Result
01/05/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 37
- Referee: Sacchi J. L. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Chances of winning
Mantova
19.6% | Draw
25.5% | Monza
54.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mantova's form might have worsened.Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monza's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mantova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Monza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mantova - Monza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.72 ↑
(3.77) |
3.7 ↑
(3.6) |
1.7 ↓
(1.94) |
7%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mantova - Monza?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Mantova will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Monza will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monza: 41.6% – 98.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Monza (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mantova won 2.
- Mantova has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Monza is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Monza is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Mantova: Bianay Balcot C.
(Muscle Injury)
Bonfanti N.
(Ankle Injury)
Chrysopoulos K.
(Inactive)
Mensah D.
(Injury)
Meroni A.
(Inactive)
Muci N.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Monza: Azzi P.
(Inactive)
Colombo L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Mantova: Benaissa-Yahia F.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Mantova won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mantova won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Monza?
Mantova has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Monza won against Mantova?
Monza has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mantova - Monza were as follows:
23.08.2025
Monza
-
Mantova
1:0
Latest results of Mantova
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
