Result
0:1 penalties
02/11/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Referee: Bensalah N. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (487/565) | 84% (469/561) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (487/565) | 84% (469/561) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (37/66) | 37% (28/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (159/199) | 65% (81/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (3/35) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Portillo J. J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Portillo J. J. ↓, Spaulding R. ↑,
- 62', Trager T. ↓, Sylla O. ↑,
- 70', Herrera J. ↓, Bennett K. ↑,
- 71', Parano C. ↓, Cicerone R. ↑,
- 75', Benitez M. 🟨,
- 84', Jamison B. ↓, War M. ↑,
- 90', Willey B. 🟨,
- 90+3', Partida K. 🟨,
- Extra Time (0 - 0)
- 91', Partida K. ↓, Brewitt T. ↑,
- 91', Benitez M. ↓, Ross N. ↑,
- 91', Timmer J. ↓, Baker C. ↑,
- 105+3', Hegardt C. 🟥,
- 105+3', Lopez R. 🟥,
- 105+5', Cicerone R. 🟨,
- 105+6', War M. 🟨,
- 106', Willey B. ↓, Luis Felipe ↑,
- 107', Bennett K. 🟨,
- 114', Pinto M. 🟨,
- 120', War M. ↓, Dunbar C. ↑,
- 120', Shutler C. ↓, Kadono T. ↑,
- Penalties (4 - 5)
- 1, Zubak E. (Pen),
- 1, Cicerone R. (Pen),
- 2, Dunbar C. (Pen),
- 2, Luis Felipe (Pen),
- 3, Pinto M. (Pen),
- 3, Ross N. (Pen),
- 4, Latinovich V. (Pen),
- 4, Bennett K. (Pen),
- 5, Sylla O. (Pen),
- 5, Spaulding R. (Pen),
- 6, Benalcazar N. (Pen),
- 6, Desmond L. (Pen),
- 7, Brewitt T. (Pen),
- 7, Gurr J. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Sacramento Republic
51.8% | Draw
26.4% | Orange County SC
21.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Sacramento Republic - Orange County SC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↓
(1.81) |
3.53 ↓
(3.58) |
4.26 ↑
(3.98) |
7.5%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 2.
- Recent form of Sacramento Republic has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Orange County SC is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Orange County SC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Orange County SC has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Sacramento Republic is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:25. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sacramento Republic won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against Orange County SC?
Sacramento Republic has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orange County SC won against Sacramento Republic?
Orange County SC has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sacramento Republic - Orange County SC were as follows:
01.10.2025
Sacramento Republic
-
Orange County SC
2:1
12.04.2025
Orange County SC
-
Sacramento Republic
2:1
20.04.2024
Orange County SC
-
Sacramento Republic
0:2
09.03.2024
Sacramento Republic
-
Orange County SC
2:2
26.08.2023
Sacramento Republic
-
Orange County SC
0:2
Latest results of Sacramento Republic
Latest results of Orange County SC
USL Championship Table
2026Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Detroit | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Charleston | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Miami FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Pittsburgh | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
| 9 | Brooklyn | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Loudoun | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 3 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 1 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Orange County SC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 14 |
| 2 | El Paso | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:5 | 9 | 13 |
| 3 | San Antonio | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Oakland Roots | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | New Mexico | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 7 | Phoenix Rising | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 | Lexington | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Tulsa | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:9 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
