Result
1:2
11/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 12
- Referee: Tierney P. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.88 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 57% (157/274) | 69% (254/370) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 57% (157/274) | 69% (254/370) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (28/94) | 40% (30/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 40% (36/90) | 67% (96/144) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 28% (7/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 1.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 44 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.04 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', Vale J. ↓, Wheatley E. ↑,
- 26', 1 - 0, Hoskins S. (Pen),
- 35', Baptiste J. 🟨,
- 38', McCarthy C. 🟨,
- 45+3', Jules Z. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', James R. ↓, Hugill J. ↑,
- 58', 🟨,
- 58', Hoskins S. 🟨,
- 67', Sherif M. ↓, Nombe S. ↑,
- 67', McWilliams S. ↓, Spence K. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 1, Rafferty J. ⚽, Hugill J. (A),
- 83', Swyer K. ↓, Jacobs M. ↑,
- 86', Campbell D. 🟨,
- 87', 1 - 2, Benson J. ⚽,
- 90', Perkins J. ↓, Wormleighton J. ↑,
- 90+1', Benson J. ↓, Kelly L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Northampton Town
44.7% | Draw
28.3% | Rotherham United
27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Northampton Town - Rotherham United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↓
(2.22) |
3.3 ↓
(3.31) |
3.46 ↑
(3.21) |
6.7%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Rotherham United?
Users Predictions:
Northampton Town will win
(18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Northampton Town will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 0.
- Northampton is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Rotherham's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Rotherham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Northampton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Northampton: Guthrie J.
(Knee Injury)
Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Rotherham: Hatton B.
(Hamstring Injury)
Holmes T.
(Knee Injury)
Kaleta M.
(Knee Injury)
Raggett S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Northampton: Burge L.
(Inactive)
Eaves T.
(Thigh Injury)
Edwards K.
(Inactive)
Guinness-Walker N.
(Injury)
List E.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Rotherham: Benson J.
(Injury)
Kayode J.
(Knee Injury)
Nombe S.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1:12. (average 0.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Northampton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Rotherham United?
Northampton Town has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rotherham United won against Northampton Town?
Rotherham United has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Northampton Town - Rotherham United were as follows:
01.04.2025
Northampton Town
-
Rotherham United
0:2
14.12.2024
Rotherham United
-
Northampton Town
3:0
Latest results of Northampton Town
Latest results of Rotherham United
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Stockport County | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 28 |
| 2 | Bradford City | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 24:18 | 6 | 27 |
| 3 | Bolton | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23:15 | 8 | 26 |
| 4 | Cardiff | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22:14 | 8 | 26 |
| 5 | Stevenage | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 18:11 | 7 | 26 |
| 6 | Lincoln | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 25 |
| 7 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 25 |
| 8 | Mansfield | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22:17 | 5 | 22 |
| 9 | Luton | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 18:15 | 3 | 22 |
| 10 | Huddersfield | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 21:19 | 2 | 22 |
| 11 | Barnsley | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 21 |
| 12 | Rotherham | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:18 | 0 | 21 |
| 13 | Northampton | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 12:14 | -2 | 20 |
| 14 | Wycombe | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 22:17 | 5 | 19 |
| 15 | Burton | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 19 |
| 16 | Wigan | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 18 |
| 17 | Reading | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 18 |
| 18 | Doncaster | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 18 |
| 19 | Exeter | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 15:15 | 0 | 17 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 22:27 | -5 | 17 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:23 | -7 | 15 |
| 22 | Peterborough | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15:22 | -7 | 13 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 11:19 | -8 | 13 |
| 24 | Plymouth | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 18:28 | -10 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
