Result
3:2
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 27
- Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.89 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (369/482) | 57% (149/261) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (369/482) | 57% (149/261) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (32/63) | 37% (31/84) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (104/160) | 44% (52/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 39 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 70% (16/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 71 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.42 | 0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', 1 - 0, Raggett S. (Own goal),
- 24', Edun T. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 1, Olowu J. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Holmes J. ↓, James R. ↑,
- 46', Kelly L. ↓, Spence K. ↑,
- 46', Hugill J. ↓, Nombe S. ↑,
- 53', Stokes J. 🟨,
- 55', Rafferty J. 🟨,
- 55', Dawson C. 🟨,
- 56', 2 - 1, Dawson C. (Own goal),
- 60', 2 - 2, Nombe S. ⚽, McWilliams S. (A),
- 61', Osborn B. ↓, Fevrier J. ↑,
- 61', Olowu J. ↓, Andresson B. ↑,
- 69', Kaleta M. ↓, Jules Z. ↑,
- 71', Norwood O. 🟨,
- 73', Dacres-Cogley J. ↓, Hunt J. ↑,
- 76', 3 - 2, Andresson B. ⚽,
- 82', Stokes J. ↓, Diamond J. ↑,
- 89', Spence K. 🟨,
- 90+5', Rafferty J. ↓, Agbaire L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Stockport County
62.7% | Draw
22.1% | Rotherham United
15.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Stockport County - Rotherham United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(1.53) |
4.22 ↑
(4.21) |
6.15 ↑
(5.64) |
7%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Stockport County - Rotherham United?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Stockport will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Rotherham will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stockport: 57.1% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stockport County will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- Stockport is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Rotherham has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Rotherham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Stockport is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Stockport: Bate L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Rotherham: Kayode J.
(Knee Injury)
Sherif M.
(Inactive)
Spence K.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Stockport: Connolly C.
(Injury)
Hoskonen A.
(Muscle Injury)
Onyango T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Rotherham: Benson J.
(Injury)
Douglas H.
(Inactive)
Gore D.
(Inactive)
Hall D.
(Inactive)
James R.
(Inactive)
Kaleta M.
(Inactive)
Nombe S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Stockport won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home match between the teams, Stockport won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Stockport County won against Rotherham United?
Stockport County has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rotherham United won against Stockport County?
Rotherham United has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stockport County - Rotherham United were as follows:
20.09.2025
Rotherham United
-
Stockport County
0:1
12.04.2025
Stockport County
-
Rotherham United
3:1
29.12.2024
Rotherham United
-
Stockport County
1:1
Latest results of Stockport County
Latest results of Rotherham United
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
