Result
2:1
01/10/2025 at 22:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.14 | 1.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (374/432) | 88% (480/545) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.14 | 1.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.47 | 1.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (374/432) | 88% (480/545) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (7/25) | 66% (35/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (124/152) | 71% (69/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 32% (7/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.93 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.29 | 2.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', Portillo J. J. 🟨,
- 7', 1 - 0, Wanner D. ⚽,
- 45', Miles A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Timmer J. ↓, Desmond L. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 1, Zubak E. (Pen),
- 59', Spaulding R. ↓, Benitez M. ↑,
- 59', Edwards A. 🟨,
- 71', Wanner D. ↓, Parano C. ↑,
- 71', Jamieson L. ↓, Bennett K. ↑,
- 73', Jamison B. ↓, Trager T. ↑,
- 83', Edwards A. ↓, Gurr J. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 1, Bennett K. ⚽, Gurr J. (A),
- 89', Dunbar C. ↓, War M. ↑,
- 89', Hegardt C. ↓, Molina R. ↑,
- 89', Miles A. ↓, Espy T. ↑,
- 90+2', Zubak E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sacramento Republic
53.2% | Draw
26.4% | Orange County SC
20.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Orange County SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sacramento Republic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Sacramento Republic - Orange County SC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↑
(1.61) |
3.55 ↓
(3.74) |
4.6 ↓
(5.14) |
6.8%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sacramento Republic - Orange County SC?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Sacramento Republic will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sacramento Republic (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 1.
- Sacramento Republic is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Orange County SC is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Sacramento Republic has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Sacramento Republic is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:24. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sacramento Republic won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against Orange County SC?
Sacramento Republic has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orange County SC won against Sacramento Republic?
Orange County SC has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sacramento Republic - Orange County SC were as follows:
12.04.2025
Orange County SC
-
Sacramento Republic
2:1
20.04.2024
Orange County SC
-
Sacramento Republic
0:2
09.03.2024
Sacramento Republic
-
Orange County SC
2:2
26.08.2023
Sacramento Republic
-
Orange County SC
0:2
17.05.2023
Orange County SC
-
Sacramento Republic
1:0
Latest results of Sacramento Republic
Latest results of Orange County SC
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 54:19 | 35 | 66 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:29 | 25 | 55 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 39 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40:29 | 11 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 37 |
| 7 | Detroit | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:47 | -7 | 32 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 20:26 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25:41 | -16 | 24 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 50 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
| 5 | El Paso | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 42:38 | 4 | 37 |
| 6 | Lexington | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 34 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 31 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 28 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 33:44 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:43 | -24 | 25 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
