Lugano vs Saint-Gilloise – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League Lugano - Saint-Gilloise
Result
0:1
31/08/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - FINAL
  • Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Chances of winning


Lugano
30.5%
Draw
26.7%
Saint-Gilloise
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.9% 28.3% 35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 28% 36.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lugano's form might have worsened.
  • Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saint-Gilloise's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Saint-Gilloise, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lugano - Saint-Gilloise Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.1
    (2.6)
    3.54
    (3.3)
    2.21
    (2.6)
    5.9%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Lugano - Saint-Gilloise?
  • Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 8 - 21.1%). Union SG will win (votes: 28 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 59.7%87.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stade de Genève. 1st leg result: 0-2.
    • Recent matches Lugano is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Union SG is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Lugano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Lugano won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Saint-Gilloise were as follows:
    24.08.2023 Saint-Gilloise - Lugano 2:0
    Latest results of Lugano
    24.08.2023 Saint-Gilloise - Lugano 2:0
    13.08.2023 Lugano - Yverdon 6:1
    05.08.2023 Zürich - Lugano 3:0
    29.07.2023 Lugano - St. Gallen 1:0
    26.07.2023 Lausanne Ouchy - Lugano 0:3
    Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1FredrikstadBye
    3MidtjyllandBye
    4ByeHibernian
    5PAOKBye
    8ByeWolfsberger AC
    9Sabah BakuCelje3 : 3, 2 : 3
    10AEK LarnacaPartizan2 : 2, 1 : 0
    11OstravaBye
    12LegiaAktobe1 : 0, 1 : 0
    13LuganoBye
    14PaksCFR Cluj0 : 3, 0 : 0
    15Levski SofiaH. Beer Sheva2 : 1, 0 : 0
    16ByeBraga
    17ServetteBye
    19Sheriff TiraspolPrishtina1 : 2, 4 : 0
    20ByeUtrecht
    21AnderlechtBye
    22TrnavaHacken2 : 2, 0 : 1
    24ByeBrann
    25PanathinaikosBye
    27BesiktasBye
    28Shakhtar DonetskIlves0 : 0, 6 : 0
    29Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    32ByeNoah
    33RijekaBye
    36ByeShelbourne
    37RFSBye
    40ByeKuPS
    41HamrunBye
    44ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    45ZrinjskiBye
    48ByeBreidablik
    49FCSBBye
    52ByeDrita

    Quarter-finals
    1FredrikstadBye
    2MidtjyllandHibernian1 : 1
    3PAOKBye
    4ByeWolfsberger AC
    5CeljeAEK Larnaca1 : 1
    6OstravaLegia2 : 2
    7LuganoCFR Cluj0 : 0
    8Levski SofiaBraga0 : 0
    9ServetteBye
    10Sheriff TiraspolUtrecht1 : 3
    11AnderlechtHacken1 : 0
    12ByeBrann
    13PanathinaikosBye
    14BesiktasShakhtar Donetsk2 : 4
    15Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    16ByeNoah
    17RijekaBye
    18ByeShelbourne
    19RFSBye
    20ByeKuPS
    21HamrunBye
    22ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    23ZrinjskiBye
    24ByeBreidablik
    25FCSBBye
    26ByeDrita

    Semi-finals
    1FredrikstadTBD #2
    2PAOKWolfsberger AC
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5ServetteTBD #10
    6TBD #11Brann
    7PanathinaikosTBD #14
    8Lincoln Red ImpsNoah
    9RijekaShelbourne
    10RFSKuPS
    11HamrunMaccabi Tel Aviv
    12ZrinjskiBreidablik
    13FCSBDrita