sovetov 1:4
    30.07.2025 Rostov - Spartak Moscow 0:2
    Russian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Krasnodar751118:41416
    2CSKA Moscow743015:6915
    3Baltika743013:5815
    4Lokomotiv Moscow743018:11715
    5Zenit733113:7612
    6Spartak Moscow732210:11-111
    7Rubin Kazan732210:12-211
    8Krylya Sovetov723211:14-39
    9Dynamo Makhachkala72234:9-58
    10Dynamo Moscow72237:708
    11Akhmat Grozny72238:9-18
    12Orenburg71429:10-17
    13Akron Togliatti71339:10-16
    14FK Rostov71247:12-55
    15Pari NN71064:14-103
    16Sochi70164:19-151

          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ FNL