Result
2:0
18/03/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 11
- Referee: Benitez C. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports, Tigo Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 1.29 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (185/255) | 84% (337/402) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 1.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (185/255) | 84% (337/402) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (28/48) | 55% (26/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (51/85) | 65% (69/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 27% (8/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.37 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.06 | -0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Bobadilla C. ↓, Dominguez C. ↑,
- 46', Klimowicz M. ↓, Aliseda I. ↑,
- 46', Palacios J. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
- 46', Leguizamon A. ↓, Gimenez Delgado J. J. ↑,
- 46', Rojas R. ↓, Gimenez C. ↑,
- 56', Dominguez F. 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 0, Mendieta W. (Penalty Awarded),
- 61', Mosquera H. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
- 64', Ferreira R. 🟨,
- 72', Gimenez G. ↓, Morel J. ↑,
- 73', Viera W. ↓, Amarilla L. ↑,
- 74', Mendieta W. 🟨,
- 74', Mendieta W. ↓, Manzur G. ↑,
- 79', Amarilla L. 🟨,
- 84', Martinez F. 🟨,
- 86', 2 - 0, Perez E. ⚽,
- 89', Gimenez C. ↓, Roldan M. ↑,
- 90+3', Gimenez C. 🟨,
- 90+5', 🟨,
- 90+5', Ferreira R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rubio Ñu
22.5% | Draw
29.7% | Cerro Porteño
47.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rubio Ñu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rubio Ñu than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cerro Porteño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Rubio Ñu - Cerro Porteño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.12 ↓
(4.61) |
3.13 ↓
(3.37) |
1.93 ↑
(1.78) |
8%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Rubio Ñu - Cerro Porteño?
Users Predictions:
Cerro Porteño will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cerro Porteño will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rubio Ñu won 1.
- Rubio Ñu has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cerro Porteño is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Rubio Ñu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Cerro Porteño is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rubio Ñu won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 18:38. (average 0.9:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rubio Ñu won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:23. (average 0.7:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Rubio Ñu won against Cerro Porteño?
Rubio Ñu has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Rubio Ñu?
Cerro Porteño has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rubio Ñu - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
Latest results of Rubio Ñu
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 24:9 | 15 | 36 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 25:13 | 12 | 32 |
| 3 | Ameliano | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 27 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 24 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 19:14 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Guarani | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 21:17 | 4 | 21 |
| 7 | Libertad Asuncion | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21:16 | 5 | 20 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 15 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 12:26 | -14 | 14 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16:24 | -8 | 12 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 11:33 | -22 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
