Result
2:0
01/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 36
- Referee: Fourneau F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 0.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (263/324) | 81% (275/338) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 0.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (263/324) | 81% (275/338) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (19/39) | 43% (28/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (94/130) | 66% (62/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 34% (10/29) | 7% (1/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.89 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.95 | -0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Kouda R. ⚽, Mateju A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', Hrustic A. 🟨,
- 62', Cerri A. ↓, Simy ↑,
- 62', Ruggeri F. ↓, Verde D. ↑,
- 63', Falcinelli D. ↓, Colak A. ↑,
- 63', Kouda R. ↓, Cassata F. ↑,
- 76', Stojanovic P. ↓, Soriano R. ↑,
- 76', Mateju A. ↓, Vignali L. ↑,
- 76', Bandinelli F. ↓, Nagy A. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 0, Vignali L. ⚽,
- 84', Corazza T. 🟨,
- 86', Tongya F. ↓, Jaroszynski P. ↑,
- 86', Lochoshvili L. ↓, Njoh L. ↑,
- 88', Esposito F. ↓, Lapadula G. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/5aujrhrx
Chances of winning
Spezia
53.1% | Draw
28.2% | Salernitana
18.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Salernitana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spezia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Spezia - Salernitana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↑
(1.64) |
3.36 ↓
(3.85) |
4.99 ↓
(5.06) |
5.7%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Spezia - Salernitana?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Spezia (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Spezia will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches Spezia won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Spezia is a favorite.
- There will not play in Spezia: Degli Innocenti D.
(Injury)
Sarr M.
(Shoulder Injury)
Soleri E.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Salernitana: Bronn D.
(Injury)
Zuccon F.
(Inactive)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:18 (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams, Spezia won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:6 (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Salernitana?
Spezia has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Salernitana won against Spezia?
Salernitana has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Spezia - Salernitana were as follows:
19.10.2024
Salernitana
-
Spezia
0:2
12.08.2024
Salernitana
-
Spezia
4:3
02.04.2023
Spezia
-
Salernitana
1:1
22.10.2022
Salernitana
-
Spezia
1:0
Latest results of Salernitana
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 58:25 | 33 | 60 |
| 2 | Monza | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 44:21 | 23 | 60 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 50:26 | 24 | 54 |
| 4 | Palermo | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 46:21 | 25 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 39:29 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Modena | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:24 | 13 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 | Cesena | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 36:41 | -5 | 38 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 28 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 37 |
| 10 | Padova | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 30:35 | -5 | 34 |
| 11 | Empoli | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 33:37 | -4 | 31 |
| 12 | Carrarese | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Avellino | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 30:46 | -16 | 30 |
| 14 | Sampdoria | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 29 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 29:40 | -11 | 29 |
| 16 | Entella | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26:40 | -14 | 28 |
| 17 | Mantova | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 27:42 | -15 | 27 |
| 18 | Spezia | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 26 |
| 19 | Bari | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 23:39 | -16 | 25 |
| 20 | Pescara | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 32:52 | -20 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
