Orenburg vs Rostov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Russian Premier League Orenburg - Rostov
Result
1:2
08/03/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • RUSSIA: Premier League - Round 20
  • Referee: Bobrovsky Y. (Rus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaQ Arena Asia
belarusBelarusBelarus 5
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
kazakhstanKazakhstanQ Football, Q Sport International, Q Sport
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.022.53
Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
1124
Shots on Goal
57
Shots off Goal
49
Blocked Shots
28
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
77
Shots inside the Box
819
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
54
Free Kicks
1419
Offsides
31
Fouls
1914
Throw-ins
3025
Touches in the Opposition Box
2543
Passes
72% (273/380)65% (207/320)
Passes in the final third
68% (99/145)51% (71/139)
Crosses
39% (13/33)41% (9/22)
Tackles
75% (15/20)68% (13/19)
Clearances Total
4745
Interceptions
1115

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', Marin J. 🟨,
  • 21', Malykh A. 🟨,
  • 22', 0 - 1, Osipenko M. ,
  • 28', 1 - 1, Mansilla B. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Malykh A. , Zotov G. ,
  • 46', Marin J. , Kovalenko A. ,
  • 59', Rybchinskiy D. , Saharkhizan S. ,
  • 59', Gurluk E. , Mikhailov Y. ,
  • 66', Saharkhizan S. 🟨,
  • 70', 1 - 2, Komlichenko N. ,
  • 73', Basic I. , Savelyev M. ,
  • 74', Komlichenko N. , Bayramyan K. ,
  • 84', Komarov I. , Sako O. ,
  • 87', Savelyev M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Khotulev D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Orenburg
25.1%
Draw
24.1%
Rostov
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.2% 26.1% 42.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Orenburg's form might have worsened.
  • Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rostov's recent form is better than expected.
  • Orenburg - Rostov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.86
    (3.16)
    4.01
    (3.77)
    1.91
    (2.31)
    3.4%
    (1.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Orenburg - Rostov?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Orenburg will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Rostov will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rostov: 19%81%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Orenburg won 0.
    • Rostov is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recently Rostov have a series of home games.
    • Rostov will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Orenburg: Florentin G. (Injury) Sidorov M. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Rostov: El Askalany E. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Orenburg won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 20:22 (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Orenburg won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:6 (average 1.7:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orenburg - Rostov were as follows:
    18.09.2024 Rostov - Orenburg 3:1
    28.08.2024 Orenburg - Rostov 0:1
    17.08.2024 Rostov - Orenburg 3:2
    29.04.2024 Rostov - Orenburg 2:1
    06.11.2023 Orenburg - Rostov 1:1
    Latest results of Orenburg
    02.03.2025 Spartak Moscow - Orenburg 2:0
    06.02.2025 Orenburg - KAMAZ 0:0
    19.01.2025 Orenburg - Chelyabinsk 0:1
    08.12.2024 Akhmat Grozny - Orenburg 1:0
    30.11.2024 Akron Tolyatti - Orenburg 1:0
    Latest results of Rostov
    02.03.2025 Rostov - Dynamo Moscow 1:1
    18.02.2025 Rostov - Akron Tolyatti 0:1
    10.02.2025 Rostov - Dynamo Moscow 4:0
    07.02.2025 Rostov - Zenit 1:2
    31.01.2025 CSKA Moscow - Rostov 1:0
    Russian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lokomotiv Moscow11003:033
    2Krasnodar11003:033
    3Rubin Kazan11002:023
    4Zenit11002:113
    5Spartak Moscow11001:013
    6Baltika10101:101
    7Dynamo Moscow10101:101
    8Krylya Sovetov10101:101
    9Akron Togliatti10101:101
    10Orenburg10100:001
    11CSKA Moscow10100:001
    12FK Rostov10011:2-10
    13Dynamo Makhachkala10010:1-10
    14Akhmat Grozny10010:2-20
    15Pari NN10010:3-30
    16Sochi10010:3-30

          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ FNL