Result
1:1
27/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 5
- Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.66 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (313/406) | 63% (148/235) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (313/406) | 63% (148/235) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (19/55) | 40% (25/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (56/94) | 46% (33/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 38% (5/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', Cuni M. 🟨,
- 7', Henderson L. 🟨,
- 17', Vicari F. ↓, Pucino R. ↑,
- 19', Depaoli F. 🟨,
- 28', 0 - 1, Depaoli F. ⚽, Pafundi S. (A),
- 32', 1 - 1, Moncini G. ⚽, Dickmann L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 51', Benedetti L. 🟨,
- 53', Dickmann L. 🟨,
- 66', Maggiore G. ↓, Darboe E. ↑,
- 66', Gytkjaer C. ↓, Sibilli G. ↑,
- 66', Benedetti L. ↓, Venuti L. ↑,
- 66', Henderson L. ↓, Bellemo A. ↑,
- 76', Meroni A. ↓, Burgio R. ↑,
- 80', Pafundi S. ↓, Coda M. ↑,
- 80', Depaoli F. ↓, Barak A. ↑,
- 81', Caserta F. 🟨,
- 87', Sibilli G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bari
38.2% | Draw
33.2% | Sampdoria
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Bari - Sampdoria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↑
(2.28) |
2.86 ↓
(3.24) |
3.3 ↑
(3.3) |
5.6%
(5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Bari - Sampdoria?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Bari will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 42.8% – 90.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bari (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In recent games, both teams have suffered a series of defeats.
- Sampdoria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Bari has had a series of away games.
- Bari might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Sampdoria: Altare G.
(Knee Injury)
Cherubini L.
(Red Card)
Ferrari A.
(Thigh Injury)
Girelli S.
(Inactive)
Malagrida L.
(Ankle Injury)
Pedrola E.
(Injury)
Romagnoli S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bari won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bari won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Bari won against Sampdoria?
Bari has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sampdoria won against Bari?
Sampdoria has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bari - Sampdoria were as follows:
02.03.2025
Bari
-
Sampdoria
1:1
31.08.2024
Sampdoria
-
Bari
0:0
16.03.2024
Bari
-
Sampdoria
0:1
26.12.2023
Sampdoria
-
Bari
1:1
Latest results of Sampdoria
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Modena | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 11 |
| 3 | Palermo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Cesena | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Avellino | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Sudtirol | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Venezia | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Juve Stabia | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Monza | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Padova | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 | Catanzaro | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Reggiana | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Entella | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Empoli | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Pescara | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 | Mantova | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Bari | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 |
| 19 | Spezia | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 2 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
