Result
5:2
25/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Ndiaye A. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (205/249) | 90% (390/434) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (205/249) | 90% (390/434) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (21/45) | 51% (22/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (41/65) | 81% (95/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 92% (11/12) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.38 | -3.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Moreno A. ⚽, Calvillo E. (A),
- 9', 1 - 1, Patino S. ⚽, Taintor M. (A),
- 21', Alfaro T. 🟨,
- 22', 2 - 1, Haakenson L. ⚽, Souahy A. (A),
- 27', Berron L. 🟨,
- 32', Daroma F. 🟨,
- 35', 3 - 1, Alfaro T. (Own goal),
- 38', Moreno A. 🟨,
- 45+2', Haakenson L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Patino S. ↓, Greive A. ↑,
- 46', Alfaro T. ↓, Ackwei W. ↑,
- 46', Berron L. ↓, Omar M. ↑,
- 46', Diaz M. ↓, Quezada A. ↑,
- 53', 4 - 1, Hernandez D. ⚽, Hernandez J. (A),
- 54', 4 - 2, Sorto C. ⚽, Calvillo E. (A),
- 60', Gabriel Torres ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
- 72', Soto A. ↓, Walker L. ↑,
- 72', Hernandez D. ↓, Pacheco D. ↑,
- 81', Daroma F. ↓, Cabrera A. ↑,
- 83', 🟨,
- 85', Haakenson L. ↓, Salim A. ↑,
- 86', 5 - 2, Taintor M. ⚽, Hernandez J. (A),
- 89', Sanchez R. 🟨,
- 90+1', Waite J. ↓, Mora-Mora S. ↑,
Chances of winning
San Antonio
44.9% | Draw
27.2% | El Paso Locomotive
27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Antonio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Antonio's performance.El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and El Paso Locomotive might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Antonio than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
San Antonio - El Paso Locomotive Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↓
(2.4) |
3.42 ↓
(3.45) |
3.33 ↑
(2.8) |
7.7%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for San Antonio - El Paso Locomotive?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. El Paso (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Antonio won 2.
- San Antonio has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- El Paso is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- El Paso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, San Antonio has had a series of away games.
- San Antonio might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, San Antonio won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, San Antonio won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has San Antonio won against El Paso Locomotive?
San Antonio has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Paso Locomotive won against San Antonio?
El Paso Locomotive has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Antonio - El Paso Locomotive were as follows:
04.07.2025
El Paso Locomotive
-
San Antonio
1:2
09.10.2024
El Paso Locomotive
-
San Antonio
2:2
05.06.2024
San Antonio
-
El Paso Locomotive
0:1
12.07.2023
El Paso Locomotive
-
San Antonio
1:2
10.06.2023
San Antonio
-
El Paso Locomotive
2:2
Latest results of San Antonio
Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
USL Championship Table
MainEastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 56:19 | 37 | 73 |
| 2 | Charleston | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 62:32 | 30 | 62 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 40:39 | 1 | 45 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 48:36 | 12 | 44 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 32:28 | 4 | 44 |
| 6 | Loudoun | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 45:48 | -3 | 42 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 29:29 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Detroit | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 37 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 35 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 34 |
| 11 | Miami FC | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 29:44 | -15 | 30 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 36:50 | -14 | 27 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 50:30 | 20 | 57 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 48 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 48 |
| 4 | El Paso | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 47:45 | 2 | 41 |
| 5 | San Antonio | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 48:48 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 44:45 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 35:47 | -12 | 37 |
| 9 | Lexington | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 42:52 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 23:50 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
