Result
4:1
08/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Rakhmonaliyev U. (Penalty Awarded),
- 11', 2 - 0, Malouda A. ⚽,
- 16', 3 - 0, Aliyev K. ⚽,
- 37', Hasanalizada B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', Ygor Nogueira 🟨,
- 58', Keyta H. ↓, Santos F. ↑,
- 58', Simakala B. ↓, Ramon Machado ↑,
- 59', Ahmadzada M. 🟨,
- 69', 4 - 0, Aliyev K. ⚽,
- 70', Ahmadzada M. ↓, Wanderson ↑,
- 70', Isayev A. ↓, Sekidika J. ↑,
- 71', Aliyev K. 🟨,
- 76', Aliyev K. ↓, Ende S. ↑,
- 76', Rakhmonaliyev U. ↓, Ould Khaled Z. ↑,
- 76', Ygor Nogueira ↓, Dashdamirov R. ↑,
- 76', Diniyev C. ↓, Cohen B. ↑,
- 76', Alxasov ↓, Mammadov R. ↑,
- 80', Andrade P. 🟨,
- 82', Buludov O. 🟨,
- 86', 4 - 1, Santos F. ⚽,
- 88', Malouda A. ↓, Parris K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sabah
63.6% | Draw
23.3% | Araz Naxçıvan
13.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sabah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sabah's performance.Araz Naxçıvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Araz Naxçıvan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabah than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sabah that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Araz Naxçıvan than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Araz Naxçıvan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sabah - Araz Naxçıvan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↓
(1.72) |
3.91 ↑
(3.38) |
6.93 ↑
(4.5) |
9.8%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sabah - Araz Naxçıvan?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 - Sabah (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Sabah will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sabah will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Sabah (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sabah won 1.
- Sabah is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Araz has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Sabah may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Sabah is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Sabah will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sabah won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sabah won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sabah won against Araz Naxçıvan?
Sabah has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Araz Naxçıvan won against Sabah?
Araz Naxçıvan has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sabah - Araz Naxçıvan were as follows:
25.10.2025
Araz Naxçıvan
-
Sabah
2:2
03.05.2025
Araz Naxçıvan
-
Sabah
1:1
04.03.2025
Sabah
-
Araz Naxçıvan
2:2
14.12.2024
Araz Naxçıvan
-
Sabah
0:1
05.10.2024
Sabah
-
Araz Naxçıvan
1:1
Latest results of Araz Naxçıvan
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 45:15 | 30 | 53 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 39:16 | 23 | 46 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 27:14 | 13 | 41 |
| 4 | Zira | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 38 |
| 5 | Araz | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 6 | Neftci Baku | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 30:20 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Sumqayit | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 31:30 | 1 | 31 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:26 | -3 | 26 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 18:25 | -7 | 21 |
| 10 | Gabala | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 19:29 | -10 | 16 |
| 11 | Kapaz | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 17:45 | -28 | 16 |
| 12 | Karvan | 22 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14:45 | -31 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
