Result
3:3
23/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 6
- Referee: Cheban S. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Sport Asia |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.81 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (202/283) | 83% (431/519) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (202/283) | 83% (431/519) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (28/60) | 46% (28/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (51/91) | 71% (99/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 33% (9/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 67% (4/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.95 | 1.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.05 | -1.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Batrakov A. ⚽, Bakaev Z. (A),
- 20', 2 - 0, Vorobyev D. ⚽, Batrakov A. (A),
- 40', Komarov I. ↓, Zhbanov I. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Shantaliy D. ↓, Semenchuk D. ↑,
- 46', Vakhania I. ↓, Mironov A. ↑,
- 46', Rudenko A. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
- 52', Ramirez C. 🟨,
- 57', 2 - 1, Mohebi M. (Pen),
- 65', 2 - 2, Suleymanov T. ⚽, Zhbanov I. (A),
- 66', Bakaev Z. ↓, Saltykov N. ↑,
- 67', Vorobyev D. ↓, Komlichenko N. ↑,
- 76', Karpukas A. ↓, Sarveli V. ↑,
- 82', 3 - 2, Silyanov A. ⚽, Komlichenko N. (A),
- 87', Shchetinin K. ↓, Golenkov E. ↑,
- 90+4', Nenakhov M. ↓, Lucas Fasson ↑,
- 90+8', 3 - 3, Ronaldo ⚽,
Chances of winning
Lokomotiv Moscow
54.1% | Draw
25.6% | Rostov
20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Lokomotiv Moscow - Rostov Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↑
(1.68) |
3.75 ↑
(3.65) |
4.74 ↓
(4.9) |
4%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Moscow - Rostov?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Lokomotiv Moscow will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lokomotiv Moscow will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 and 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 3.
- Lokomotiv is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Rostov's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Lokomotiv is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:28. (average 1.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Moscow won against Rostov?
Lokomotiv Moscow has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rostov won against Lokomotiv Moscow?
Rostov has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiv Moscow - Rostov were as follows:
30.04.2025
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Rostov
0:2
26.04.2025
Rostov
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
1:1
23.10.2024
Rostov
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
2:3
25.08.2024
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Rostov
3:2
30.07.2024
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Rostov
1:0
Latest results of Lokomotiv Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20:7 | 13 | 19 |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:8 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Baltika | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 20:13 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Zenit | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 15 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:14 | -1 | 15 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Krylya Sovetov | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 9 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 9 |
| 13 | Orenburg | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Akron Togliatti | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:17 | -9 | 6 |
| 16 | Sochi | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5:24 | -19 | 1 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
