Result
1:3
22/12/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 16
- Referee: Qurbanov T. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', Ahmadzada R. 🟨,
- 12', Isayev A. ↓, Parris K. ↑,
- 16', Vasquez R. 🟨,
- 26', 0 - 1, Simic V. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Murata M. ↓, Jankovic A. ↑,
- 50', 0 - 2, Simic V. ⚽,
- 55', Ramalingom A. 🟨,
- 59', Ahmadzada R. ↓, Kehat R. ↑,
- 59', Simon N. ↓, Ninkovic N. ↑,
- 62', 0 - 3, Keffel (Own goal),
- 66', 1 - 3, Vasquez R. ⚽,
- 72', Malouda A. ↓, Sekidika J. ↑,
- 72', Rakhmonaliyev U. ↓, Khaybulaev A. ↑,
- 89', Abdullazada S. 🟨,
- 90+7', Ninkovic N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sumgayit
23.9% | Draw
28% | Sabah
48.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sumgayit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Sabah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumgayit than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabah than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Sumgayit - Sabah Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.84 ↓
(4.47) |
3.27 ↓
(3.34) |
1.91 ↑
(1.77) |
9.1%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sumgayit - Sabah?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Sabah will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sabah: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Sabah (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB, 1st Half - Sabah (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Sabah (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sumgayit won 0.
- Sumgayit is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sabah is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Sumgayit may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Sabah is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sumgayit won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 13:45. (average 0.7:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sumgayit won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:24. (average 0.8:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Sumgayit won against Sabah?
Sumgayit has won 2 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sabah won against Sumgayit?
Sabah has won 8 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sumgayit - Sabah were as follows:
28.09.2025
Sabah
-
Sumgayit
1:1
29.03.2025
Sumgayit
-
Sabah
3:3
27.02.2025
Sumgayit
-
Sabah
0:4
05.02.2025
Sabah
-
Sumgayit
0:0
25.01.2025
Sabah
-
Sumgayit
0:0
Latest results of Sumgayit
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 45:15 | 30 | 53 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 39:16 | 23 | 46 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 27:14 | 13 | 41 |
| 4 | Zira | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 38 |
| 5 | Araz | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 6 | Neftci Baku | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 30:20 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Sumqayit | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 31:30 | 1 | 31 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:26 | -3 | 26 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 18:25 | -7 | 21 |
| 10 | Gabala | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 19:29 | -10 | 16 |
| 11 | Kapaz | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 17:45 | -28 | 16 |
| 12 | Karvan | 22 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14:45 | -31 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
