Result
1:1
12/04/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 24
- Referee: Sukhoy A. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Football Asia |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Russia | Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.95 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (193/300) | 73% (299/409) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (193/300) | 73% (299/409) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (31/80) | 44% (36/81) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 45% (50/111) | 63% (76/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.17 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Zobnin R. ⚽, Marquinhos (A),
- 40', Djiku A. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 1, Mohebi M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Dmitriev I. ↓, Solari P. ↑,
- 55', Zobnin R. ↓, Denisov D. ↑,
- 57', Kuchaev K. ↓, Komarov I. ↑,
- 63', Semenchuk D. 🟨,
- 66', Semenchuk D. ↓, Sako O. ↑,
- 80', Barco E. ↓, Martins C. ↑,
- 81', Ugalde M. ↓, Garcia L. ↑,
- 82', Ronaldo ↓, Ignatov G. ↑,
- 83', Suleymanov T. ↓, Langovich A. ↑,
- 83', Melekhin V. ↓, Shamonin A. ↑,
- 90', Garcia L. 🟨,
- 90+6', Yatimov R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rostov
27.4% | Draw
26.6% | Spartak Moscow
46% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rostov's performance.Spartak Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spartak Moscow might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rostov that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (+12.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spartak Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Rostov - Spartak Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.58 ↓
(4.4) |
3.69 ↓
(4) |
2.13 ↑
(1.67) |
1.9%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Rostov - Spartak Moscow?
Users Predictions:
Spartak Moscow will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 2.
- Rostov is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Spartak M is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Rostov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Spartak M could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Rostov: Golenkov E.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Spartak M: Babic S.
(Knee Injury)
Zorin D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Spartak M: Saus V.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:35. (average 1.4:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rostov won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1.5:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Rostov won against Spartak Moscow?
Rostov has won 6 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Moscow won against Rostov?
Spartak Moscow has won 6 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rostov - Spartak Moscow were as follows:
21.02.2026
Spartak Moscow
-
Rostov
5:2
18.10.2025
Spartak Moscow
-
Rostov
1:1
18.09.2025
Spartak Moscow
-
Rostov
1:2
30.07.2025
Rostov
-
Spartak Moscow
0:2
15.05.2025
Spartak Moscow
-
Rostov
1:2
Latest results of Spartak Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 49:17 | 32 | 53 |
| 2 | Zenit | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 44:17 | 27 | 52 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 50:33 | 17 | 45 |
| 4 | Baltika | 24 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 34:13 | 21 | 44 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 36:26 | 10 | 42 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 38:32 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 43:35 | 8 | 34 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 23:25 | -2 | 34 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 29:31 | -2 | 31 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 19:26 | -7 | 26 |
| 11 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 15:30 | -15 | 23 |
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 30:43 | -13 | 22 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 22 |
| 14 | Pari NN | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 20:39 | -19 | 21 |
| 15 | Orenburg | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 24:36 | -12 | 20 |
| 16 | Sochi | 24 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 21:53 | -32 | 12 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
