Result
1:2
23/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Boiko S. (Ukr)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (405/464) | 85% (344/406) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (405/464) | 85% (344/406) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (25/52) | 46% (26/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (107/140) | 56% (38/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 34% (11/32) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 44% (8/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.77 | -0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', Ortiz P. ↓, Bartlow E. ↑,
- 21', McGlynn J. 🟨,
- 28', 0 - 1, Arango C. ⚽, Jones D. (A), Munie D. (A2)
- 30', Kaye M. 🟨,
- 35', Ponce E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Kaye M. ↓, Vieira R. ↑,
- 55', Espinoza C. 🟨,
- 58', Kowalczyk S. ↓, Ennali L. ↑,
- 58', Junior Urso ↓, Holmes D. ↑,
- 64', 0 - 2, Harkes I. ⚽, Munie D. (A), Espinoza C. (A2)
- 65', Judd P. ↓, Bouda O. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 2, Antonio Carlos ⚽, McGlynn J. (A),
- 79', Arango C. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 79', Espinoza C. ↓, Buck N. ↑,
- 82', Lingr O. ↓, Bassi A. ↑,
- 82', Dorsey G. ↓, Olusanya T. ↑,
- 85', Ricketts J. ↓, Wilson Valdez B. R. ↑,
- 90+3', Roberts R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Houston Dynamo
46.2% | Draw
24.6% | San Jose Earthquakes
29.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Houston Dynamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)San Jose Earthquakes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Houston Dynamo - San Jose Earthquakes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↓
(2.15) |
3.82 ↓
(3.9) |
3.24 ↑
(2.88) |
5.8%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo - San Jose Earthquakes?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). San Jose will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Houston: 35.9% – 97.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Houston Dynamo will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 3.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Houston could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Houston: Quinones N.
(Knee Injury)
Raines B.
(Red Card)
Tarbell A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in San Jose: Kikanovic B.
(Upper-Body Injury)
- There are questionable in Houston: Escobar F.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Segal G.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Sviatchenko E.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Houston won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:27. (average 1.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:11. (average 2.5:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Houston Dynamo won against San Jose Earthquakes?
Houston Dynamo has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Jose Earthquakes won against Houston Dynamo?
San Jose Earthquakes has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Houston Dynamo - San Jose Earthquakes were as follows:
24.05.2025
San Jose Earthquakes
-
Houston Dynamo
3:3
17.07.2024
San Jose Earthquakes
-
Houston Dynamo
0:1
30.03.2024
Houston Dynamo
-
San Jose Earthquakes
2:1
21.06.2023
Houston Dynamo
-
San Jose Earthquakes
4:1
01.04.2023
San Jose Earthquakes
-
Houston Dynamo
2:1
Latest results of Houston Dynamo
Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14:1 | 13 | 12 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 8 | 12 |
| 3 | San Diego FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 10 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | FC Dallas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Austin FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Sporting Kansas City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 | Minnesota United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
| 14 | Portland Timbers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 | St. Louis City | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | New York City | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 10 |
| 2 | Nashville SC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | New York Red Bulls | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 5 | DC United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Charlotte | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Chicago Fire | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Toronto FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 9 | New England Revolution | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Atlanta Utd | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
| 11 | FC Cincinnati | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 12 | CF Montreal | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 |
| 13 | Orlando City | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 3 |
| 14 | Columbus Crew | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
