Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/09/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Heart Health Park (Sacramento, CA).

USL Championship
Referee: Wiseman T. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	AZFS, ESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.18	1.33
Ball Possession
38%	62%
Total shots
10	10
Shots on target
6	4
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
4	4
Passes
75% (230/306)	86% (431/504)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18	1.33
xG on target (xGOT)
1.59	1.81
Total shots
10	10
Shots on target
6	4
Shots off target
3	4
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
9	5
Shots outside the Box
1	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
22	15
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	3
Free Kicks
18	13
Passes
75% (230/306)	86% (431/504)
Long passes
31% (18/59)	59% (40/68)
Passes in final third
56% (57/102)	71% (76/107)
Crosses
29% (5/17)	22% (5/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.87	1.58
Throw-ins
15	25
Fouls
14	19
Tackles
56% (5/9)	100% (9/9)
Duels won
46	42
Clearances
27	17
Interceptions
10	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
1.81	1.59
Goals prevented
-0.19	0.59

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Cicerone R. ⚽,
31', Sacko I. 🟨,
32', 2 - 0, Okello N. (Own goal),
41', Avayevu H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Djedje R. ↓, Baker C. ↑,
52', Bennett K. 🟨,
58', Desmond L. 🟨,
59', 2 - 1, Cabral R. (Pen),
62', Czichos R. ↓, Sainte C. F. ↑,
62', Rizzo P. ↓, Smith C. ↑,
68', Ross N. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
68', Spaulding R. ↓, Benitez M. ↑,
68', Cicerone R. ↓, Parano C. ↑,
68', Cabral R. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
75', Bennett K. 🟨,
79', 2 - 2, Sacko I. ⚽, Avayevu H. (A),
90+2', Okello N. ↓, Mar Boye P. ↑,
90+2', Flores D. ↓, Formella D. ↑,
90+4', Sainte C. F. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Sacramento Republic
55.7%

Draw
24.6%

Phoenix Rising
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

24.5%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

23.7%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-1%)

Sacramento Republic - Phoenix Rising Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.64)	3.74 ↓ (3.77)	4.68 ↓ (4.8)	8.6% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 1.
Sacramento Republic is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Phoenix Rising has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Sacramento Republic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Sacramento Republic has had a series of away games.
In this match, Sacramento Republic is considered a favorite.
We predict that Sacramento Republic will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:19. (average 1.1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Sacramento Republic won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.2:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against Phoenix Rising?

Sacramento Republic has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Phoenix Rising won against Sacramento Republic?

Phoenix Rising has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sacramento Republic - Phoenix Rising were as follows:

19.04.2025 Phoenix Rising - Sacramento Republic 2:2

14.09.2024 Sacramento Republic - Phoenix Rising 2:0

04.05.2024 Phoenix Rising - Sacramento Republic 1:1

04.11.2023 Sacramento Republic - Phoenix Rising 1:2

30.08.2023 Phoenix Rising - Sacramento Republic 2:1

Latest results of Sacramento Republic

10.09.2025 Rhode Island - Sacramento Republic 0:1 ✺

06.09.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Sacramento Republic 0:2 ✺

30.08.2025 New Mexico United - Sacramento Republic 0:2 ✺

23.08.2025 El Paso Locomotive - Sacramento Republic 1:0 ✺

20.08.2025 Loudoun United - Sacramento Republic 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Phoenix Rising

05.09.2025 Phoenix Rising - Las Vegas Lights 0:0 ✺

30.08.2025 Phoenix Rising - El Paso Locomotive 3:3 ✺

23.08.2025 Phoenix Rising - Colorado Springs Switchbacks 4:1 ✺

16.08.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Phoenix Rising 1:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Lexington - Phoenix Rising 2:0 ✺

USL Championship Table

2026

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Louisville City	3	3	0	0	10:4	6	9
2	Hartford Athletic	3	2	1	0	5:1	4	7
3	Tampa Bay	2	2	0	0	4:0	4	6
4	Charleston	2	2	0	0	5:3	2	6
5	Detroit	2	1	0	1	4:2	2	3
6	Indy Eleven	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
7	Pittsburgh	3	1	0	2	4:7	-3	3
8	Brooklyn	3	1	0	2	2:5	-3	3
9	Loudoun	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
10	Rhode Island	2	0	1	1	3:5	-2	1
11	Birmingham	3	0	1	2	2:4	-2	1
12	Miami FC	2	0	1	1	1:4	-3	1
13	Sporting Jax	2	0	1	1	1:4	-3	1

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Oakland Roots	3	2	1	0	5:3	2	7
2	San Antonio	3	2	1	0	3:1	2	7
3	Sacramento Republic	3	1	2	0	3:1	2	5
4	Orange County SC	3	1	2	0	3:2	1	5
5	El Paso	2	1	1	0	5:2	3	4
6	Colorado Springs	3	1	1	1	5:5	0	4
7	FC Tulsa	3	1	1	1	3:4	-1	4
8	Phoenix Rising	3	0	2	1	4:5	-1	2
9	Lexington	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
10	Las Vegas Lights	3	0	1	2	5:7	-2	1
11	Monterey Bay	3	0	1	2	1:5	-4	1
12	New Mexico	2	0	0	2	1:3	-2	0

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)