Result
1:0
19/01/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 21
- Referee: Avci I. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.15 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (408/480) | 72% (192/266) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (408/480) | 72% (192/266) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (24/43) | 41% (23/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (132/164) | 49% (38/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/24) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.56 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Kaya G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Tsunami ↓, Ozcan O. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 0, Bacuna L. ⚽, Vural G. (A),
- 58', Cihan M. ↓, Kobiljar R. ↑,
- 58', Demir A. ↓, Demir E. ↑,
- 70', Kolovetsios D. 🟨,
- 72', Cakir B. 🟨,
- 81', Demir M. ↓, Akuazaoku U. ↑,
- 85', Fofana M. ↓, Conte A. ↑,
- 89', Vural G. ↓, Yasar A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Igdirspor
61.2% | Draw
21.4% | Sakaryaspor
17.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Igdirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Sakaryaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Igdirspor than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Igdirspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Igdirspor - Sakaryaspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↑
(1.45) |
4.34 ↓
(4.79) |
5.24 ↓
(5.61) |
9%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Igdirspor - Sakaryaspor?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Igdirspor will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Sakaryaspor will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Sakaryaspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Igdirspor is the clear favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Igdirspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Igdirspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Igdirspor won against Sakaryaspor?
Igdirspor has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sakaryaspor won against Igdirspor?
Sakaryaspor has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Igdirspor - Sakaryaspor were as follows:
17.08.2025
Sakaryaspor
-
Igdirspor
3:2
21.04.2025
Igdirspor
-
Sakaryaspor
4:0
14.12.2024
Sakaryaspor
-
Igdirspor
2:1
Latest results of Igdirspor
Latest results of Sakaryaspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 74:23 | 51 | 69 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 68:32 | 36 | 67 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 73:30 | 43 | 63 |
| 4 | Corum | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 53:34 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 67:35 | 32 | 57 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 32 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 54 |
| 7 | Bandirmaspor | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 42:33 | 9 | 48 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 63:40 | 23 | 47 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 47 |
| 10 | Igdir FK | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 40:44 | -4 | 45 |
| 11 | Vanspor FK | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:35 | 7 | 43 |
| 12 | Manisa FK | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 46:52 | -6 | 43 |
| 13 | Boluspor | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 50:44 | 6 | 42 |
| 14 | Umraniyespor | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 38:41 | -3 | 39 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 34:41 | -7 | 39 |
| 16 | Istanbulspor AS | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 38:48 | -10 | 39 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 38:60 | -22 | 35 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 41:56 | -15 | 32 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 32 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 22:88 | -66 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 32 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 17:141 | -124 | -57 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
