Result
2:2
13/09/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Wiseman T. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | AZFS, ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (230/306) | 86% (431/504) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (230/306) | 86% (431/504) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (18/59) | 59% (40/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (57/102) | 71% (76/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 22% (5/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 100% (9/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.81 | 1.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.19 | 0.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Cicerone R. ⚽,
- 31', Sacko I. 🟨,
- 32', 2 - 0, Okello N. (Own goal),
- 41', Avayevu H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Djedje R. ↓, Baker C. ↑,
- 52', Bennett K. 🟨,
- 58', Desmond L. 🟨,
- 59', 2 - 1, Cabral R. (Pen),
- 62', Czichos R. ↓, Sainte C. F. ↑,
- 62', Rizzo P. ↓, Smith C. ↑,
- 68', Ross N. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
- 68', Spaulding R. ↓, Benitez M. ↑,
- 68', Cicerone R. ↓, Parano C. ↑,
- 68', Cabral R. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
- 75', Bennett K. 🟨,
- 79', 2 - 2, Sacko I. ⚽, Avayevu H. (A),
- 90+2', Okello N. ↓, Mar Boye P. ↑,
- 90+2', Flores D. ↓, Formella D. ↑,
- 90+4', Sainte C. F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sacramento Republic
55.7% | Draw
24.6% | Phoenix Rising
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-1%)
Sacramento Republic - Phoenix Rising Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↑
(1.64) |
3.74 ↓
(3.77) |
4.68 ↓
(4.8) |
8.6%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 1.
- Sacramento Republic is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Phoenix Rising has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sacramento Republic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Sacramento Republic has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Sacramento Republic is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Sacramento Republic will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:19. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sacramento Republic won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against Phoenix Rising?
Sacramento Republic has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Phoenix Rising won against Sacramento Republic?
Phoenix Rising has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sacramento Republic - Phoenix Rising were as follows:
19.04.2025
Phoenix Rising
-
Sacramento Republic
2:2
14.09.2024
Sacramento Republic
-
Phoenix Rising
2:0
04.05.2024
Phoenix Rising
-
Sacramento Republic
1:1
04.11.2023
Sacramento Republic
-
Phoenix Rising
1:2
30.08.2023
Phoenix Rising
-
Sacramento Republic
2:1
Latest results of Sacramento Republic
Latest results of Phoenix Rising
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 56:19 | 37 | 73 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 62:32 | 30 | 62 |
| 3 | North Carolina ✔ | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 40:39 | 1 | 45 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic ✔ | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 48:36 | 12 | 44 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh ✔ | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 32:28 | 4 | 44 |
| 6 | Loudoun ✔ | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 45:48 | -3 | 42 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 29:29 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Detroit | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 37 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 35 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 34 |
| 11 | Miami FC | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 29:44 | -15 | 30 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 36:50 | -14 | 27 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 50:30 | 20 | 57 |
| 2 | New Mexico ✔ | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 48 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic ✔ | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 48 |
| 4 | El Paso | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 47:45 | 2 | 41 |
| 5 | San Antonio | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 48:48 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 44:45 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 35:47 | -12 | 37 |
| 9 | Lexington | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 42:52 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 23:50 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Hartford Athletic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Pittsburgh is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Loudoun is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
