Result
1:2
04/07/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (377/427) | 74% (192/260) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (377/427) | 74% (192/260) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (21/41) | 39% (24/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (36/57) | 52% (34/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.25 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.22 | 1.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.78 | 0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Agudelo J. ⚽,
- 15', Agudelo J. 🟨,
- 28', Cabrera A. 🟨,
- 34', Sanchez R. ↓, Namani D. ↑,
- 45+4', Medranda J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Ackwei W. ↓, Twumasi K. ↑,
- 46', Soto A. 🟨,
- 57', Hernandez D. 🟨,
- 63', Coronado R. ↓, Ruiz R. ↑,
- 63', Quezada A. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 1, Moreno A. ⚽,
- 68', Medranda J. ↓, Salim A. ↑,
- 68', Agudelo J. ↓, Erofeev D. ↑,
- 77', Ruiz R. 🟨,
- 77', Moreno A. 🟨,
- 80', Buckmaster R. 🟨,
- 81', Taintor M. 🟨,
- 81', Haakenson L. 🟨,
- 81', Tony Alfaro 🟨,
- 82', Avila R. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
- 82', Gabriel Torres ↓, Dollenmayer N. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 2, Crognale A. ⚽, Hernandez D. (A),
- 85', LaCava J. ↓, Greive A. ↑,
- 85', Hernandez D. ↓, Walker L. ↑,
- 86', Berron L. 🟨,
- 90+5', Moreno A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
El Paso Locomotive
47.2% | Draw
27.2% | San Antonio
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)San Antonio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Antonio than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
El Paso Locomotive - San Antonio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↓
(2.03) |
3.4 ↓
(3.61) |
3.61 ↑
(3.11) |
8.4%
(9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for El Paso Locomotive - San Antonio?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. El Paso will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). San Antonio will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for El Paso: 4% – 71%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. San Antonio (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 1.
- In recent matches, El Paso has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- San Antonio is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- San Antonio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- El Paso will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, El Paso won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.6:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has El Paso Locomotive won against San Antonio?
El Paso Locomotive has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Antonio won against El Paso Locomotive?
San Antonio has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Paso Locomotive - San Antonio were as follows:
09.10.2024
El Paso Locomotive
-
San Antonio
2:2
05.06.2024
San Antonio
-
El Paso Locomotive
0:1
12.07.2023
El Paso Locomotive
-
San Antonio
1:2
10.06.2023
San Antonio
-
El Paso Locomotive
2:2
Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
Latest results of San Antonio
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 24 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 48:18 | 30 | 57 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 50:27 | 23 | 51 |
| 3 | Loudoun | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 39:40 | -1 | 37 |
| 4 | North Carolina | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 35:32 | 3 | 36 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 37:27 | 10 | 35 |
| 6 | Detroit | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 29:30 | -1 | 32 |
| 7 | Pittsburgh | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 23:23 | 0 | 31 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 17:24 | -7 | 27 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 36:43 | -7 | 26 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 27:37 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 29:38 | -9 | 22 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 22:38 | -16 | 21 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 38 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 31:31 | 0 | 33 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 33 |
| 5 | El Paso | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 37:33 | 4 | 32 |
| 6 | Lexington | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26:30 | -4 | 32 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 32:33 | -1 | 31 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 34:34 | 0 | 29 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 25 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18:39 | -21 | 25 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24:36 | -12 | 24 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
