Result
1:3
30/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 17
- Referee: Shafeev R. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Asia | Q Football Asia |
Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 2.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (283/390) | 77% (303/392) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 2.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 2.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (283/390) | 77% (303/392) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (30/78) | 30% (20/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (78/132) | 59% (69/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 60% (12/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 79 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 66 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.70 | 1.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.30 | 0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 3', 0 - 1, Barinov D. ⚽, Batrakov A. (A),
- 20', 1 - 1, Vakhania I. ⚽, Ronaldo (A),
- 41', 1 - 2, Komlichenko N. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', Shchetinin K. 🟨,
- 63', Komlichenko N. ↓, Vorobyev D. ↑,
- 63', Suleymanov T. 🟨,
- 64', Shchetinin K. ↓, Langovich A. ↑,
- 74', Prutsev D. ↓, Pinyaev S. ↑,
- 74', Suleymanov T. ↓, Mohebi M. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 3, Nyamsi G. ⚽,
- 90+2', Mironov A. (Pen),
- 90+2', Barinov D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rostov 38.1% | Draw 27.9% | Lokomotiv Moscow 34% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Rostov - Lokomotiv Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.49 ↓ (2.86) |
3.4 ↑ (3.1) |
2.79 ↑ (2.48) |
5.4% (7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Rostov - Lokomotiv Moscow?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Rostov will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Lokomotiv will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 1.
- Recent performances by Rostov have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Lokomotiv is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Rostov: Chistyakov D.
(Yellow Cards)
Melnikov S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Lokomotiv: Bakaev Z.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 28:36. (average 1.4:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rostov won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Rostov won against Lokomotiv Moscow?
Rostov has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Moscow won against Rostov?
Lokomotiv Moscow has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rostov - Lokomotiv Moscow were as follows:
23.08.2025
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Rostov
3:3
30.04.2025
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Rostov
0:2
26.04.2025
Rostov
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
1:1
23.10.2024
Rostov
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
2:3
25.08.2024
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Rostov
3:2
Latest results of Lokomotiv Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 37:12 | 25 | 40 |
| 2 | Zenit | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 34:12 | 22 | 39 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 39:23 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 30:17 | 13 | 36 |
| 5 | Baltika | 18 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 24:7 | 17 | 35 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 26:23 | 3 | 29 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 23 |
| 8 | Akhmat Grozny | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 22 |
| 9 | Akron Togliatti | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 22:26 | -4 | 21 |
| 10 | Dynamo Moscow | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 27:26 | 1 | 21 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 15:20 | -5 | 21 |
| 12 | Krylya Sovetov | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 20:33 | -13 | 17 |
| 13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 8:21 | -13 | 15 |
| 14 | Pari NN | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 12:28 | -16 | 14 |
| 15 | Orenburg | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 17:29 | -12 | 12 |
| 16 | Sochi | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 16:41 | -25 | 9 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL