San Diego vs Toronto FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS
Result
0:1
16/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Pennington A. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaTSN 4, TSN 5
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.440.95
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
74
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
90% (647/719)79% (242/305)
Yellow Cards
63
Expected Goals (xG)
0.440.95
xG on target (xGOT)
0.011.40
Total shots
74
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
11
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
22
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
1812
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1315
Passes
90% (647/719)79% (242/305)
Long passes
43% (13/30)35% (18/52)
Passes in final third
67% (112/166)52% (31/60)
Crosses
6% (1/18)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.400.15
Throw-ins
1914
Fouls
1513
Tackles
54% (7/13)68% (13/19)
Duels won
4047
Clearances
1429
Interceptions
1114
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.400.01
Goals prevented
0.390.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', Negri F. 🟨,
  • 20', 0 - 1, Corbeanu T. (Pen),
  • 31', Petretta R. ↓, Spicer T. ↑,
  • 40', de la Torre L. 🟨,
  • 45', Valakari O. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Corbeanu T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Angel T. ↓, Lozano H. ↑,
  • 60', Mighten A. ↓, Boateng E. ↑,
  • 60', Negri F. ↓, Bombino L. ↑,
  • 65', Bombino L. 🟨,
  • 70', Corbeanu T. ↓, Etienne D. ↑,
  • 70', Brynhildsen O. ↓, Kerr D. ↑,
  • 75', Longstaff M. ↓, Osorio J. ↑,
  • 79', Verhoeven O. ↓, Duah M. ↑,
  • 90', Pilcher I. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Boateng E. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Coello A. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Long K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Diego
66.2%		Draw
19.5%		Toronto FC
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.7% 18.1% 11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.1% 17.5% 10.8%

San Diego - Toronto FC Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.43 ↑
(1.35)		 4.88 ↓
(5.26)		 6.66 ↓
(8.49)		 5.6%
(5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for San Diego - Toronto FC?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego: 65% – 100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.25 - San Diego (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - San Diego (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): San Diego will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. San Diego (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
    • San Diego is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Toronto's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, San Diego has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, San Diego is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A. (Knee Injury) Ingvartsen M. (Lower-Body Injury) Kumado W. (Lower-Body Injury) Reyes A. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Monlouis Z. (Lower-Body Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in San Diego: Godoy A. (Lower-Body Injury) dos Santos C. J. (Face Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Osorio J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • We predict that San Diego will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of San Diego
    12.07.2025 Chicago Fire - San Diego 1:2 ✺
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    25.06.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps - San Diego 3:5 ✺
    14.06.2025 Minnesota United - San Diego 2:4 ✺
    31.05.2025 San Diego - Austin FC 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    12.07.2025 Toronto FC - Atlanta United 1:1 ✺
    03.07.2025 New York City - Toronto FC 3:1 ✺
    25.06.2025 Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls 1:1 ✺
    31.05.2025 Toronto FC - Charlotte 0:2 ✺
    28.05.2025 Toronto FC - Philadelphia Union 1:2 ✺
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Dallas00000:000
    2Houston Dynamo00000:000
    3Los Angeles Galaxy00000:000
    4Real Salt Lake00000:000
    5San Jose Earthquakes00000:000
    6Colorado Rapids00000:000
    7Sporting Kansas City00000:000
    8Seattle Sounders00000:000
    9Portland Timbers00000:000
    10Vancouver Whitecaps00000:000
    11Minnesota United00000:000
    12Los Angeles FC00000:000
    13Austin FC00000:000
    14St. Louis City00000:000
    15San Diego FC00000:000


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New England Revolution00000:000
    2DC United00000:000
    3Toronto FC00000:000
    4New York Red Bulls00000:000
    5Columbus Crew00000:000
    6Chicago Fire00000:000
    7CF Montreal00000:000
    8Philadelphia Union00000:000
    9Orlando City00000:000
    10New York City00000:000
    11FC Cincinnati00000:000
    12Atlanta Utd00000:000
    13Nashville SC00000:000
    14Inter Miami00000:000
    15Charlotte00000:000

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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