Northampton Town vs Rotherham United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
11/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 12
  • Referee: Tierney P. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.860.88
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
312
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
57% (157/274)69% (254/370)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.860.88
xG on target (xGOT)
0.950.96
Total shots
312
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
19
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
39
Shots outside the Box
02
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1127
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
178
Passes
57% (157/274)69% (254/370)
Long passes
30% (28/94)40% (30/75)
Passes in final third
40% (36/90)67% (96/144)
Crosses
30% (6/20)28% (7/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.241.26
Throw-ins
2130
Fouls
817
Tackles
89% (8/9)83% (10/12)
Duels won
5562
Clearances
4428
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
00
xGOT faced
0.960.95
Goals prevented
-1.04-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', Vale J. , Wheatley E. ,
  • 26', 1 - 0, Hoskins S. (Pen),
  • 35', Baptiste J. 🟨,
  • 38', McCarthy C. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Jules Z. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', James R. , Hugill J. ,
  • 58', 🟨,
  • 58', Hoskins S. 🟨,
  • 67', Sherif M. , Nombe S. ,
  • 67', McWilliams S. , Spence K. ,
  • 71', 1 - 1, Rafferty J. , Hugill J. (A),
  • 83', Swyer K. , Jacobs M. ,
  • 86', Campbell D. 🟨,
  • 87', 1 - 2, Benson J. ,
  • 90', Perkins J. , Wormleighton J. ,
  • 90+1', Benson J. , Kelly L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Northampton Town
44.7%
Draw
28.3%
Rotherham United
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 28.4% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 28.1% 29%

Northampton Town - Rotherham United Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.11
(2.22)
3.3
(3.31)
3.46
(3.21)
6.7%
(6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Rotherham United?
  • Users Predictions: Northampton Town will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.85%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Northampton Town will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 0.
    • Northampton is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Rotherham's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Rotherham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Northampton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Northampton: Guthrie J. (Knee Injury) Shaw L. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Rotherham: Hatton B. (Hamstring Injury) Holmes T. (Knee Injury) Kaleta M. (Knee Injury) Raggett S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Northampton: Burge L. (Inactive) Eaves T. (Thigh Injury) Edwards K. (Inactive) Guinness-Walker N. (Injury) List E. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Rotherham: Benson J. (Injury) Kayode J. (Knee Injury) Nombe S. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1:12. (average 0.1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Northampton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Northampton Town - Rotherham United were as follows:
    01.04.2025 Northampton Town - Rotherham United 0:2
    14.12.2024 Rotherham United - Northampton Town 3:0
    Latest results of Northampton Town
    Latest results of Rotherham United
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff17112431:171435
    2Bradford City1897226:18834
    3Stevenage1694319:11831
    4Lincoln1894523:18531
    5Stockport County1785423:21229
    6Bolton1777324:16828
    7Luton1883721:22-127
    8Huddersfield1882830:28226
    9AFC Wimbledon1782723:25-226
    10Barnsley1574426:19725
    11Wigan1867521:20125
    12Wycombe1866626:20624
    13Leyton Orient1873829:29024
    14Rotherham1866620:20024
    15Northampton1772816:17-123
    16Mansfield1764723:23022
    17Reading1757520:20022
    18Doncaster1864817:24-722
    19Burton1864816:24-822
    20Exeter17521016:18-217
    21Peterborough17511119:25-616
    22Blackpool18441017:28-1116
    23Plymouth18511219:32-1316
    24Port Vale18351011:21-1014

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two