Result
2:0
08/12/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 14
- Referee: Hamzazade R. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', D'Almeida S. ↓, Mahmudov E. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 0, Zedadka A. ⚽,
- 61', Faraj I. ↓, Rezabala J. ↑,
- 61', Mathew I. ↓, Kuc E. ↑,
- 61', Aboubakar V. ↓, Vargas F. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 0, Mickels J. ⚽,
- 79', Seck M. 🟨,
- 79', Mammadov M. ↓, Ortiz L. ↑,
- 82', Lepinjica I. ↓, Khaybulaev A. ↑,
- 85', Rezabala J. 🟨,
- 87', Isayev A. ↓, Guliev A. ↑,
- 90+2', Simic V. ↓, Mutallimov T. ↑,
- 90+2', Zedadka A. ↓, Seydiyev A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sabah
47.5% | Draw
27.6% | Neftchi Baku
24.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sabah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Neftchi Baku has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabah than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftchi Baku than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Sabah - Neftchi Baku Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↓
(1.98) |
3.3 ↑
(3.23) |
3.65 ↓
(3.69) |
9.9%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sabah - Neftchi Baku?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sabah (votes: 1 - 50%). Neftchi (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Sabah will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sabah won 2.
- Sabah has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Neftchi is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sabah will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sabah won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:15. (average 1.1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sabah won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 0.9:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Sabah won against Neftchi Baku?
Sabah has won 7 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Neftchi Baku won against Sabah?
Neftchi Baku has won 1 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sabah - Neftchi Baku were as follows:
14.09.2025
Neftchi Baku
-
Sabah
0:0
24.05.2025
Sabah
-
Neftchi Baku
1:0
23.04.2025
Sabah
-
Neftchi Baku
1:1
02.04.2025
Neftchi Baku
-
Sabah
1:2
19.01.2025
Neftchi Baku
-
Sabah
1:1
Latest results of Neftchi Baku
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 45:15 | 30 | 53 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 39:16 | 23 | 46 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 27:14 | 13 | 41 |
| 4 | Zira | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 38 |
| 5 | Araz | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 6 | Neftci Baku | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 30:20 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Sumqayit | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 31:30 | 1 | 31 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:26 | -3 | 26 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 18:25 | -7 | 21 |
| 10 | Gabala | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 19:29 | -10 | 16 |
| 11 | Kapaz | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 17:45 | -28 | 16 |
| 12 | Karvan | 22 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14:45 | -31 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
