San Jose Earthquakes vs Inter Miami – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS San Jose Earthquakes - Inter Miami
Result
3:3
14/05/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Dickerson J. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.292.27
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
16
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
82% (319/388)84% (511/611)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.292.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.632.44
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
16
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2415
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
54
Free Kicks
813
Passes
82% (319/388)84% (511/611)
Long passes
56% (22/39)49% (36/73)
Passes in final third
73% (78/107)72% (116/161)
Crosses
18% (5/28)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.961.80
Throw-ins
1722
Fouls
138
Tackles
48% (10/21)60% (15/25)
Duels won
4857
Clearances
2327
Interceptions
176
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
2.441.63
Goals prevented
-0.56-1.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 2)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Falcon M. , Alba J. (A),
  • 3', 1 - 1, Arango C. , Espinoza C. (A),
  • 31', Arango C. , Pellegrino A. ,
  • 37', 2 - 1, Leroux B. ,
  • 44', 2 - 2, Allende T. , Alba J. (A),
  • 45+4', 3 - 2, Harkes I. , Leroux B. (A), Pellegrino A. (A2)
  • 45+7', Vitor Costa 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Cremaschi B. , Rodriguez B. ,
  • 52', 3 - 3, Allende T. , Rodriguez B. (A), Messi L. (A2)
  • 63', Rodriguez B. , Obando A. ,
  • 66', Bouda O. 🟨,
  • 69', Rodrigues , Floriani M. ,
  • 70', Bouda O. , Martinez J. ,
  • 70', Weigandt M. , Lujan G. ,
  • 74', Romney D. 🟨,
  • 74', Allen N. 🟨,
  • 79', Harkes I. , Kaye M. ,
  • 79', Pellegrino A. , Lopez H. ,
  • 81', Bright Y. , Redondo Solari F. ,
  • 81', Segovia T. , Martinez D. ,

Chances of winning


San Jose Earthquakes
37.5%
Draw
24.8%
Inter Miami
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.2% 25.6% 40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8% 25.3% 40.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • San Jose Earthquakes - Inter Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.55
    (2.77)
    3.86
    (3.7)
    2.54
    (2.35)
    4.5%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes - Inter Miami?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Inter Miami will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Jose: 41.5%84.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): San Jose Earthquakes will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Recent performances by San Jose have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Inter Miami's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • San Jose may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in San Jose: Wilson Valdez B. R. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Callender D. (Groin Injury) Ruiz D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Inter Miami: Rodriguez B. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Jose won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    • Including home match between the teams, San Jose won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 32176956:391757
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 31169659:342557
    3Minnesota United ✔ 321510752:371555
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 30158760:372353
    5Seattle Sounders311210954:47746
    6Austin FC311281134:40-644
    7Portland Timbers3211111041:43-244
    8Colorado Rapids321171442:53-1140
    9San Jose Earthquakes321081457:58-138
    10FC Dallas319111147:51-438
    11Real Salt Lake311141635:46-1137
    12Houston Dynamo32991441:52-1136
    13St. Louis City32771839:55-1628
    14Sporting Kansas City32761946:67-2127
    15Los Angeles Galaxy31591741:62-2124


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 32196756:332363
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3New York City ✔ 321751049:41856
    4Inter Miami ✔ 30168665:471856
    5Charlotte ✔ 321721352:46653
    6Nashville SC321651155:391653
    7Orlando City30149758:431551
    8Columbus Crew321311851:49250
    9Chicago Fire311461159:53648
    10New York Red Bulls321271347:43443
    11New England Revolution32981541:45-435
    12Toronto FC315131331:38-728
    13CF Montreal32691733:56-2327
    14Atlanta Utd315121437:57-2027
    15DC United325101729:64-3525

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)