Result
4:0
18/03/2026 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CONCACAF Champions Cup - 1/8-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Mexico | FOX One, Fox Sports |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | FOX One, Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, TUDN App, TUDN |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.76 | 0.46 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (402/456) | 78% (263/336) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.76 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.24 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (402/456) | 78% (263/336) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (27/50) | 30% (12/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (98/122) | 54% (43/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.41 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 24 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 3.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', Paulinho 🟨,
- 40', McVey C. 🟨,
- 40', Diaz J. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 0, Angulo J. ⚽,
- 44', Tverskov J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Castro N. ↓, Arce F. ↑,
- 56', 2 - 0, Paulinho ⚽, Gallardo J. (A),
- 59', 3 - 0, Angulo J. ⚽,
- 64', Pilcher I. ↓, Soe O. ↑,
- 65', Diaz J. ↓, Vega A. ↑,
- 69', Helinho ↓, Barbosa D. ↑,
- 71', Verhoeven O. ↓, Eisner W. ↑,
- 71', Godoy A. ↓, Mighten A. ↑,
- 80', Valakari O. ↓, Saidi A. ↑,
- 85', McVey C. 🟨,
- 87', Angulo J. 🟨,
- 89', Angulo J. ↓, Cordova S. ↑,
- 89', Pereira F. ↓, Luan ↑,
- 90+2', 4 - 0, Gallardo J. ⚽, Vega A. (A),
Chances of winning
Toluca
76.4% | Draw
13.6% | San Diego
10% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toluca's performance.San Diego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toluca that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Toluca - San Diego Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.23 ↓
(1.36) |
6.81 ↑
(4.65) |
9.38 ↑
(7.1) |
6.5%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Toluca - San Diego?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Toluca will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 2-3. Second leg.
- Toluca is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- San Diego is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Toluca is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Toluca won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against San Diego?
Toluca has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Diego won against Toluca?
San Diego has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toluca - San Diego were as follows:
11.03.2026
San Diego
-
Toluca
3:2
Latest results of San Diego
