Şəfa vs Səbail – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
09/04/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • I Liqa - Round 21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 0, Zamanov E. ,
  • 57', 2 - 0, Aliyev N. ,
  • 61', 2 - 1, Quliyev K. (Penalty Awarded),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Şəfa
48.6%
Draw
27.9%
Səbail
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.4% 27% 22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8% 25.8% 21.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Şəfa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Səbail has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Şəfa than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Səbail than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Şəfa - Səbail Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.82)
    3.31
    (3.4)
    3.92
    (4.05)
    8.3%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • In this match, Şəfa is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Şəfa won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Şəfa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Şəfa - Səbail were as follows:
    12.02.2026 Səbail - Şəfa 0:0
    23.10.2025 Şəfa - Səbail 2:2
    Latest results of Şəfa
    03.04.2026 Mingachevir - Şəfa 5:2
    18.03.2026 Şəfa - Shahdag Qusar 1:0
    11.03.2026 Shimal - Şəfa 0:2
    05.03.2026 Şəfa - Shahdag Qusar 2:1
    25.02.2026 Difai Ağsu - Şəfa 1:8
    Latest results of Səbail
    02.04.2026 Səbail - Baku Sporting 1:0
    18.03.2026 Səbail - MOIK Baku 2:2
    12.03.2026 Mingachevir - Səbail 0:1
    06.03.2026 Cəbrayıl - Səbail 1:4
    24.02.2026 Səbail - Baku Sporting 0:0
    Azerbaijan First Division Table
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Safa Baku21146147:192848
    2Baku Sporting21117332:181440
    3Mingachevir21116438:191939
    4Sabail21107428:171137
    5Sahdag Qusar2194831:26531
    6MOIK Baku2175925:31-626
    7Zaqatala21741023:27-425
    8Cebrayil21621334:42-820
    9Difai Agsu21341425:49-2413
    10Shimal21331518:53-3512

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