Result
1:0
12/07/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (399/469) | 75% (193/258) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (399/469) | 75% (193/258) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (47/75) | 33% (16/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (49/73) | 54% (44/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (2/22) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.83 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Lasso F. 🟨,
- 43', Berron L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', Wyke L. 🟨,
- 60', Pacius W. ↓, Fernandes L. ↑,
- 68', Lasso F. 🟨,
- 71', Arteaga M. ↓, Castellanos R. ↑,
- 72', Agudelo J. ↓, LaCava J. ↑,
- 72', Gomez S. ↓, Neville H. ↑,
- 79', Hernandez D. ↓, Greive A. ↑,
- 83', Guillen A. 🟨,
- 84', Alvarez L. ↓, Bassett O. ↑,
- 84', Bodily B. ↓, Moon N. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 0, Haakenson L. ⚽,
Chances of winning
San Antonio
43.1% | Draw
27.5% | Tampa Bay Rowdies
29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Antonio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Antonio's form might have worsened.Tampa Bay Rowdies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tampa Bay Rowdies's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Antonio than the current prediction. (+10.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Antonio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tampa Bay Rowdies, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
San Antonio - Tampa Bay Rowdies Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↑
(1.75) |
3.36 ↓
(3.49) |
3.15 ↓
(4.4) |
8.1%
(8.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Antonio won 1.
- San Antonio is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Tampa Bay has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- San Antonio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, San Antonio has had a series of away games.
- San Antonio is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, San Antonio won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 1.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, San Antonio won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 2.1:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has San Antonio won against Tampa Bay Rowdies?
San Antonio has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Rowdies won against San Antonio?
Tampa Bay Rowdies has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Antonio - Tampa Bay Rowdies were as follows:
16.03.2024
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
San Antonio
2:2
16.09.2023
San Antonio
-
Tampa Bay Rowdies
3:3
Latest results of San Antonio
Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 54:19 | 35 | 66 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:29 | 25 | 55 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 39 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40:29 | 11 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 37 |
| 7 | Detroit | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:47 | -7 | 32 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 20:26 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25:41 | -16 | 24 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 50 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
| 5 | El Paso | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 42:38 | 4 | 37 |
| 6 | Lexington | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 34 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 31 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 28 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 33:44 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:43 | -24 | 25 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
