Result
2:0
08/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 34
- Referee: Tokail F. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.49 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (300/383) | 84% (431/515) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (300/383) | 84% (431/515) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (28/58) | 39% (25/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (81/116) | 72% (98/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 23% (7/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.60 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.27 | 1.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.27 | -0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Celik B. ⚽, Bulbul A. T. (A),
- 45+1', Bekaroglu B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Kocaman A. ↓, Terzi E. ↑,
- 47', 2 - 0, Kosoko T. ⚽, Celik B. (A),
- 54', Sen K. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
- 54', Ruan Teixeira ↓, Zwolinski L. ↑,
- 61', Goksu S. ↓, Bardhi J. ↑,
- 71', Djokanovic A. ↓, Hoti E. ↑,
- 73', Demir E. ↓, Karatas H. ↑,
- 80', Celik B. ↓, Ekincier B. ↑,
- 80', Babacan A. ↓, Sas Y. D. ↑,
- 81', Kosoko T. ↓, Soukou C. ↑,
- 81', Owusu ↓, Demir A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Umraniyespor
47.2% | Draw
27.8% | Sakaryaspor
25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Umraniyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Sakaryaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Umraniyespor - Sakaryaspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↓
(2.04) |
3.31 ↓
(3.45) |
3.67 ↑
(3.28) |
8.7%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Umraniyespor - Sakaryaspor?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Umraniyespor will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Sakaryaspor will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Umraniyespor: 35% – 88%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Umraniyespor (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Umraniyespor could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Sakaryaspor: Bostan M.
(Red Card)
Turken A.
(Inactive)
Vukovic J.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Umraniyespor won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Umraniyespor won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Umraniyespor won against Sakaryaspor?
Umraniyespor has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sakaryaspor won against Umraniyespor?
Sakaryaspor has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Umraniyespor - Sakaryaspor were as follows:
29.11.2025
Sakaryaspor
-
Umraniyespor
1:1
23.02.2025
Umraniyespor
-
Sakaryaspor
0:0
29.09.2024
Sakaryaspor
-
Umraniyespor
1:3
28.01.2024
Umraniyespor
-
Sakaryaspor
1:1
26.08.2023
Sakaryaspor
-
Umraniyespor
1:1
Latest results of Umraniyespor
Latest results of Sakaryaspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 35 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 79:24 | 55 | 78 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 77:36 | 41 | 72 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 35 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 79:33 | 46 | 70 |
| 4 | Corum | 35 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 55:37 | 18 | 64 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 69:36 | 33 | 62 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 35 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 54:31 | 23 | 58 |
| 7 | Keciorengucu | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 67:40 | 27 | 54 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 43:33 | 10 | 53 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 44:38 | 6 | 50 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 50:54 | -4 | 49 |
| 11 | Igdir FK | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 47:48 | -1 | 48 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 48:40 | 8 | 46 |
| 13 | Sariyer | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 41:41 | 0 | 46 |
| 14 | Umraniyespor | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 42:44 | -2 | 43 |
| 15 | Istanbulspor AS | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 43:52 | -9 | 43 |
| 16 | Boluspor | 35 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 52:54 | -2 | 42 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 35 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 39:69 | -30 | 36 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 35 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 44:62 | -18 | 33 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 35 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 27:96 | -69 | 10 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 35 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 20:152 | -132 | -54 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
