Result
3:2
07/12/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 15
- Referee: Allegretta C. G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.48 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (365/444) | 76% (266/351) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (365/444) | 76% (266/351) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (25/58) | 42% (18/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (90/128) | 61% (51/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.46 | -1.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Abiuso F. ⚽, Finotto M. (A),
- 10', Henderson L. 🟨,
- 17', 1 - 1, Coda M. ⚽, Pafundi S. (A),
- 26', 1 - 2, Abiuso F. ⚽, Zanon S. (A),
- 36', 2 - 2, Henderson L. ⚽, Coda M. (A),
- 37', Illanes J. 🟨,
- 43', Ferrari A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ferrari A. ↓, Hadzikadunic D. ↑,
- 58', Cherubini L. ↓, Benedetti L. ↑,
- 59', Venuti L. ↓, Riccio A. ↑,
- 65', Pafundi S. ↓, Barak A. ↑,
- 65', Hasa L. ↓, Bozhanaj K. ↑,
- 68', Abiuso F. ↓, Torregrossa E. ↑,
- 73', Henderson L. ↓, Ricci M. ↑,
- 82', 3 - 2, Coda M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 84', Zuelli E. ↓, Parlanti G. ↑,
- 84', Zanon S. ↓, Di Stefano F. ↑,
- 84', Cherubini L. 🟨,
- 84', Oliana F. ↓, Bouah D. ↑,
- 87', Coda M. 🟨,
- 87', Torregrossa E. 🟨,
- 90+2', Depaoli F. 🟨,
- 90+4', Benedetti L. 🟨,
- 90+5', Ioannou N. 🟨,
- 90+8', Schiavi N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sampdoria
42.8% | Draw
30.9% | Carrarese
26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Sampdoria - Carrarese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↑
(2.13) |
3.03 ↓
(3.13) |
3.57 ↑
(3.54) |
6.6%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sampdoria - Carrarese?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Sampdoria will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Carrarese will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sampdoria: 35.2% – 84.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sampdoria will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 13).
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Sampdoria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Sampdoria could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Sampdoria: Abildgaard O.
(Injury)
Altare G.
(Knee Injury)
Cuni M.
(Inactive)
Girelli S.
(Inactive)
Romagnoli S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Carrarese: Accornero F.
(Inactive)
Ruggeri F.
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sampdoria won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Sampdoria won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Sampdoria won against Carrarese?
Sampdoria has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carrarese won against Sampdoria?
Carrarese has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sampdoria - Carrarese were as follows:
25.04.2025
Carrarese
-
Sampdoria
1:0
26.12.2024
Sampdoria
-
Carrarese
1:1
Latest results of Sampdoria
Latest results of Carrarese
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 53:24 | 29 | 56 |
| 2 | Monza | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 39:20 | 19 | 54 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48:24 | 24 | 53 |
| 4 | Palermo | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 45:19 | 26 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
| 6 | Modena | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 35:20 | 15 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Cesena | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34:37 | -3 | 37 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 33 |
| 10 | Empoli | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:36 | -4 | 30 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Padova | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Avellino | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 30:42 | -12 | 29 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 26 |
| 16 | Mantova | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Spezia | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 23:34 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Entella | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 |
| 19 | Bari | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 21:39 | -18 | 22 |
| 20 | Pescara | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 30:51 | -21 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
