Samsunspor vs Dynamo Kyiv – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
23/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Kristjansson I. O. (Ice)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 13
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoDisney+
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 14
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.500.72
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
145
Shots on target
50
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
80% (342/426)84% (382/456)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
2.500.72
xG on target (xGOT)
2.300.00
Total shots
145
Shots on target
50
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
103
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
2210
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
106
Passes
80% (342/426)84% (382/456)
Long passes
39% (26/67)53% (23/43)
Passes in final third
62% (56/91)61% (70/115)
Crosses
22% (2/9)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.900.81
Throw-ins
2620
Fouls
610
Tackles
64% (9/14)75% (9/12)
Duels won
4434
Clearances
2423
Interceptions
911
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.002.30
Goals prevented
0.00-0.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Musaba A. , Marius (A),
  • 34', 2 - 0, Marius , Musaba A. (A),
  • 45+4', Vivcharenko K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 62', 3 - 0, Holse C. , Yavru Z. (A),
  • 67', Vivcharenko K. , Mykhavko T. ,
  • 67', Rubchynskyi V. , Pikhalyonok O. ,
  • 72', Mykhavko T. 🟨,
  • 73', Coulibaly T. , Kilinc E. ,
  • 73', Yavru Z. , Mendes J. ,
  • 76', Ogundana S. , Blanuta V. ,
  • 76', Mykhaylenko M. , Brazhko V. ,
  • 78', Musaba A. , Cift Y. E. ,
  • 78', Yuksel C. , Gonul S. ,
  • 82', Buyalskyy V. , Yatsyk O. ,
  • 84', Holse C. , Aydogdu S. ,

Chances of winning


Samsunspor
60.2%
Draw
25%
Dynamo Kyiv
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 28% 25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 26.9% 24.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Samsunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Samsunspor's performance.
  • Dynamo Kyiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dynamo Kyiv might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Samsunspor that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Kyiv than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dynamo Kyiv could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Samsunspor - Dynamo Kyiv Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (2.04)
    4.79
    (3.37)
    8.68
    (3.65)
    -13%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Samsunspor - Dynamo Kyiv?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Samsunspor will win (votes: 19 - 70.4%). Dynamo will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Samsunspor: 53.2%87.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 7 - 70%). Dynamo (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Dynamo (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Dynamo (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Samsunspor is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Dynamo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Samsunspor might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Samsunspor: Aydin E. (Inactive) Cetin B. (Knee Injury) Ndiaye C. (Inactive) Ustun E. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Dynamo: Torres A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Samsunspor: Aydogdu S. (Injury) Ceesay E. (Injury) Ntcham O. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Dynamo: Bilovar K. (Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Samsunspor
    Latest results of Dynamo Kyiv
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2