Result
1:1
29/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 15
- Referee: Kolak B. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (383/471) | 77% (233/303) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (383/471) | 77% (233/303) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (54/88) | 32% (18/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (87/138) | 64% (47/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (6/27) | 50% (3/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.36 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 88% (14/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 5 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.39 | 1.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Ekincier B. (Pen),
- 13', Dursun S. 🟨,
- 18', Hoti E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Cihan M. ↓, Zwolinski L. ↑,
- 46', Hoti E. ↓, Bardhi J. ↑,
- 46', Erdogan E. ↓, Coban B. ↑,
- 52', Erkin C. 🟥,
- 56', Ben Yedder W. ↓, Okumus A. ↑,
- 59', Ekincier B. 🟨,
- 64', Ekincier B. ↓, Benny ↑,
- 66', Ben Yedder W. 🟨,
- 68', Vukovic J. 🟨,
- 70', Djokanovic A. 🟨,
- 72', Altiparmak B. ↓, Demir M. ↑,
- 74', Kosoko T. ↓, Karasu M. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 1, Zwolinski L. ⚽, Kakuta G. (A),
- 86', Babacan A. 🟨,
- 86', Babacan A. ↓, Aktas K. ↑,
- 87', Ozdemir T. ↓, Sas Y. D. ↑,
- 88', Karasu M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Coban B. ↓, Akuazaoku U. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sakaryaspor
63.1% | Draw
21.2% | Umraniyespor
15.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sakaryaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Sakaryaspor - Umraniyespor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↓
(1.51) |
4.38 ↑
(4.29) |
5.96 ↑
(5.57) |
7.7%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sakaryaspor - Umraniyespor?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Sakaryaspor will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Umraniyespor will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Umraniyespor (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 16).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Sakaryaspor is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Sakaryaspor: Bayram A.
(Suspended)
Demir E.
(Injury)
Kolovetsios D.
(Knee Injury)
Sanli B.
(Inactive)
Tekogul Y.
(Suspended)
Turken A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Umraniyespor: Benny
(Red Card)
Kaplan E.
(Suspended)
Saitoglu Y.
(Suspended)
Yilmaz Y.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Umraniyespor: Kosoko T.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sakaryaspor won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sakaryaspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Sakaryaspor won against Umraniyespor?
Sakaryaspor has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Umraniyespor won against Sakaryaspor?
Umraniyespor has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sakaryaspor - Umraniyespor were as follows:
23.02.2025
Umraniyespor
-
Sakaryaspor
0:0
29.09.2024
Sakaryaspor
-
Umraniyespor
1:3
28.01.2024
Umraniyespor
-
Sakaryaspor
1:1
26.08.2023
Sakaryaspor
-
Umraniyespor
1:1
Latest results of Sakaryaspor
Latest results of Umraniyespor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 74:23 | 51 | 69 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 68:32 | 36 | 67 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 73:30 | 43 | 63 |
| 4 | Corum | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 53:34 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 67:35 | 32 | 57 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 32 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 54 |
| 7 | Bandirmaspor | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 42:33 | 9 | 48 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 63:40 | 23 | 47 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 47 |
| 10 | Igdir FK | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 40:44 | -4 | 45 |
| 11 | Vanspor FK | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:35 | 7 | 43 |
| 12 | Manisa FK | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 46:52 | -6 | 43 |
| 13 | Boluspor | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 50:44 | 6 | 42 |
| 14 | Umraniyespor | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 38:41 | -3 | 39 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 34:41 | -7 | 39 |
| 16 | Istanbulspor AS | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 38:48 | -10 | 39 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 38:60 | -22 | 35 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 41:56 | -15 | 32 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 32 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 22:88 | -66 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 32 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 17:141 | -124 | -57 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
