San Antonio vs El Paso Locomotive – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:2
25/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Ndiaye A. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.560.75
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
82% (205/249)90% (390/434)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
0.560.75
xG on target (xGOT)
0.820.62
Total shots
812
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
04
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
63
Shots outside the Box
29
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1415
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1920
Passes
82% (205/249)90% (390/434)
Long passes
47% (21/45)51% (22/43)
Passes in final third
63% (41/65)81% (95/117)
Crosses
29% (5/17)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.611.43
Throw-ins
1815
Fouls
2019
Tackles
92% (11/12)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4341
Clearances
1311
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.620.82
Goals prevented
-1.38-3.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Moreno A. , Calvillo E. (A),
  • 9', 1 - 1, Patino S. , Taintor M. (A),
  • 21', Alfaro T. 🟨,
  • 22', 2 - 1, Haakenson L. , Souahy A. (A),
  • 27', Berron L. 🟨,
  • 32', Daroma F. 🟨,
  • 35', 3 - 1, Alfaro T. (Own goal),
  • 38', Moreno A. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Haakenson L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Patino S. , Greive A. ,
  • 46', Alfaro T. , Ackwei W. ,
  • 46', Berron L. , Omar M. ,
  • 46', Diaz M. , Quezada A. ,
  • 53', 4 - 1, Hernandez D. , Hernandez J. (A),
  • 54', 4 - 2, Sorto C. , Calvillo E. (A),
  • 60', Gabriel Torres , Rodriguez E. ,
  • 72', Soto A. , Walker L. ,
  • 72', Hernandez D. , Pacheco D. ,
  • 81', Daroma F. , Cabrera A. ,
  • 83', 🟨,
  • 85', Haakenson L. , Salim A. ,
  • 86', 5 - 2, Taintor M. , Hernandez J. (A),
  • 89', Sanchez R. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Waite J. , Mora-Mora S. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


San Antonio
44.9%
Draw
27.2%
El Paso Locomotive
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.2% 27.3% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9% 29.2% 31.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Antonio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Antonio's performance.
  • El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and El Paso Locomotive might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Antonio than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • San Antonio - El Paso Locomotive Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (2.4)
    3.42
    (3.45)
    3.33
    (2.8)
    7.7%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for San Antonio - El Paso Locomotive?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. El Paso (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Antonio won 2.
    • San Antonio has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • El Paso is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • El Paso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, San Antonio has had a series of away games.
    • San Antonio might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, San Antonio won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.4:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Antonio won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Antonio - El Paso Locomotive were as follows:
    04.07.2025 El Paso Locomotive - San Antonio 1:2
    09.10.2024 El Paso Locomotive - San Antonio 2:2
    05.06.2024 San Antonio - El Paso Locomotive 0:1
    12.07.2023 El Paso Locomotive - San Antonio 1:2
    10.06.2023 San Antonio - El Paso Locomotive 2:2
    Latest results of San Antonio
    Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston00000:000
    2Tampa Bay00000:000
    3Pittsburgh00000:000
    4Indy Eleven00000:000
    5Detroit00000:000
    6Louisville City00000:000
    7Miami FC00000:000
    8Hartford Athletic00000:000
    9Birmingham00000:000
    10Loudoun00000:000
    11Rhode Island00000:000
    12Sporting Jax00000:000
    13Brooklyn00000:000


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC00000:000
    2New Mexico00000:000
    3Sacramento Republic00000:000
    4FC Tulsa00000:000
    5Colorado Springs00000:000
    6San Antonio00000:000
    7Phoenix Rising00000:000
    8Oakland Roots00000:000
    9Monterey Bay00000:000
    10Las Vegas Lights00000:000
    11El Paso00000:000
    12Lexington00000:000

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)