Result
1:0
20/09/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 4
- Referee: Abisso R. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.07 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (411/484) | 71% (192/272) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (411/484) | 71% (192/272) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (28/60) | 38% (24/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (95/130) | 61% (54/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (2/17) | 0% (0/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.33 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.03 | -0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Izzo A. 🟨,
- 7', Vulikic S. 🟨,
- 29', Barak A. (Pen),
- 31', Cherubini L. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Izzo A. ↓, Birindelli S. ↑,
- 54', Henderson L. 🟨,
- 55', Ciurria P. 🟥,
- 59', 1 - 0, Alvarez A. ⚽,
- 63', Barak A. ↓, Pafundi S. ↑,
- 64', Vulikic S. ↓, Coda M. ↑,
- 64', Venuti L. ↓, Giordano S. ↑,
- 66', Galazzi N. ↓, Colpani A. ↑,
- 66', Maric M. ↓, Delli Carri F. ↑,
- 77', Alvarez A. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
- 82', Azzi P. ↓, Carboni A. ↑,
- 84', Riccio A. ↓, Narro V. ↑,
- 88', Depaoli F. ↓, Benedetti L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Monza
59% | Draw
28.6% | Sampdoria
12.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Monza's performance.Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sampdoria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-17.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monza that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+16.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sampdoria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Monza - Sampdoria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(1.97) |
3.69 ↑
(3.38) |
9.1 ↑
(3.74) |
-3.6%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Monza - Sampdoria?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Sampdoria will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monza: 41.6% – 98.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Recent performances by Monza have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sampdoria is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sampdoria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Monza is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Monza: Antov V.
(Knee Injury)
Forson O.
(Injury)
Zeroli K.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Sampdoria: Altare G.
(Knee Injury)
Ferrari A.
(Thigh Injury)
Girelli S.
(Inactive)
Malagrida L.
(Ankle Injury)
Romagnoli S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Sampdoria: Pedrola E.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Monza won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Monza won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Monza won against Sampdoria?
Monza has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sampdoria won against Monza?
Sampdoria has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monza - Sampdoria were as follows:
06.02.2023
Monza
-
Sampdoria
2:2
02.10.2022
Sampdoria
-
Monza
0:3
Latest results of Sampdoria
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 58:25 | 33 | 60 |
| 2 | Monza | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 44:21 | 23 | 60 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 50:26 | 24 | 54 |
| 4 | Palermo | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 46:21 | 25 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 39:29 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Modena | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:24 | 13 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 | Cesena | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 36:41 | -5 | 38 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 28 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 37 |
| 10 | Padova | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 30:35 | -5 | 34 |
| 11 | Empoli | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 33:37 | -4 | 31 |
| 12 | Carrarese | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Avellino | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 30:46 | -16 | 30 |
| 14 | Sampdoria | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 29 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 29:40 | -11 | 29 |
| 16 | Entella | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26:40 | -14 | 28 |
| 17 | Mantova | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 27:42 | -15 | 27 |
| 18 | Spezia | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 26 |
| 19 | Bari | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 23:39 | -16 | 25 |
| 20 | Pescara | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 32:52 | -20 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
