Result
1:2
08/03/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- RUSSIA: Premier League - Round 20
- Referee: Bobrovsky Y. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Arena Asia |
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 3 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Kazakhstan | Q Football, Q Sport International, Q Sport |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 2.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 11 | 24 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 25 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 25 | 43 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (273/380) | 65% (207/320) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 68% (99/145) | 51% (71/139) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (13/33) | 41% (9/22) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (15/20) | 68% (13/19) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 47 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', Marin J. 🟨,
- 21', Malykh A. 🟨,
- 22', 0 - 1, Osipenko M. ⚽,
- 28', 1 - 1, Mansilla B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Malykh A. ↓, Zotov G. ↑,
- 46', Marin J. ↓, Kovalenko A. ↑,
- 59', Rybchinskiy D. ↓, Saharkhizan S. ↑,
- 59', Gurluk E. ↓, Mikhailov Y. ↑,
- 66', Saharkhizan S. 🟨,
- 70', 1 - 2, Komlichenko N. ⚽,
- 73', Basic I. ↓, Savelyev M. ↑,
- 74', Komlichenko N. ↓, Bayramyan K. ↑,
- 84', Komarov I. ↓, Sako O. ↑,
- 87', Savelyev M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Khotulev D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Orenburg
25.1% | Draw
24.1% | Rostov
50.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Orenburg's form might have worsened.Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rostov's recent form is better than expected.
Orenburg - Rostov Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.86 ↑
(3.16) |
4.01 ↑
(3.77) |
1.91 ↓
(2.31) |
3.4%
(1.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Orenburg - Rostov?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Orenburg will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Rostov will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rostov: 19% – 81%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 7).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Orenburg won 0.
- Rostov is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recently Rostov have a series of home games.
- Rostov will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Orenburg: Florentin G.
(Injury)
Sidorov M.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Rostov: El Askalany E.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Orenburg won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 20:22 (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Orenburg won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:6 (average 1.7:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Orenburg won against Rostov?
Orenburg has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rostov won against Orenburg?
Rostov has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orenburg - Rostov were as follows:
18.09.2024
Rostov
-
Orenburg
3:1
28.08.2024
Orenburg
-
Rostov
0:1
17.08.2024
Rostov
-
Orenburg
3:2
29.04.2024
Rostov
-
Orenburg
2:1
06.11.2023
Orenburg
-
Rostov
1:1
Latest results of Orenburg
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Krasnodar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Rubin Kazan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Zenit | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Baltika | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Krylya Sovetov | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Akron Togliatti | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Orenburg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | CSKA Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | FK Rostov | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Akhmat Grozny | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Sochi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
