Phoenix Rising vs Sacramento Republic: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship Phoenix Rising - Sacramento Republic
Result
2:2
19/04/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
  • Referee: Bensalah N. (Usa)
Phoenix Rising - Sacramento Republic - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.421.23
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
714
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
31
Passes
79% (333/420)79% (298/375)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.421.23
xG on target (xGOT)
1.260.73
Total shots
714
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
56
Shots outside the Box
28
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
31
Touches in opposition box
1316
Through passes
67% (2/3)100% (1/1)
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1924
Passes
79% (333/420)79% (298/375)
Long passes
45% (29/64)53% (30/57)
Passes in final third
49% (43/87)75% (98/130)
Crosses
0% (0/8)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.291.30
Fouls
2419
Tackles
67% (4/6)70% (7/10)
Duels won
4250
Clearances Total
1820
Interceptions
23
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.731.26
Goals prevented
-1.27-0.75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 5', Kleemann F. 🟨,
  • 18', 0 - 1, Herrera J. , Cicerone R. (A),
  • 34', 0 - 2, Wanner D. , Gurr J. (A),
  • 36', Sacko I. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 2, Margaritha J. , Cabral R. (A),
  • 42', Herrera J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Gurr J. , Edwards A. ,
  • 46', Neville H. , Smith C. ,
  • 46', Sacko I. , Rivera D. ,
  • 58', Wanner D. 🟨,
  • 64', Wanner D. , Spaulding R. ,
  • 64', Ukaegbu C. , Djedje R. ,
  • 69', Okello N. , Ping J. ,
  • 71', Djedje R. 🟨,
  • 74', Herrera J. , Jamieson L. ,
  • 75', Parano C. , Lopez R. ,
  • 75', Walls C. , Sainte C. F. ,
  • 77', Lopez R. 🟨,
  • 78', 2 - 2, Rivera D. , Cabral R. (A),
  • 84', Avayevu H. , Johnson D. ,
  • 85', Cabral R. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Phoenix Rising
38%
Draw
29.2%
Sacramento Republic
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.8% 29% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 27.7% 27.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Phoenix Rising, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • Phoenix Rising - Sacramento Republic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.22)
    3.16
    (3.19)
    2.81
    (3.17)
    8.5%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 and 10).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Phoenix Rising won 2.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Phoenix Rising won 8 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18:21 (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Phoenix Rising won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:9 (average 1.2:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Rising - Sacramento Republic were as follows:
    14.09.2024 Sacramento Republic - Phoenix Rising 2:0
    04.05.2024 Phoenix Rising - Sacramento Republic 1:1
    04.11.2023 Sacramento Republic - Phoenix Rising 1:2
    30.08.2023 Phoenix Rising - Sacramento Republic 2:1
    26.07.2023 Sacramento Republic - Phoenix Rising 4:0
    Latest results of Phoenix Rising
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston17122335:161938
    2Louisville City16114129:121737
    3Loudoun1683526:22427
    4North Carolina1572621:18323
    5Pittsburgh1563614:14021
    6Indy Eleven1555524:24020
    7Detroit1655620:22-220
    8Miami FC1553716:21-518
    9Birmingham1746719:24-518
    10Rhode Island1644814:18-416
    11Hartford Athletic1333715:20-512
    12Tampa Bay15321016:25-911


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Antonio1683523:21227
    2New Mexico1581622:17525
    3FC Tulsa1474321:14725
    4Sacramento Republic1565422:121023
    5Phoenix Rising1665526:26023
    6El Paso1665524:25-123
    7Monterey Bay1764718:21-322
    8Las Vegas Lights1653813:24-1118
    9Lexington1646617:23-618
    10Orange County SC1452718:22-417
    11Oakland Roots1652917:25-817
    12Colorado Springs1536618:22-415

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