Result
0:1
31/08/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - FINAL
- Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Chances of winning
Lugano
30.5% | Draw
26.7% | Saint-Gilloise
42.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lugano's form might have worsened.Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saint-Gilloise's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Saint-Gilloise, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lugano - Saint-Gilloise Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.1 ↑
(2.6) |
3.54 ↑
(3.3) |
2.21 ↓
(2.6) |
5.9%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lugano - Saint-Gilloise?
Users Predictions:
38 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 8 - 21.1%). Union SG will win (votes: 28 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 59.7% – 87.7%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stade de Genève. 1st leg result: 0-2.
- Recent matches Lugano is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Union SG is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Lugano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Lugano won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Saint-Gilloise?
Lugano has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Gilloise won against Lugano?
Saint-Gilloise has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Saint-Gilloise were as follows:
24.08.2023
Saint-Gilloise
-
Lugano
2:0
Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
UEFA Europa League Table
League phase | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Midtjylland | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Braga | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Lyon | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | D. Zagreb | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Plzen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | Freiburg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Ferencvaros | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Brann | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 11 | Lille | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 13 | Young Boys | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Fenerbahce | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 15 | FC Porto | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
| 16 | Betis | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 17 | Nottingham | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 19 | Genk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 20 | PAOK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 21 | Celtic | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 22 | Panathinaikos | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 3 |
| 23 | AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 24 | Basel | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 25 | Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 26 | Ludogorets | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
| 27 | Sturm Graz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 28 | FCSB | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 29 | Stuttgart | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 30 | Crvena zvezda | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 31 | Malmo FF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 32 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
| 33 | Nice | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 0 |
| 34 | Salzburg | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 | Utrecht | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 36 | Rangers | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
