Result
28/06/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
| |
---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.70 | 0.61 |
Ball Possession |
---|
47% | 53% |
Total shots |
---|
6 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
82% (338/412) | 84% (380/454) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 5 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.70 | 0.61 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.71 | 0.66 |
Total shots |
---|
6 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
1 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
10 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
82% (338/412) | 84% (380/454) |
Long passes |
---|
40% (26/65) | 52% (22/42) |
Passes in final third |
---|
54% (30/56) | 72% (101/140) |
Crosses |
---|
67% (2/3) | 32% (6/19) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.52 | 0.47 |
Throw-ins |
---|
22 | 24 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
92% (12/13) | 87% (13/15) |
Duels won |
---|
46 | 47 |
Clearances |
---|
18 | 15 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.66 | 0.71 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.66 | -0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Spaulding R. 🟨,
- 18', Kone C. 🟨,
- 32', Benitez M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Spaulding R. ↓, Wanner D. ↑,
- 50', Parano C. 🟨,
- 50', Scott K. 🟨,
- 58', Kone C. ↓, Zubak E. ↑,
- 58', Scott K. ↓, Kelly S. ↑,
- 58', Sylla O. ↓, Karam G. ↑,
- 66', Lopez R. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
- 68', Wanner D. 🟨,
- 76', Jamison B. ↓, Barjolo B. ↑,
- 77', Herrera J. 🟨,
- 84', Brewitt T. 🟨,
- 86', MacKinnon L. ↓, Hegardt C. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 0, Guimaraes P. ⚽, Zubak E. (A),
Chances of winning
Orange County SC 22.6% | Draw 22.7% | Sacramento Republic 54.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-4%)
Orange County SC - Sacramento Republic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.14 ↑ (3.62) |
4.12 ↑ (3.65) |
1.71 ↓ (1.82) |
6.9% (10%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Orange County SC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Sacramento Republic is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:26. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orange County SC won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Orange County SC won against Sacramento Republic?
Orange County SC has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against Orange County SC?
Sacramento Republic has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orange County SC - Sacramento Republic were as follows:
12.04.2025
Orange County SC
-
Sacramento Republic
2:1
20.04.2024
Orange County SC
-
Sacramento Republic
0:2
09.03.2024
Sacramento Republic
-
Orange County SC
2:2
26.08.2023
Sacramento Republic
-
Orange County SC
0:2
17.05.2023
Orange County SC
-
Sacramento Republic
1:0
Latest results of Orange County SC
Latest results of Sacramento Republic