Result
0:1
31/08/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - FINAL
- Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Chances of winning
Lugano
30.5% | Draw
26.7% | Saint-Gilloise
42.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lugano's form might have worsened.Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saint-Gilloise's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Saint-Gilloise, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lugano - Saint-Gilloise Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.1 ↑
(2.6) |
3.54 ↑
(3.3) |
2.21 ↓
(2.6) |
5.9%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lugano - Saint-Gilloise?
Users Predictions:
38 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 8 - 21.1%). Union SG will win (votes: 28 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 59.7% – 87.7%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stade de Genève. 1st leg result: 0-2.
- Recent matches Lugano is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Union SG is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Lugano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Lugano won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Saint-Gilloise?
Lugano has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Gilloise won against Lugano?
Saint-Gilloise has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Saint-Gilloise were as follows:
24.08.2023
Saint-Gilloise
-
Lugano
2:0
Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
Draw
2025/261/8-finals| 1 | Hamrun | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
| 8 | Bye | Dyn. Kyiv | |
| 9 | Shkendija | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | Ludogorets | |
| 17 | Slovan Bratislava | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Young Boys | |
| 25 | Malmo FF | Bye | |
| 32 | Bye | Sigma Olomouc | |
| 33 | Panathinaikos | Bye | |
| 35 | Besiktas | Bye | |
| 36 | Shakhtar Donetsk | Ilves | 0 : 0, 6 : 0 |
| 40 | Bye | Samsunspor | |
| 41 | Aberdeen | Bye | |
| 45 | FCSB | Bye | |
| 48 | Bye | Drita | |
| 49 | Lech Poznan | Bye | |
| 56 | Bye | Genk | |
| 57 | Fredrikstad | Bye | |
| 59 | Midtjylland | Bye | |
| 60 | Bye | Hibernian | |
| 61 | RFS | Bye | |
| 64 | Bye | KuPS | |
| 65 | Lincoln Red Imps | Bye | |
| 68 | Bye | Noah | |
| 69 | Lugano | Bye | |
| 70 | Paks | CFR Cluj | 0 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 71 | Levski Sofia | H. Beer Sheva | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 72 | Bye | Braga | |
| 73 | Zrinjski | Bye | |
| 76 | Bye | Breidablik | |
| 77 | Servette | Bye | |
| 79 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Prishtina | 1 : 2, 4 : 0 |
| 80 | Bye | Utrecht | |
| 81 | Anderlecht | Bye | |
| 82 | Trnava | Hacken | 2 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 84 | Bye | Brann | |
| 85 | Sabah Baku | Celje | 3 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 86 | AEK Larnaca | Partizan | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 87 | Ostrava | Bye | |
| 88 | Legia | Aktobe | 1 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 89 | Rijeka | Bye | |
| 92 | Bye | Shelbourne | |
| 93 | PAOK | Bye | |
| 96 | Bye | Wolfsberger AC | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Hamrun | Bye | |
| 2 | Bye | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
| 4 | Bye | Dyn. Kyiv | |
| 5 | Shkendija | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Ludogorets | |
| 9 | Slovan Bratislava | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Young Boys | |
| 13 | Malmo FF | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | Sigma Olomouc | |
| 17 | Panathinaikos | Bye | |
| 18 | Besiktas | Shakhtar Donetsk | 0 : 2, 2 : 4 |
| 20 | Bye | Samsunspor | |
| 21 | Aberdeen | Bye | |
| 23 | FCSB | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Drita | |
| 25 | Lech Poznan | Bye | |
| 28 | Bye | Genk | |
| 29 | Fredrikstad | Bye | |
| 30 | Midtjylland | Hibernian | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 31 | RFS | Bye | |
| 32 | Bye | KuPS | |
| 33 | Lincoln Red Imps | Bye | |
| 34 | Bye | Noah | |
| 35 | Lugano | CFR Cluj | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 36 | Levski Sofia | Braga | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 37 | Zrinjski | Bye | |
| 38 | Bye | Breidablik | |
| 39 | Servette | Bye | |
| 40 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Utrecht | 1 : 4, 1 : 3 |
| 41 | Anderlecht | Hacken | 1 : 3, 1 : 0 |
| 42 | Bye | Brann | |
| 43 | Celje | AEK Larnaca | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 44 | Ostrava | Legia | 1 : 2, 2 : 2 |
| 45 | Rijeka | Bye | |
| 46 | Bye | Shelbourne | |
| 47 | PAOK | Bye | |
| 48 | Bye | Wolfsberger AC | |
Semi-finals| 1 | Hamrun | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 : 3, 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Bye | Dyn. Kyiv | |
| 3 | Shkendija | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Ludogorets | |
| 5 | Slovan Bratislava | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Young Boys | |
| 7 | Malmo FF | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Sigma Olomouc | |
| 9 | Panathinaikos | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Samsunspor | |
| 11 | Aberdeen | Bye | |
| 12 | FCSB | Drita | 3 : 1, 3 : 2 |
| 13 | Lech Poznan | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Genk | |
| 15 | Fredrikstad | Midtjylland | 0 : 2, 1 : 3 |
| 16 | RFS | KuPS | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 17 | Lincoln Red Imps | Noah | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 18 | CFR Cluj | Braga | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 19 | Zrinjski | Breidablik | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 20 | Servette | Utrecht | 1 : 2, 1 : 3 |
| 21 | Hacken | Brann | 1 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 22 | AEK Larnaca | Legia | 1 : 2, 4 : 1 |
| 23 | Rijeka | Shelbourne | 3 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 24 | PAOK | Wolfsberger AC | 1 : 0, 0 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Dyn. Kyiv | |
| 2 | Shkendija | Ludogorets | |
| 3 | Slovan Bratislava | Young Boys | |
| 4 | Malmo FF | Sigma Olomouc | |
| 5 | Panathinaikos | Samsunspor | |
| 6 | Aberdeen | FCSB | |
| 7 | Lech Poznan | Genk | |
| 8 | Midtjylland | KuPS | |
| 9 | Lincoln Red Imps | Braga | |
| 10 | Zrinjski | Utrecht | |
| 11 | Brann | AEK Larnaca | |
| 12 | Rijeka | PAOK | |
