Result
0:1
16/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Pennington A. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | TSN 4, TSN 5 |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (647/719) | 79% (242/305) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.01 | 1.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (647/719) | 79% (242/305) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (13/30) | 35% (18/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (112/166) | 52% (31/60) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/18) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.15 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', Negri F. 🟨,
- 20', 0 - 1, Corbeanu T. (Pen),
- 31', Petretta R. ↓, Spicer T. ↑,
- 40', de la Torre L. 🟨,
- 45', Valakari O. 🟨,
- 45+3', Corbeanu T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Angel T. ↓, Lozano H. ↑,
- 60', Mighten A. ↓, Boateng E. ↑,
- 60', Negri F. ↓, Bombino L. ↑,
- 65', Bombino L. 🟨,
- 70', Corbeanu T. ↓, Etienne D. ↑,
- 70', Brynhildsen O. ↓, Kerr D. ↑,
- 75', Longstaff M. ↓, Osorio J. ↑,
- 79', Verhoeven O. ↓, Duah M. ↑,
- 90', Pilcher I. 🟨,
- 90+2', Boateng E. 🟨,
- 90+4', Coello A. 🟨,
- 90+5', Long K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
San Diego
66.2% | Draw
19.5% | Toronto FC
14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Diego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Toronto FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Diego, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
San Diego - Toronto FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↑
(1.35) |
4.88 ↓
(5.26) |
6.66 ↓
(8.49) |
5.6%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for San Diego - Toronto FC?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego: 65% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.25 - San Diego (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - San Diego (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): San Diego will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. San Diego (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
- San Diego is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Toronto's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, San Diego has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
- In this match, San Diego is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A.
(Knee Injury)
Ingvartsen M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Kumado W.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Reyes A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There will not play in Toronto: Gomis N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Monlouis Z.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Wingo H.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There are questionable in San Diego: Godoy A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
dos Santos C. J.
(Face Injury)
- There are questionable in Toronto: Osorio J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- We predict that San Diego will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has San Diego won against Toronto FC?
San Diego has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto FC won against San Diego?
Toronto FC has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Diego - Toronto FC were as follows:
Latest results of San Diego
Latest results of Toronto FC
MLS Table
2026Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Dallas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Portland Timbers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Houston Dynamo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Minnesota United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Austin FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | St. Louis City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Real Salt Lake | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | FC Cincinnati | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | DC United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | New York City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Charlotte | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Toronto FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | Orlando City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Atlanta Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 13 | New England Revolution | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 14 | Inter Miami | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
