Result
1:1
09/06/2023 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP
- Referee: Corbyn M. (Usa)
Chances of winning
San Diego Loyal
37.1% | Draw
27.2% | Sacramento Republic
35.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Diego Loyal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Loyal than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Diego Loyal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sacramento Republic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
San Diego Loyal - Sacramento Republic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↑
(2.17) |
3.36 ↓
(3.4) |
2.56 ↓
(2.93) |
9.5%
(9.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for San Diego Loyal - Sacramento Republic?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. San Diego Loyal will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Sacramento Republic will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- San Diego Loyal has the most likely position - 3 (15.63%), project points - 55, currently - 21, a good chance of playoffs (94%), a good chance of qtrs (51%), a chance of semis (26%), a small chance of final (13%), a small chance of win league (7%).
- Sacramento Republic has the most likely position - 1 (36.97%), project points - 62, currently - 28, a very good chance of playoffs (99%), a good chance of qtrs (64%), a chance of semis (37%), a chance of final (20%), a small chance of win league (12%).
- This event has small quality 24, small importance 10, small match rating 17. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches San Diego Loyal won 2.
- Recent matches San Diego Loyal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Sacramento Republic is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recently San Diego Loyal have a series of guest games.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 8 head-to-head matches San Diego Loyal won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-9.
- Including matches at home between the teams San Diego Loyal won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.
How many head-to-head matches has San Diego Loyal won against Sacramento Republic?
San Diego Loyal has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against San Diego Loyal?
Sacramento Republic has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Diego Loyal - Sacramento Republic were as follows:
25.03.2023
Sacramento Republic
-
San Diego Loyal
1:0
15.10.2022
Sacramento Republic
-
San Diego Loyal
4:0
Latest results of San Diego Loyal
Latest results of Sacramento Republic
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 42:17 | 25 | 48 |
| 2 | Charleston | 21 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 45:22 | 23 | 47 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31:27 | 4 | 33 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 32:33 | -1 | 31 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 20:19 | 1 | 28 |
| 6 | Detroit | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 28 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29:23 | 6 | 26 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 32:37 | -5 | 23 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15:23 | -8 | 21 |
| 10 | Miami FC | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 21:34 | -13 | 20 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24:33 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 | Tampa Bay | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 22:31 | -9 | 18 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37:23 | 14 | 42 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29:17 | 12 | 31 |
| 3 | El Paso | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33:27 | 6 | 31 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 25:26 | -1 | 29 |
| 5 | Phoenix Rising | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 28 |
| 6 | Lexington | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 28 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 27 |
| 8 | New Mexico | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 27 |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 24 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 23:29 | -6 | 24 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 24:32 | -8 | 21 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17:39 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
