Result
1:2
05/10/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J2 League - Round 32
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (421/515) | 85% (438/513) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (421/515) | 85% (438/513) |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Nishizawa K. ⚽, Nagasawa S. (A),
- 21', Naruoka H. 🟨,
- 28', Noyori K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', 0 - 2, Sakai N. ⚽, Nishikawa J. (A),
- 59', Noyori K. ↓, Yamamoto O. ↑,
- 59', Naruoka H. ↓, Furukawa D. ↑,
- 60', Furukawa D. 🟨,
- 64', Sakai N. ↓, Shinkawa S. ↑,
- 71', Ozawa R. ↓, Nishido H. ↑,
- 71', Kawano K. ↓, Ikegami J. ↑,
- 71', Tanabe K. ↓, Misawa N. ↑,
- 76', Nishikawa J. ↓, Slivka V. ↑,
- 77', Matsumoto N. ↓, Sakurai T. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 2, Yamamoto O. ⚽,
- 84', Nishizawa K. ↓, Suzuki D. ↑,
- 84', Nishiya K. ↓, Morishita R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Renofa Yamaguchi
28.8% | Draw
29.6% | Sagan Tosu
41.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Renofa Yamaguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Renofa Yamaguchi - Sagan Tosu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.48 ↑
(3.11) |
3.29 ↑
(3.1) |
2.26 ↓
(2.38) |
3.4%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Renofa Yamaguchi - Sagan Tosu?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Tosu will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 8).
- Renofa Yamaguchi has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tosu has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Renofa Yamaguchi has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Renofa Yamaguchi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Renofa Yamaguchi won against Sagan Tosu?
Renofa Yamaguchi has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sagan Tosu won against Renofa Yamaguchi?
Sagan Tosu has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Renofa Yamaguchi - Sagan Tosu were as follows:
19.04.2025
Sagan Tosu
-
Renofa Yamaguchi
2:2
21.08.2024
Sagan Tosu
-
Renofa Yamaguchi
0:2
Latest results of Renofa Yamaguchi
Latest results of Sagan Tosu
Japan J2 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mito | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 50:29 | 21 | 61 |
| 2 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 32 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 51:40 | 11 | 59 |
| 3 | Chiba | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 43:31 | 12 | 55 |
| 4 | Tokushima | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 34:20 | 14 | 54 |
| 5 | Vegalta Sendai | 32 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 40:30 | 10 | 54 |
| 6 | Omiya Ardija | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 47:32 | 15 | 53 |
| 7 | Sagan Tosu | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 41:35 | 6 | 53 |
| 8 | Iwata | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 49:42 | 7 | 51 |
| 9 | Imabari | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 39:34 | 5 | 47 |
| 10 | Iwaki | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 48:40 | 8 | 43 |
| 11 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 32 | 13 | 4 | 15 | 39:55 | -16 | 43 |
| 12 | Kofu | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35:34 | 1 | 42 |
| 13 | Montedio Yamagata | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 47:46 | 1 | 41 |
| 14 | Blaublitz | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 40:49 | -9 | 38 |
| 15 | Fujieda MYFC | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 37:42 | -5 | 36 |
| 16 | Kumamoto | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 39:51 | -12 | 34 |
| 17 | Oita Trinita | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 24:36 | -12 | 34 |
| 18 | Toyama | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 25:43 | -18 | 27 |
| 19 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 29:42 | -13 | 25 |
| 20 | Ehime | 32 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 31:57 | -26 | 20 |
Promotion ~ J1 League
Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ J3 League
