Sacramento Republic vs Orange County SC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/11/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Heart Health Park (Sacramento, CA).

USL Championship - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
Referee: Bensalah N. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.92	0.41
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
1	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
10	3
Passes
86% (487/565)	84% (469/561)
Yellow Cards
5	3
Red Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92	0.41
xG on target (xGOT)
0.36	0.00
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
1	0
Shots off target
9	4
Blocked Shots
3	7
Shots inside the Box
6	6
Shots outside the Box
7	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
10	3
Touches in opposition box
20	11
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
10	15
Passes
86% (487/565)	84% (469/561)
Long passes
56% (37/66)	37% (28/75)
Passes in final third
80% (159/199)	65% (81/125)
Crosses
9% (3/35)	20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.05	0.49
Throw-ins
17	31
Fouls
15	10
Tackles
65% (11/17)	73% (11/15)
Duels won
54	51
Clearances
36	38
Interceptions
6	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	1
xGOT faced
0.00	0.36
Goals prevented
0.00	0.36

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Portillo J. J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Portillo J. J. ↓, Spaulding R. ↑,
62', Trager T. ↓, Sylla O. ↑,
70', Herrera J. ↓, Bennett K. ↑,
71', Parano C. ↓, Cicerone R. ↑,
75', Benitez M. 🟨,
84', Jamison B. ↓, War M. ↑,
90', Willey B. 🟨,
90+3', Partida K. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', Partida K. ↓, Brewitt T. ↑,
91', Benitez M. ↓, Ross N. ↑,
91', Timmer J. ↓, Baker C. ↑,
105+3', Hegardt C. 🟥,
105+3', Lopez R. 🟥,
105+5', Cicerone R. 🟨,
105+6', War M. 🟨,
106', Willey B. ↓, Luis Felipe ↑,
107', Bennett K. 🟨,
114', Pinto M. 🟨,
120', War M. ↓, Dunbar C. ↑,
120', Shutler C. ↓, Kadono T. ↑,
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Zubak E. (Pen),
1, Cicerone R. (Pen),
2, Dunbar C. (Pen),
2, Luis Felipe (Pen),
3, Pinto M. (Pen),
3, Ross N. (Pen),
4, Latinovich V. (Pen),
4, Bennett K. (Pen),
5, Sylla O. (Pen),
5, Spaulding R. (Pen),
6, Benalcazar N. (Pen),
6, Desmond L. (Pen),
7, Brewitt T. (Pen),
7, Gurr J. (Pen),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Sacramento Republic
51.8%

Draw
26.4%

Orange County SC
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

25.8%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

25%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Sacramento Republic - Orange County SC Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.81)	3.53 ↓ (3.58)	4.26 ↑ (3.98)	7.5% (8.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 2.
Recent form of Sacramento Republic has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Orange County SC is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Orange County SC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Orange County SC has had a series of home games.
In this match, Sacramento Republic is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:25. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Sacramento Republic won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.8:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against Orange County SC?

Sacramento Republic has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Orange County SC won against Sacramento Republic?

Orange County SC has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sacramento Republic - Orange County SC were as follows:

01.10.2025 Sacramento Republic - Orange County SC 2:1

12.04.2025 Orange County SC - Sacramento Republic 2:1

20.04.2024 Orange County SC - Sacramento Republic 0:2

09.03.2024 Sacramento Republic - Orange County SC 2:2

26.08.2023 Sacramento Republic - Orange County SC 0:2

Latest results of Sacramento Republic

25.10.2025 Sacramento Republic - Miami 0:1 ✺

22.10.2025 Sacramento Republic - Charleston Battery 1:0 ✺

17.10.2025 Lexington - Sacramento Republic 2:2 ✺

11.10.2025 Hartford Athletic - Sacramento Republic 3:2 ✺

04.10.2025 Sacramento Republic - Hartford Athletic 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Orange County SC

25.10.2025 Orange County SC - Indy Eleven 2:1 ✺

18.10.2025 Orange County SC - Louisville City 0:0 ✺

15.10.2025 Orange County SC - San Antonio 1:0 ✺

11.10.2025 New Mexico United - Orange County SC 3:3 ✺

04.10.2025 Orange County SC - El Paso Locomotive 0:0 ✺

USL Championship Table

2026

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Charleston	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Tampa Bay	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Pittsburgh	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Indy Eleven	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Detroit	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Louisville City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Miami FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Hartford Athletic	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Birmingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Loudoun	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Rhode Island	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Sporting Jax	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Brooklyn	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Orange County SC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	New Mexico	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Sacramento Republic	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	FC Tulsa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Colorado Springs	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	San Antonio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Phoenix Rising	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Oakland Roots	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Monterey Bay	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Las Vegas Lights	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	El Paso	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Lexington	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)