Result
2:1
27/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 29
- Referee: Young A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.84 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (244/332) | 62% (135/217) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (244/332) | 62% (135/217) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (21/57) | 32% (20/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (79/117) | 52% (41/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (7/38) | 22% (5/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.71 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.30 | -0.93 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, Eaves T. ⚽, Guthrie J. (A),
- 28', Nombe S. 🟨,
- 39', Kaleta M. ↓, Martha A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', James R. ↓, Gore D. ↑,
- 46', Gray H. 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 1, Gray H. ⚽, Powell J. (A),
- 71', Willis J. ↓, Dyche M. ↑,
- 71', Burroughs J. ↓, Swyer K. ↑,
- 73', Spence K. ↓, Adegboyega E. ↑,
- 81', Eaves T. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
- 82', List E. ↓, Vale J. ↑,
- 82', Hoskins S. ↓, Jacobs M. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 1, Adegboyega E. ⚽, Powell J. (A),
- 86', McWilliams S. ↓, Yearwood D. ↑,
- 90+2', Rafferty J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rotherham United
44.9% | Draw
29% | Northampton Town
26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rotherham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Rotherham United - Northampton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↓
(2.15) |
3.24 ↑
(3.15) |
3.57 ↑
(3.23) |
6.8%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Rotherham United - Northampton Town?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Rotherham will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Northampton will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rotherham: 44.1% – 85.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Northampton (2.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Rotherham (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rotherham United will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Rotherham (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Northampton (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 5.
- Rotherham has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Northampton has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Rotherham might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Rotherham: Benson J.
(Injury)
Douglas H.
(Inactive)
Hall D.
(Inactive)
Hatton B.
(Inactive)
Kayode J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Northampton: Fornah T.
(Inactive)
Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Rotherham: Gore D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Northampton: Edwards K.
(Injury)
Forbes M.
(Inactive)
McGeehan C.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:2. (average 1.8:0.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rotherham won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 1.8:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Rotherham United won against Northampton Town?
Rotherham United has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Rotherham United?
Northampton Town has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rotherham United - Northampton Town were as follows:
11.10.2025
Northampton Town
-
Rotherham United
1:2
01.04.2025
Northampton Town
-
Rotherham United
0:2
14.12.2024
Rotherham United
-
Northampton Town
3:0
Latest results of Rotherham United
Latest results of Northampton Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
