Samsunspor vs İstanbul Başakşehir – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/12/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu (Samsun).

Super Lig - Round 16
Referee: Aksu O. (Tur)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.59	1.00
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Total shots
13	13
Shots on target
4	6
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
7	2
Passes
81% (374/459)	82% (332/407)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.59	1.00
xG on target (xGOT)
0.54	0.83
Total shots
13	13
Shots on target
4	6
Shots off target
6	6
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
7	7
Shots outside the Box
6	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
7	2
Touches in opposition box
20	21
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
3	0
Free Kicks
9	17
Passes
81% (374/459)	82% (332/407)
Long passes
62% (37/60)	46% (25/54)
Passes in final third
67% (79/118)	63% (63/100)
Crosses
28% (5/18)	6% (1/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.54	0.53
Throw-ins
15	24
Fouls
17	9
Tackles
89% (16/18)	67% (8/12)
Duels won
45	51
Clearances
22	26
Interceptions
4	6
Errors leading to shot
2	0
Errors leading to goal
3	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	4
xGOT faced
0.83	0.54
Goals prevented
-1.17	0.54

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', Musaba A. ↓, Aydin E. ↑,
57', Ntcham O. ↓, Yaldir P. ↑,
66', 0 - 1, Shomurodov E. ⚽,
67', Selke D. ↓, Yildirim B. ↑,
67', Fayzullaev A. ↓, Da Costa N. ↑,
67', Kilinc E. ↓, Tomasson L. ↑,
75', Gonul S. ↓, Aydogdu S. ↑,
75', Holse C. ↓, Marius ↑,
77', Harit A. ↓, Brnic I. ↑,
83', 0 - 2, Yildirim B. ⚽, Shomurodov E. (A),
87', Gunes U. ↓, Ergun O. ↑,
87', Shomurodov E. ↓, Ba O. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Samsunspor
45.8%

Draw
27.6%

İstanbul Başakşehir
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

27.1%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

26.7%

26.6%

Samsunspor - İstanbul Başakşehir Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.06)	3.41 ↓ (3.48)	3.55 ↑ (3.49)	5.6% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Samsunspor - İstanbul Başakşehir?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Samsunspor will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Başakşehir will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Samsunspor: 39.2% – 89.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 1 - 50%). Başakşehir (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Samsunspor (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Başakşehir (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Başakşehir (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 2 - 40%). Başakşehir (votes: 3 - 60%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 2.
Samsunspor is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Başakşehir has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Başakşehir may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Samsunspor is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Samsunspor: Cetin B. (Knee Injury) Sousa A. (Ankle Injury) Yuksel C. (Suspended)
There will not play in Başakşehir: Sari Y. (Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.7:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Samsunspor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.5:0.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Samsunspor won against İstanbul Başakşehir?

Samsunspor has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has İstanbul Başakşehir won against Samsunspor?

İstanbul Başakşehir has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Samsunspor - İstanbul Başakşehir were as follows:

01.02.2025 İstanbul Başakşehir - Samsunspor 4:0

18.09.2024 Samsunspor - İstanbul Başakşehir 2:0

03.03.2024 İstanbul Başakşehir - Samsunspor 1:0

22.10.2023 Samsunspor - İstanbul Başakşehir 0:0

Latest results of Samsunspor

11.12.2025 Samsunspor - AEK Athens 1:2 ✺

05.12.2025 Galatasaray - Samsunspor 3:2 ✺

01.12.2025 Samsunspor - Alanyaspor 1:1 ✺

27.11.2025 Breiðablik - Samsunspor 2:2 ✺

23.11.2025 Beşiktaş - Samsunspor 1:1 ✺

Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir

06.12.2025 İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe 1:1 ✺

29.11.2025 Kasımpaşa - İstanbul Başakşehir 1:3 ✺

24.11.2025 İstanbul Başakşehir - Trabzonspor 3:4 ✺

07.11.2025 Gençlerbirliği - İstanbul Başakşehir 2:1 ✺

31.10.2025 İstanbul Başakşehir - Kocaelispor 1:0 ✺

Turkish Super League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Galatasaray	18	13	4	1	40:13	27	43
2	Fenerbahce	18	12	6	0	42:16	26	42
3	Trabzonspor	18	11	5	2	35:21	14	38
4	Goztepe	18	10	5	3	24:10	14	35
5	Besiktas	18	9	5	4	31:22	9	32
6	Basaksehir	18	7	5	6	29:19	10	26
7	Samsunspor	18	6	8	4	23:21	2	26
8	Gaziantep	18	6	6	6	25:31	-6	24
9	Kocaelispor	18	6	5	7	16:19	-3	23
10	Alanyaspor	18	4	9	5	18:18	0	21
11	Genclerbirligi	18	5	4	9	22:25	-3	19
12	Rizespor	18	4	6	8	21:27	-6	18
13	Konyaspor	18	4	6	8	22:30	-8	18
14	Kasimpasa	18	3	7	8	14:24	-10	16
15	Antalyaspor	18	4	4	10	16:31	-15	16
16	Kayserispor	18	2	9	7	16:34	-18	15
17	Eyupspor	18	3	5	10	11:25	-14	14
18	Karagumruk	18	2	3	13	15:34	-19	9

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ 1. Lig