Araz Naxçıvan vs Sabah – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:4
07/04/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 26
  • Where to Watch on TV:
azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport

Match Stats

Ball possession
37%63%
Total shots
516
Shots on target
49
Corner kicks
17
Yellow cards
31
Total shots
516
Shots on target
49
Shots off target
17
Corner kicks
17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Santos F. ,
  • 13', 1 - 1, Simic V. ,
  • 26', 2 - 1, Keyta H. ,
  • 37', 2 - 2, Mickels J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 44', Santos F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Isayev A. , Malouda A. ,
  • 59', Mickels J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 62', Keyta H. 🟨,
  • 63', 2 - 3, Mickels J. ,
  • 74', 🟨,
  • 77', Simakala B. , Boli C. ,
  • 77', Paro I. , Abbasov U. ,
  • 81', 2 - 4, Parris K. ,
  • 82', Parris K. , Mbina O. ,
  • 85', Santos F. , Ramon Machado ,
  • 85', Ahmadzada M. , Diniyev C. ,
  • 90+4', Simic V. , Sekidika J. ,
  • 90+5', Mickels J. , Aliyev K. ,
  • 90+7', Abbasov U. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Araz Naxçıvan
18.2%
Draw
23.1%
Sabah
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.2% 24% 57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.5% 23% 60.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Araz Naxçıvan have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Sabah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Araz Naxçıvan than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabah than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Araz Naxçıvan - Sabah Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5
    (4.99)
    3.94
    (3.78)
    1.55
    (1.57)
    9.7%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Araz Naxçıvan - Sabah?
  • Users Predictions: Sabah will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sabah will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Araz won 0.
    • Araz has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sabah is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Sabah may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Sabah is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Araz won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Araz won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Araz Naxçıvan - Sabah were as follows:
    08.02.2026 Sabah - Araz Naxçıvan 4:1
    25.10.2025 Araz Naxçıvan - Sabah 2:2
    03.05.2025 Araz Naxçıvan - Sabah 1:1
    04.03.2025 Sabah - Araz Naxçıvan 2:2
    14.12.2024 Araz Naxçıvan - Sabah 0:1
    Latest results of Araz Naxçıvan
    Latest results of Sabah
    03.04.2026 Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah 2:2
    19.03.2026 Sabah - Sumgayit 3:1
    14.03.2026 İmişli - Sabah 0:5
    10.03.2026 Sabah - Gabala 7:1
    05.03.2026 Gabala - Sabah 3:4
    Azerbaijan Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sabah Baku27206166:214566
    2Qarabag26175455:183756
    3Turan Tovuz27157535:191652
    4Zira271111536:30644
    5Neftci Baku261110544:242043
    6Araz271161037:49-1239
    7Shamakhi27711925:28-332
    8Sumqayit27951335:40-532
    9Imisli FK275111120:37-1726
    10Kapaz27631822:54-3221
    11Gabala27541825:43-1819
    12Karvan27252020:57-3711

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