Sacramento Republic vs Miami – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/10/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Heart Health Park (Sacramento, CA).

USL Championship
Referee: Hernandez C. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.24	0.73
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
12	10
Shots on target
3	6
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
9	3
Passes
84% (383/458)	77% (286/372)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24	0.73
xG on target (xGOT)
0.96	1.27
Total shots
12	10
Shots on target
3	6
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
6	7
Shots outside the Box
6	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
9	3
Touches in opposition box
22	12
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
17	13
Passes
84% (383/458)	77% (286/372)
Long passes
42% (19/45)	37% (29/79)
Passes in final third
69% (80/116)	50% (39/78)
Crosses
21% (4/19)	31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.28	0.19
Throw-ins
14	23
Fouls
13	17
Tackles
71% (5/7)	71% (12/17)
Duels won
47	55
Clearances
11	24
Interceptions
9	4
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	3
xGOT faced
1.27	0.96
Goals prevented
0.27	0.96

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Romero M. 🟨,
30', Luis Felipe 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Blanco S. 🟨,
66', Timmer J. ↓, Kleemann F. ↑,
66', Lopez R. ↓, Spaulding R. ↑,
67', Gavilanes A. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
75', Parano C. ↓, Kimbrough D. ↑,
75', Herrera J. ↓, Bennett K. ↑,
75', Zarate T. ↓, Rivera R. ↑,
76', Blanco S. ↓, Veron D. ↑,
87', 0 - 1, Knutson D. ⚽,
88', Bonfiglio F. ↓, Mitrano A. ↑,
88', Edwards A. ↓, Gurr J. ↑,
89', Kimbrough D. 🟨,
90+4', Diaz G. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Sacramento Republic
61.4%

Draw
22.1%

Miami
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

20.1%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

19.5%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Sacramento Republic - Miami Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.49)	4.19 ↓ (4.61)	5.61 ↑ (5.26)	8.1% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Preview Facts

Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Sacramento Republic is considered a favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
Including home match between the teams, Sacramento Republic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against Miami?

Sacramento Republic has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Miami won against Sacramento Republic?

Miami has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sacramento Republic - Miami were as follows:

16.03.2024 Miami - Sacramento Republic 0:1

14.10.2023 Sacramento Republic - Miami 1:0

Latest results of Sacramento Republic

22.10.2025 Sacramento Republic - Charleston Battery 1:0 ✺

17.10.2025 Lexington - Sacramento Republic 2:2 ✺

11.10.2025 Hartford Athletic - Sacramento Republic 3:2 ✺

04.10.2025 Sacramento Republic - Hartford Athletic 0:1 ✺

01.10.2025 Sacramento Republic - Orange County SC 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Miami

19.10.2025 Birmingham Legion - Miami 2:3 ✺

11.10.2025 Louisville City - Miami 1:0 ✺

04.10.2025 Miami - Pittsburgh Riverhounds 3:1 ✺

26.09.2025 North Carolina - Miami 1:0 ✺

19.09.2025 Miami - Rhode Island 0:1 ✺

USL Championship Table

2026

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Charleston	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Tampa Bay	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Pittsburgh	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Indy Eleven	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Detroit	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Louisville City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Miami FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Hartford Athletic	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Birmingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Loudoun	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Rhode Island	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Sporting Jax	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Brooklyn	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Orange County SC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	New Mexico	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Sacramento Republic	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	FC Tulsa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Colorado Springs	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	San Antonio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Phoenix Rising	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Oakland Roots	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Monterey Bay	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Las Vegas Lights	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	El Paso	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Lexington	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

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