Saint-Étienne vs Nancy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
22/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 15
  • Referee: Souifi A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1
austriaAustriaDAZN
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
japanJapanDAZN Japan
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.341.96
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
911
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
88% (590/672)73% (209/288)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.341.96
xG on target (xGOT)
1.020.93
Total shots
911
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2712
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
2011
Passes
88% (590/672)73% (209/288)
Long passes
58% (22/38)39% (20/51)
Passes in final third
72% (128/178)64% (39/61)
Crosses
33% (3/9)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.780.36
Throw-ins
1719
Fouls
1120
Tackles
77% (10/13)83% (19/23)
Duels won
4645
Clearances
1025
Interceptions
1611
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
0.931.02
Goals prevented
-0.07-0.98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', Carlier M. 🟨,
  • 21', Bamba R. 🟨,
  • 27', 1 - 0, Cardona I. , Davitashvili Z. (A),
  • 45+3', Boakye A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Saint-Ruf N. , Evans J. ,
  • 51', 2 - 0, Tardieu F. (Pen),
  • 57', 2 - 1, Bokangu B. (Pen),
  • 58', Suljic C. , Ztouti Z. ,
  • 63', Ztouti Z. 🟨,
  • 67', Bokangu B. , Dabasse A. ,
  • 78', Bouabdelli W. , Sidibe O. ,
  • 79', Moueffek A. , Miladinovic I. ,
  • 82', Ferreira J. 🟨,
  • 84', Cardona I. , N'Guessan D. ,

Chances of winning


Saint-Étienne
58.5%
Draw
23.3%
Nancy
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.6% 23% 19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6% 18.6% 24%

Saint-Étienne - Nancy Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.6
(1.62)
4.06
(4.06)
5.07
(4.8)
7.1%
(7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Saint-Étienne - Nancy?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Saint-Étienne (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Saint-Étienne will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.29%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 2.
    • Saint-Étienne has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Nancy's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Nancy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Saint-Étienne has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Saint-Étienne is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Bernauer M. (Injury) Ekwah P. (Inactive) Ferreira J. (Injury) Lamba C. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Nancy: Camara B. (Injury) Fdaouch Z. (Injury) Kenzo N. (Injury) Tacafred E. (Inactive)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.6:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Saint-Étienne won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
    Latest results of Saint-Étienne
    15.11.2025 Quetigny - Saint-Étienne 1:3
    08.11.2025 Troyes - Saint-Étienne 2:3
    01.11.2025 Red Star - Saint-Étienne 2:1
    28.10.2025 Saint-Étienne - Pau 6:0
    25.10.2025 Annecy - Saint-Étienne 4:0
    Latest results of Nancy
    07.11.2025 Nancy - Laval 0:2
    31.10.2025 Le Mans - Nancy 1:0
    28.10.2025 Nancy - Bastia 2:0
    25.10.2025 Montpellier - Nancy 4:1
    20.10.2025 Nancy - Amiens 0:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes1695228:151332
    2Le Mans1786322:17530
    3Reims1785432:201229
    4St Etienne1692533:231029
    5Red Star1685321:15629
    6Dunkerque1776429:191027
    7Pau FC1775523:25-226
    8Montpellier1774618:16225
    9Guingamp1765625:30-523
    10Annecy1764721:18322
    11Grenoble1756619:21-221
    12Rodez1756618:23-521
    13Clermont1747616:21-519
    14Amiens1753921:26-518
    15Nancy1753915:22-718
    16Boulogne1644817:24-716
    17Laval1736813:22-915
    18Bastia1514106:20-147

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National