Result
0:1
16/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Pennington A. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | TSN 4, TSN 5 |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (647/719) | 79% (242/305) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.01 | 1.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (647/719) | 79% (242/305) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (13/30) | 35% (18/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (112/166) | 52% (31/60) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/18) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.15 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', Negri F. 🟨,
- 20', 0 - 1, Corbeanu T. (Pen),
- 31', Petretta R. ↓, Spicer T. ↑,
- 40', de la Torre L. 🟨,
- 45', Valakari O. 🟨,
- 45+3', Corbeanu T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Angel T. ↓, Lozano H. ↑,
- 60', Mighten A. ↓, Boateng E. ↑,
- 60', Negri F. ↓, Bombino L. ↑,
- 65', Bombino L. 🟨,
- 70', Corbeanu T. ↓, Etienne D. ↑,
- 70', Brynhildsen O. ↓, Kerr D. ↑,
- 75', Longstaff M. ↓, Osorio J. ↑,
- 79', Verhoeven O. ↓, Duah M. ↑,
- 90', Pilcher I. 🟨,
- 90+2', Boateng E. 🟨,
- 90+4', Coello A. 🟨,
- 90+5', Long K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
San Diego
66.2% | Draw
19.5% | Toronto FC
14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Diego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Toronto FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Diego, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
San Diego - Toronto FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↑
(1.35) |
4.88 ↓
(5.26) |
6.66 ↓
(8.49) |
5.6%
(5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for San Diego - Toronto FC?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego: 65% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. San Diego (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
- San Diego is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Toronto's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, San Diego has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
- In this match, San Diego is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A.
(Knee Injury)
Ingvartsen M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Kumado W.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Reyes A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There will not play in Toronto: Gomis N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Monlouis Z.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Wingo H.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There are questionable in San Diego: Godoy A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
dos Santos C. J.
(Face Injury)
- There are questionable in Toronto: Osorio J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- We predict that San Diego will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has San Diego won against Toronto FC?
San Diego has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto FC won against San Diego?
Toronto FC has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Diego - Toronto FC were as follows:
Latest results of San Diego
Latest results of Toronto FC
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 54:34 | 20 | 56 |
| 2 | Minnesota United | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 48:32 | 16 | 51 |
| 3 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 47:31 | 16 | 49 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 48:38 | 10 | 44 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45:33 | 12 | 41 |
| 6 | Portland Timbers | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 36:38 | -2 | 39 |
| 7 | Austin FC | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29:33 | -4 | 38 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 38:48 | -10 | 36 |
| 9 | San Jose Earthquakes | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 53:51 | 2 | 35 |
| 10 | Houston Dynamo | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 32 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 28:36 | -8 | 31 |
| 12 | FC Dallas | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 39:47 | -8 | 30 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 43:57 | -14 | 27 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 33:50 | -17 | 21 |
| 15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 32:55 | -23 | 19 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 49:26 | 23 | 57 |
| 2 | FC Cincinnati | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 42:36 | 6 | 52 |
| 3 | Charlotte | 29 | 16 | 2 | 11 | 48:40 | 8 | 50 |
| 4 | Nashville SC | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 49:33 | 16 | 50 |
| 5 | Orlando City | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 54:40 | 14 | 47 |
| 6 | Inter Miami | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 54:40 | 14 | 46 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:39 | 4 | 46 |
| 8 | New York City | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 38:32 | 6 | 44 |
| 9 | New York Red Bulls | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 42:38 | 4 | 40 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50:48 | 2 | 39 |
| 11 | New England Revolution | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 36:40 | -4 | 31 |
| 12 | Atlanta Utd | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 32:49 | -17 | 26 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 28:35 | -7 | 25 |
| 14 | CF Montreal | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 29:51 | -22 | 24 |
| 15 | DC United | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 26:54 | -28 | 24 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
