Sagan Tosu vs Renofa Yamaguchi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J2 League Sagan Tosu - Renofa Yamaguchi
Result
2:2
19/04/2025 at 01:03 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J2 League - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
83% (429/515)71% (208/293)
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
108
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
65
Corner Kicks
61
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1413
Passes
83% (429/515)71% (208/293)
Fouls
1314
Goalkeeper Saves
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Arai H. , Sakurai T. (A),
  • 33', Nishikawa J. 🟨,
  • 43', Okuyama Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Ikegami J. , Naruoka H. ,
  • 48', Morishita R. 🟨,
  • 50', 1 - 1, Shimodo R. , Suenaga T. (A),
  • 55', 1 - 2, Suenaga T. ,
  • 61', Shinkawa S. , Suzuki D. ,
  • 61', Nishikawa J. , Horigome Y. ,
  • 61', Matsuda E. , Sakaiya K. ,
  • 67', Yokoyama R. , Noyori K. ,
  • 68', Arita R. , Furukawa D. ,
  • 69', Arai H. , Kitajima F. ,
  • 76', Okuyama Y. , Kobayashi S. ,
  • 80', Sakurai T. , Hino S. ,
  • 90+3', Ozawa R. , Isotani S. ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 2, Sakaiya K. , Hino S. (A),

Chances of winning


Sagan Tosu
36.9%
Draw
30.9%
Renofa Yamaguchi
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.7% 26.6% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 26.6% 29.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sagan Tosu's form might have worsened.
  • Renofa Yamaguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sagan Tosu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Sagan Tosu - Renofa Yamaguchi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.5
    (2.07)
    3.01
    (3.4)
    2.9
    (3.05)
    7.7%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu - Renofa Yamaguchi?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Tosu will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Renofa Yamaguchi will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Renofa Yamaguchi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Tosu will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Tosu won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tosu won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sagan Tosu - Renofa Yamaguchi were as follows:
    21.08.2024 Sagan Tosu - Renofa Yamaguchi 0:2
    Latest results of Sagan Tosu
    Latest results of Renofa Yamaguchi
    Japan J2 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mito23146336:171948
    2Chiba24126635:231242
    3Vegalta Sendai24119428:21742
    4Omiya Ardija24118534:211341
    5Tokushima24118524:131141
    6V-Varen Nagasaki24109539:35439
    7Sagan Tosu24116725:22339
    8Iwata24115837:32538
    9Imabari24810628:23534
    10Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo241041031:39-834
    11Kofu2488824:23132
    12Fujieda MYFC24771028:32-428
    13Iwaki2469930:34-427
    14Oita Trinita2469920:24-427
    15Blaublitz24831332:43-1127
    16Montedio Yamagata24751234:36-226
    17Toyama24571219:29-1022
    18Kumamoto23561226:36-1021
    19Renofa Yamaguchi243111021:30-920
    20Ehime242101223:41-1816

          Promotion ~ J1 League
          Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )
          Relegation ~ J3 League