Samsunspor vs Dynamo Kyiv – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Football UEFA Europa Conference League Samsunspor - Dynamo Kyiv
Result
3:0
23/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Kristjansson I. O. (Ice)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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franceFranceCanal+ Live 13
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usaUsaParamount+
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.500.72
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
145
Shots on target
50
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
80% (342/426)84% (382/456)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
2.500.72
xG on target (xGOT)
2.300.00
Total shots
145
Shots on target
50
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
103
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
2210
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
106
Passes
80% (342/426)84% (382/456)
Long passes
39% (26/67)53% (23/43)
Passes in final third
62% (56/91)61% (70/115)
Crosses
22% (2/9)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.900.81
Throw-ins
2620
Fouls
610
Tackles
64% (9/14)75% (9/12)
Duels won
4434
Clearances
2423
Interceptions
911
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.002.30
Goals prevented
0.00-0.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Musaba A. ⚽, Marius (A),
  • 34', 2 - 0, Marius ⚽, Musaba A. (A),
  • 45+4', Vivcharenko K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 62', 3 - 0, Holse C. ⚽, Yavru Z. (A),
  • 67', Vivcharenko K. ↓, Mykhavko T. ↑,
  • 67', Rubchynskyi V. ↓, Pikhalyonok O. ↑,
  • 72', Mykhavko T. 🟨,
  • 73', Coulibaly T. ↓, Kilinc E. ↑,
  • 73', Yavru Z. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
  • 76', Ogundana S. ↓, Blanuta V. ↑,
  • 76', Mykhaylenko M. ↓, Brazhko V. ↑,
  • 78', Musaba A. ↓, Cift Y. E. ↑,
  • 78', Yuksel C. ↓, Gonul S. ↑,
  • 82', Buyalskyy V. ↓, Yatsyk O. ↑,
  • 84', Holse C. ↓, Aydogdu S. ↑,

Chances of winning


Samsunspor
60.2%		Draw
25%		Dynamo Kyiv
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 28% 25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 26.9% 24.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Samsunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Samsunspor's performance.
  • Dynamo Kyiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dynamo Kyiv might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Samsunspor that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Kyiv than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dynamo Kyiv could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Samsunspor - Dynamo Kyiv Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.83 ↓
    (2.04)    		 4.79 ↑
    (3.37)    		 8.68 ↑
    (3.65)    		 -13%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Samsunspor - Dynamo Kyiv?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Samsunspor will win (votes: 19 - 70.4%). Dynamo will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Samsunspor: 53.2% – 87.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Samsunspor will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Samsunspor is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Dynamo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Samsunspor might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Samsunspor: Aydin E. (Inactive) Cetin B. (Knee Injury) Ndiaye C. (Inactive) Ustun E. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Dynamo: Torres A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Samsunspor: Aydogdu S. (Injury) Ceesay E. (Injury) Ntcham O. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Dynamo: Bilovar K. (Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Samsunspor
    19.10.2025 Kayserispor - Samsunspor 1:3 ✺
    05.10.2025 Samsunspor - Fenerbahçe 0:0 ✺
    02.10.2025 Legia Warsaw - Samsunspor 0:1 ✺
    27.09.2025 Gaziantep - Samsunspor 2:2 ✺
    21.09.2025 Samsunspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 3:2 ✺
    Latest results of Dynamo Kyiv
    18.10.2025 Zorya Luhansk - Dynamo Kyiv 1:1 ✺
    05.10.2025 Dynamo Kyiv - Metalist 1925 1:1 ✺
    02.10.2025 Dynamo Kyiv - Crystal Palace 0:2 ✺
    27.09.2025 Karpaty Lviv - Dynamo Kyiv 3:3 ✺
    22.09.2025 Dynamo Kyiv - Oleksandriya 2:2 ✺
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fiorentina22005:056
    2AEK Larnaca22005:056
    3Celje22005:146
    4Lausanne22004:046
    5Samsunspor22004:046
    6Mainz22002:026
    7Rayo Vallecano21104:224
    8Rakow21103:124
    9Strasbourg21103:214
    10Jagiellonia21102:114
    11Noah21102:114
    12AEK Athens FC21017:343
    13Zrinjski21015:143
    14Lech Poznan21015:323
    15Sparta Prague21014:223
    16Crystal Palace21012:113
    17Shakhtar Donetsk21014:403
    18Legia21012:203
    19Rijeka21011:103
    20Shkendija21011:2-13
    21AZ Alkmaar21011:4-33
    22Lincoln Red Imps21012:6-43
    23Drita20202:202
    24Hacken20202:202
    25KuPS20201:102
    26Omonia20111:2-11
    27Shelbourne20110:1-11
    28Sigma Olomouc20111:3-21
    29Univ. Craiova20111:3-21
    30Breidablik20110:3-31
    31Slovan Bratislava20021:3-20
    32Hamrun20020:2-20
    33Shamrock Rovers20021:6-50
    34Dyn. Kyiv20020:5-50
    35SK Rapid20021:7-60
    36Aberdeen20022:9-70

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