Sacramento Republic vs Miami – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
25/10/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Hernandez C. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.73
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
84% (383/458)77% (286/372)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.73
xG on target (xGOT)
0.961.27
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
2212
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1713
Passes
84% (383/458)77% (286/372)
Long passes
42% (19/45)37% (29/79)
Passes in final third
69% (80/116)50% (39/78)
Crosses
21% (4/19)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.280.19
Throw-ins
1423
Fouls
1317
Tackles
71% (5/7)71% (12/17)
Duels won
4755
Clearances
1124
Interceptions
94
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
1.270.96
Goals prevented
0.270.96

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 21', Romero M. 🟨,
  • 30', Luis Felipe 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 61', Blanco S. 🟨,
  • 66', Timmer J. , Kleemann F. ,
  • 66', Lopez R. , Spaulding R. ,
  • 67', Gavilanes A. , Diaz G. ,
  • 75', Parano C. , Kimbrough D. ,
  • 75', Herrera J. , Bennett K. ,
  • 75', Zarate T. , Rivera R. ,
  • 76', Blanco S. , Veron D. ,
  • 87', 0 - 1, Knutson D. ,
  • 88', Bonfiglio F. , Mitrano A. ,
  • 88', Edwards A. , Gurr J. ,
  • 89', Kimbrough D. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Diaz G. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Sacramento Republic
61.4%
Draw
22.1%
Miami
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.2% 20.1% 17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2% 19.5% 17.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Sacramento Republic - Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.49)
    4.19
    (4.61)
    5.61
    (5.26)
    8.1%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Sacramento Republic is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
    • Including home match between the teams, Sacramento Republic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sacramento Republic - Miami were as follows:
    16.03.2024 Miami - Sacramento Republic 0:1
    14.10.2023 Sacramento Republic - Miami 1:0
    Latest results of Miami
    19.10.2025 Birmingham Legion - Miami 2:3
    11.10.2025 Louisville City - Miami 1:0
    26.09.2025 North Carolina - Miami 1:0
    19.09.2025 Miami - Rhode Island 0:1
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City330010:469
    2Hartford Athletic32105:147
    3Tampa Bay22004:046
    4Charleston22005:326
    5Detroit21014:223
    6Indy Eleven21012:203
    7Pittsburgh31024:7-33
    8Brooklyn31022:5-33
    9Loudoun20112:3-11
    10Rhode Island20113:5-21
    11Birmingham30122:4-21
    12Miami FC20111:4-31
    13Sporting Jax20111:4-31


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Oakland Roots32105:327
    2San Antonio32103:127
    3Sacramento Republic31203:125
    4Orange County SC31203:215
    5El Paso21105:234
    6Colorado Springs31115:504
    7FC Tulsa31113:4-14
    8Phoenix Rising30214:5-12
    9Lexington20111:2-11
    10Las Vegas Lights30125:7-21
    11Monterey Bay30121:5-41
    12New Mexico20021:3-20

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)