Result
3:2
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 27
- Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.89 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (369/482) | 57% (149/261) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (369/482) | 57% (149/261) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (32/63) | 37% (31/84) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (104/160) | 44% (52/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 39 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 70% (16/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 71 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.42 | 0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', 1 - 0, Raggett S. (Own goal),
- 24', Edun T. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 1, Olowu J. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Holmes J. ↓, James R. ↑,
- 46', Kelly L. ↓, Spence K. ↑,
- 46', Hugill J. ↓, Nombe S. ↑,
- 53', Stokes J. 🟨,
- 55', Rafferty J. 🟨,
- 55', Dawson C. 🟨,
- 56', 2 - 1, Dawson C. (Own goal),
- 60', 2 - 2, Nombe S. ⚽, McWilliams S. (A),
- 61', Osborn B. ↓, Fevrier J. ↑,
- 61', Olowu J. ↓, Andresson B. ↑,
- 69', Kaleta M. ↓, Jules Z. ↑,
- 71', Norwood O. 🟨,
- 73', Dacres-Cogley J. ↓, Hunt J. ↑,
- 76', 3 - 2, Andresson B. ⚽,
- 82', Stokes J. ↓, Diamond J. ↑,
- 89', Spence K. 🟨,
- 90+5', Rafferty J. ↓, Agbaire L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Stockport County 62.7% | Draw 22.1% | Rotherham United 15.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Stockport County - Rotherham United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.49 ↓ (1.53) |
4.22 ↑ (4.21) |
6.15 ↑ (5.64) |
7% (6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Stockport County - Rotherham United?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Stockport will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Rotherham will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stockport: 57.1% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stockport County will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- Stockport is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Rotherham has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Rotherham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Stockport is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Stockport: Bate L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Rotherham: Kayode J.
(Knee Injury)
Sherif M.
(Inactive)
Spence K.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Stockport: Connolly C.
(Injury)
Hoskonen A.
(Muscle Injury)
Onyango T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Rotherham: Benson J.
(Injury)
Douglas H.
(Inactive)
Gore D.
(Inactive)
Hall D.
(Inactive)
James R.
(Inactive)
Kaleta M.
(Inactive)
Nombe S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Stockport won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home match between the teams, Stockport won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Stockport County won against Rotherham United?
Stockport County has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rotherham United won against Stockport County?
Rotherham United has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stockport County - Rotherham United were as follows:
20.09.2025
Rotherham United
-
Stockport County
0:1
12.04.2025
Stockport County
-
Rotherham United
3:1
29.12.2024
Rotherham United
-
Stockport County
1:1
Latest results of Stockport County
Latest results of Rotherham United
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 42 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 79:36 | 43 | 93 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 76:42 | 34 | 81 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 42 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 71 |
| 4 | Bolton | 42 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 59:44 | 15 | 70 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 59:50 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 41 | 19 | 10 | 12 | 43:38 | 5 | 67 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 66:58 | 8 | 63 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 65:56 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Reading | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 62:55 | 7 | 62 |
| 10 | Luton | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 57:50 | 7 | 61 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 63:51 | 12 | 60 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 40 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 63:65 | -2 | 54 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 50:43 | 7 | 53 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 43:64 | -21 | 53 |
| 15 | Wigan | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 46:56 | -10 | 52 |
| 16 | Peterborough | 41 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 60:58 | 2 | 51 |
| 17 | Burton | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 46:56 | -10 | 51 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 43 | 14 | 9 | 20 | 51:65 | -14 | 51 |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 57:66 | -9 | 50 |
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:63 | -14 | 50 |
| 21 | Exeter | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 47:55 | -8 | 47 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 41 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 36:62 | -26 | 37 |
| 23 | Northampton | 41 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 34:60 | -26 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 30:54 | -24 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Qualified for Championship