Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
23/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Boiko S. (Ukr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.410.65
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
86
Passes
87% (405/464)85% (344/406)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.410.65
xG on target (xGOT)
0.481.23
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
21
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
86
Touches in opposition box
2514
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
612
Passes
87% (405/464)85% (344/406)
Long passes
48% (25/52)46% (26/57)
Passes in final third
76% (107/140)56% (38/68)
Crosses
34% (11/32)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.050.45
Throw-ins
2218
Fouls
128
Tackles
73% (8/11)44% (8/18)
Duels won
3339
Clearances
1132
Interceptions
93
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.230.48
Goals prevented
-0.77-0.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 13', Ortiz P. , Bartlow E. ,
  • 21', McGlynn J. 🟨,
  • 28', 0 - 1, Arango C. , Jones D. (A), Munie D. (A2)
  • 30', Kaye M. 🟨,
  • 35', Ponce E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Kaye M. , Vieira R. ,
  • 55', Espinoza C. 🟨,
  • 58', Kowalczyk S. , Ennali L. ,
  • 58', Junior Urso , Holmes D. ,
  • 64', 0 - 2, Harkes I. , Munie D. (A), Espinoza C. (A2)
  • 65', Judd P. , Bouda O. ,
  • 72', 1 - 2, Antonio Carlos , McGlynn J. (A),
  • 79', Arango C. , Martinez J. ,
  • 79', Espinoza C. , Buck N. ,
  • 82', Lingr O. , Bassi A. ,
  • 82', Dorsey G. , Olusanya T. ,
  • 85', Ricketts J. , Wilson Valdez B. R. ,
  • 90+3', Roberts R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Houston Dynamo
46.2%
Draw
24.6%
San Jose Earthquakes
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.5% 24% 32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 23.7% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Houston Dynamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • San Jose Earthquakes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Houston Dynamo - San Jose Earthquakes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.15)
    3.82
    (3.9)
    3.24
    (2.88)
    5.8%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo - San Jose Earthquakes?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). San Jose will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Houston: 35.9%97.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Houston Dynamo will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 3.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • Houston could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Houston: Quinones N. (Knee Injury) Raines B. (Red Card) Tarbell A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in San Jose: Kikanovic B. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Houston: Escobar F. (Lower-Body Injury) Segal G. (Lower-Body Injury) Sviatchenko E. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Houston won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:27. (average 1.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:11. (average 2.5:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Houston Dynamo - San Jose Earthquakes were as follows:
    24.05.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - Houston Dynamo 3:3
    17.07.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - Houston Dynamo 0:1
    30.03.2024 Houston Dynamo - San Jose Earthquakes 2:1
    21.06.2023 Houston Dynamo - San Jose Earthquakes 4:1
    01.04.2023 San Jose Earthquakes - Houston Dynamo 2:1
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo
    Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Los Angeles FC651014:01416
    2Vancouver Whitecaps650117:41315
    3San Jose Earthquakes650110:1915
    4Real Salt Lake641112:8413
    5Seattle Sounders64116:2413
    6FC Dallas632114:9511
    7San Diego FC632113:8511
    8Colorado Rapids630313:1039
    9Minnesota United62226:12-68
    10Houston Dynamo52038:10-26
    11Austin FC61327:9-26
    12Los Angeles Galaxy61238:10-25
    13St. Louis City61235:8-35
    14Portland Timbers61149:15-64
    15Sporting Kansas City61146:14-84


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC641113:31013
    2New York City632114:7711
    3Charlotte632112:7511
    4Inter Miami632111:10111
    5Chicago Fire63128:5310
    6Toronto FC63129:10-110
    7New York Red Bulls63129:13-410
    8DC United62134:8-47
    9New England Revolution520311:926
    10FC Cincinnati62049:15-66
    11Columbus Crew61238:9-15
    12Atlanta Utd61146:11-54
    13CF Montreal61057:17-103
    14Orlando City61055:23-183
    15Philadelphia Union60064:11-70

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)