Result
2:0
11/04/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 34
- Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 0.21 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (479/552) | 80% (240/301) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 0.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 51 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (479/552) | 80% (240/301) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (23/51) | 43% (19/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (119/153) | 63% (48/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 0.23 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 50', 1 - 0, Obiang P. ⚽, Petagna A. (A),
- 64', Maggiore G. 🟨,
- 66', Mane M. ↓, Dorval M. ↑,
- 66', Maggiore G. ↓, Verreth M. ↑,
- 66', Obiang P. ↓, Colombo L. ↑,
- 67', Mota D. ↓, Caso G. ↑,
- 67', Birindelli S. ↓, Bakoune A. ↑,
- 70', Petagna A. 🟨,
- 79', 2 - 0, Pessina M. ⚽, Caso G. (A),
- 82', Esteves T. ↓, Cuni M. ↑,
- 82', Piscopo K. ↓, Cavuoti N. ↑,
- 83', Moncini G. ↓, Gytkjaer C. ↑,
- 83', Petagna A. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
- 89', Lucchesi L. ↓, Carboni A. ↑,
- 90+4', Dorval M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Monza
72.2% | Draw
18% | Bari
9.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Monza's performance.Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Monza - Bari Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.32 ↓
(1.41) |
5.19 ↑
(4.33) |
9.51 ↑
(7.28) |
5.8%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Monza - Bari?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Monza is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Monza: Antov V.
(Knee Injury)
Balde K.
(Red Card)
Birindelli S.
(Inactive)
Cutrone P.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Bari: Burgio R.
(Inactive)
Darboe E.
(Thigh Injury)
De Pieri G.
(Inactive)
Dickmann L.
(Inactive)
Sibilli G.
(Suspended)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Monza won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Monza won against Bari?
Monza has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bari won against Monza?
Bari has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monza - Bari were as follows:
31.08.2025
Bari
-
Monza
1:1
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
