Sacramento Republic vs Orange County SC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Sacramento Republic - Orange County SC
Result
2:1
01/10/2025 at 22:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.141.46
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
87% (374/432)88% (480/545)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
3.141.46
xG on target (xGOT)
2.471.29
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
119
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2817
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
711
Passes
87% (374/432)88% (480/545)
Long passes
28% (7/25)66% (35/53)
Passes in final third
82% (124/152)71% (69/97)
Crosses
31% (5/16)32% (7/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.440.93
Throw-ins
1515
Fouls
117
Tackles
58% (7/12)82% (9/11)
Duels won
3540
Clearances
2616
Interceptions
63
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
1.292.47
Goals prevented
0.290.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', Portillo J. J. 🟨,
  • 7', 1 - 0, Wanner D. ,
  • 45', Miles A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Timmer J. , Desmond L. ,
  • 52', 1 - 1, Zubak E. (Pen),
  • 59', Spaulding R. , Benitez M. ,
  • 59', Edwards A. 🟨,
  • 71', Wanner D. , Parano C. ,
  • 71', Jamieson L. , Bennett K. ,
  • 73', Jamison B. , Trager T. ,
  • 83', Edwards A. , Gurr J. ,
  • 87', 2 - 1, Bennett K. , Gurr J. (A),
  • 89', Dunbar C. , War M. ,
  • 89', Hegardt C. , Molina R. ,
  • 89', Miles A. , Espy T. ,
  • 90+2', Zubak E. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Sacramento Republic
53.2%
Draw
26.4%
Orange County SC
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.3% 24.7% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4% 23.4% 17.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Orange County SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sacramento Republic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Sacramento Republic - Orange County SC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.61)
    3.55
    (3.74)
    4.6
    (5.14)
    6.8%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Sacramento Republic - Orange County SC?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Sacramento Republic will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sacramento Republic (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 1.
    • Sacramento Republic is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Orange County SC is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, Sacramento Republic has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Sacramento Republic is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:24. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sacramento Republic won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.6:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sacramento Republic - Orange County SC were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Orange County SC - Sacramento Republic 2:1
    20.04.2024 Orange County SC - Sacramento Republic 0:2
    09.03.2024 Sacramento Republic - Orange County SC 2:2
    26.08.2023 Sacramento Republic - Orange County SC 0:2
    17.05.2023 Orange County SC - Sacramento Republic 1:0
    Latest results of Orange County SC
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 30227156:193773
    2Charleston ✔ 30195662:323062
    3North Carolina ✔ 301361140:39145
    4Hartford Athletic ✔ 301351248:361244
    5Pittsburgh ✔ 301281032:28444
    6Loudoun ✔ 301261245:48-342
    7Rhode Island301081229:29038
    8Detroit309101133:35-237
    9Indy Eleven301051544:52-835
    10Tampa Bay30971443:50-734
    11Miami FC30861629:44-1530
    12Birmingham305121336:50-1427


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa ✔ 30169550:302057
    2New Mexico ✔ 301461045:41448
    3Sacramento Republic ✔ 30139844:271748
    4El Paso301011947:45241
    5San Antonio301171239:38140
    6Phoenix Rising30913848:48040
    7Orange County SC301091144:45-139
    8Colorado Springs301071335:47-1237
    9Lexington30991231:42-1136
    10Oakland Roots30881442:52-1032
    11Monterey Bay30781527:45-1829
    12Las Vegas Lights30691523:50-2727

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Hartford Athletic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Pittsburgh is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Loudoun is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )