Result
1:3
02/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Yaya A. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.99 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (402/480) | 79% (213/271) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (402/480) | 79% (213/271) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (48/81) | 32% (9/28) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (58/91) | 63% (55/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 40% (6/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.85 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 50% (3/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.26 | -0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', Taintor M. 🟨,
- 26', Collins N. 🟨,
- 31', Haakenson L. 🟨,
- 33', 0 - 1, Desmond L. ⚽, Gurr J. (A),
- 34', 1 - 1, Pacheco D. ⚽, Hernandez J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 60', Pacheco D. ↓, LaCava J. ↑,
- 62', Soto A. 🟨,
- 68', Herrera J. ↓, Bennett K. ↑,
- 68', Willey B. ↓, Luis Felipe ↑,
- 72', Agudelo J. ↓, Medranda J. ↑,
- 72', Soto A. ↓, Omar M. ↑,
- 75', Timmer J. 🟨,
- 78', Cicerone R. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
- 78', Benitez M. ↓, Edwards A. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 2, Bennett K. ⚽,
- 84', Lopez R. 🟨,
- 86', Hernandez J. ↓, Erofeev D. ↑,
- 86', Buckmaster R. ↓, Salim A. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 3, Parano C. ⚽, Lopez R. (A),
- 90+3', Parano C. ↓, Jamieson L. ↑,
Chances of winning
San Antonio
32.6% | Draw
29.9% | Sacramento Republic
37.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Antonio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Antonio than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
San Antonio - Sacramento Republic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.79 ↑
(2.78) |
3.04 ↓
(3.08) |
2.42 ↓
(2.5) |
10%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for San Antonio - Sacramento Republic?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Sacramento Republic will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - San Antonio (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. San Antonio (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Antonio won 1.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- San Antonio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, San Antonio won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, San Antonio won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has San Antonio won against Sacramento Republic?
San Antonio has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against San Antonio?
Sacramento Republic has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Antonio - Sacramento Republic were as follows:
14.06.2025
Sacramento Republic
-
San Antonio
0:0
05.10.2024
San Antonio
-
Sacramento Republic
2:1
24.08.2024
Sacramento Republic
-
San Antonio
1:0
27.10.2023
Sacramento Republic
-
San Antonio
3:1
24.06.2023
Sacramento Republic
-
San Antonio
3:1
Latest results of San Antonio
Latest results of Sacramento Republic
USL Championship Table
2026Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Detroit | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Charleston | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Miami FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Pittsburgh | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
| 9 | Brooklyn | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Loudoun | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 3 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 1 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Orange County SC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 14 |
| 2 | El Paso | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:5 | 9 | 13 |
| 3 | San Antonio | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Oakland Roots | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | New Mexico | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 7 | Phoenix Rising | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 | Lexington | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Tulsa | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:9 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
