San Diego vs Toronto FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS San Diego - Toronto FC
Result
0:1
16/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Pennington A. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaTSN 4, TSN 5
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.440.95
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
74
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
90% (647/719)79% (242/305)
Yellow Cards
63
Expected Goals (xG)
0.440.95
xG on target (xGOT)
0.011.40
Total shots
74
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
11
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
22
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
1812
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1315
Passes
90% (647/719)79% (242/305)
Long passes
43% (13/30)35% (18/52)
Passes in final third
67% (112/166)52% (31/60)
Crosses
6% (1/18)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.400.15
Throw-ins
1914
Fouls
1513
Tackles
54% (7/13)68% (13/19)
Duels won
4047
Clearances
1429
Interceptions
1114
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.400.01
Goals prevented
0.390.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', Negri F. 🟨,
  • 20', 0 - 1, Corbeanu T. (Pen),
  • 31', Petretta R. , Spicer T. ,
  • 40', de la Torre L. 🟨,
  • 45', Valakari O. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Corbeanu T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Angel T. , Lozano H. ,
  • 60', Mighten A. , Boateng E. ,
  • 60', Negri F. , Bombino L. ,
  • 65', Bombino L. 🟨,
  • 70', Corbeanu T. , Etienne D. ,
  • 70', Brynhildsen O. , Kerr D. ,
  • 75', Longstaff M. , Osorio J. ,
  • 79', Verhoeven O. , Duah M. ,
  • 90', Pilcher I. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Boateng E. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Coello A. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Long K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Diego
66.2%
Draw
19.5%
Toronto FC
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.7% 18.1% 11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.1% 17.5% 10.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Diego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • Toronto FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Diego, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • San Diego - Toronto FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.35)
    4.88
    (5.26)
    6.66
    (8.49)
    5.6%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for San Diego - Toronto FC?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego: 65%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. San Diego (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
    • San Diego is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Toronto's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, San Diego has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, San Diego is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A. (Knee Injury) Ingvartsen M. (Lower-Body Injury) Kumado W. (Lower-Body Injury) Reyes A. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Monlouis Z. (Lower-Body Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in San Diego: Godoy A. (Lower-Body Injury) dos Santos C. J. (Face Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Osorio J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • We predict that San Diego will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of San Diego
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 31176856:381857
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 30168657:322556
    3Minnesota United ✔ 31159751:361554
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 30158760:372353
    5Seattle Sounders30129952:45745
    6Austin FC301281033:37-444
    7Portland Timbers3111101039:41-243
    8Colorado Rapids311161441:52-1139
    9FC Dallas309101145:49-437
    10Houston Dynamo32991441:52-1136
    11San Jose Earthquakes31981456:58-235
    12Real Salt Lake301041632:45-1334
    13St. Louis City32771839:55-1628
    14Sporting Kansas City31761845:63-1827
    15Los Angeles Galaxy30491737:61-2421


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 32196756:332363
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3New York City ✔ 321751049:41856
    4Inter Miami ✔ 30168665:471856
    5Charlotte ✔ 321721352:46653
    6Nashville SC321651155:391653
    7Orlando City30149758:431551
    8Columbus Crew321311851:49250
    9Chicago Fire311461159:53648
    10New York Red Bulls321271347:43443
    11New England Revolution32981541:45-435
    12Toronto FC315131331:38-728
    13CF Montreal32691733:56-2327
    14Atlanta Utd315121437:57-2027
    15DC United325101729:64-3525

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)