Result
3:3
23/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 6
- Referee: Cheban S. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Asia | Q Sport Asia |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.59 | 1.81 |
Ball Possession |
---|
36% | 64% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
71% (202/283) | 83% (431/519) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.59 | 1.81 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.26 | 1.95 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 12 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
2 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
27 | 30 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
71% (202/283) | 83% (431/519) |
Long passes |
---|
47% (28/60) | 46% (28/61) |
Passes in final third |
---|
56% (51/91) | 71% (99/140) |
Crosses |
---|
50% (8/16) | 33% (9/27) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.43 | 1.46 |
Throw-ins |
---|
16 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 8 |
Tackles |
---|
90% (9/10) | 67% (4/6) |
Duels won |
---|
42 | 45 |
Clearances |
---|
32 | 13 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.95 | 1.26 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.05 | -1.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Batrakov A. ⚽, Bakaev Z. (A),
- 20', 2 - 0, Vorobyev D. ⚽, Batrakov A. (A),
- 40', Komarov I. ↓, Zhbanov I. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Shantaliy D. ↓, Semenchuk D. ↑,
- 46', Vakhania I. ↓, Mironov A. ↑,
- 46', Rudenko A. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
- 52', Ramirez C. 🟨,
- 57', 2 - 1, Mohebi M. (Pen),
- 65', 2 - 2, Suleymanov T. ⚽, Zhbanov I. (A),
- 66', Bakaev Z. ↓, Saltykov N. ↑,
- 67', Vorobyev D. ↓, Komlichenko N. ↑,
- 76', Karpukas A. ↓, Sarveli V. ↑,
- 82', 3 - 2, Silyanov A. ⚽, Komlichenko N. (A),
- 87', Shchetinin K. ↓, Golenkov E. ↑,
- 90+4', Nenakhov M. ↓, Lucas Fasson ↑,
- 90+8', 3 - 3, Ronaldo ⚽,
Chances of winning
Lokomotiv Moscow 54.1% | Draw 25.6% | Rostov 20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Lokomotiv Moscow - Rostov Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.78 ↑ (1.68) |
3.75 ↑ (3.65) |
4.74 ↓ (4.9) |
4% (7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Moscow - Rostov?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Lokomotiv Moscow will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lokomotiv Moscow will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 and 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 3.
- Lokomotiv is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Rostov's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Lokomotiv is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:28. (average 1.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Moscow won against Rostov?
Lokomotiv Moscow has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rostov won against Lokomotiv Moscow?
Rostov has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiv Moscow - Rostov were as follows:
30.04.2025
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Rostov
0:2
26.04.2025
Rostov
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
1:1
23.10.2024
Rostov
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
2:3
25.08.2024
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Rostov
3:2
30.07.2024
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Rostov
1:0
Latest results of Lokomotiv Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Krasnodar | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:4 | 14 | 16 |
2 | CSKA Moscow | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 15 |
3 | Baltika | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 15 |
4 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 18:11 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Zenit | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
6 | Spartak Moscow | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 |
7 | Rubin Kazan | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
8 | Krylya Sovetov | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:14 | -3 | 9 |
9 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 8 |
10 | Dynamo Moscow | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
11 | Akhmat Grozny | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
12 | Orenburg | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 7 |
13 | Akron Togliatti | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
14 | FK Rostov | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 5 |
15 | Pari NN | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4:14 | -10 | 3 |
16 | Sochi | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:19 | -15 | 1 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL