Monza vs Sampdoria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie B Monza - Sampdoria
20/09/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Monza
51%
Draw
27.4%
Sampdoria
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.4% 27.7% 24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 24% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monza that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sampdoria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Monza - Sampdoria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.97)
    3.45
    (3.38)
    4.18
    (3.74)
    6.4%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Monza has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Sampdoria is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Sampdoria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Monza is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Monza won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Monza won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monza - Sampdoria were as follows:
    06.02.2023 Monza - Sampdoria 2:2
    02.10.2022 Sampdoria - Monza 0:3
    Latest results of Monza
    12.09.2025 Avellino - Monza 2:1
    31.08.2025 Bari - Monza 1:1
    23.08.2025 Monza - Mantova 1:0
    17.08.2025 Monza - Frosinone 0:1
    12.08.2025 Monza - Inter Milan 2:2
    Latest results of Sampdoria
    13.09.2025 Sampdoria - Cesena 1:2
    25.08.2025 Sampdoria - Modena 0:2
    18.08.2025 Spezia - Sampdoria 2:1
    10.08.2025 Sampdoria - Pontedera 1:0
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Modena32106:157
    2Cesena32106:337
    3Palermo32104:137
    4Frosinone32103:037
    5Carrarese31203:125
    6Venezia31204:315
    7Entella31203:215
    8Reggiana31114:314
    9Empoli31115:504
    10Sudtirol31114:404
    11Monza31113:304
    12Avellino31113:4-14
    13Catanzaro30302:203
    14Juve Stabia30301:103
    15Mantova31022:3-13
    16Spezia30211:3-22
    17Pescara30124:7-31
    18Padova30121:4-31
    19Bari30122:6-41
    20Sampdoria30032:7-50

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