San Jose Earthquakes vs Inter Miami – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
14/05/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Dickerson J. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.292.27
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
16
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
82% (319/388)84% (511/611)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.292.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.632.44
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
16
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2415
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
54
Free Kicks
813
Passes
82% (319/388)84% (511/611)
Long passes
56% (22/39)49% (36/73)
Passes in final third
73% (78/107)72% (116/161)
Crosses
18% (5/28)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.961.80
Throw-ins
1722
Fouls
138
Tackles
48% (10/21)60% (15/25)
Duels won
4857
Clearances
2327
Interceptions
176
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
2.441.63
Goals prevented
-0.56-1.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 2)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Falcon M. , Alba J. (A),
  • 3', 1 - 1, Arango C. , Espinoza C. (A),
  • 31', Arango C. , Pellegrino A. ,
  • 37', 2 - 1, Leroux B. ,
  • 44', 2 - 2, Allende T. , Alba J. (A),
  • 45+4', 3 - 2, Harkes I. , Leroux B. (A), Pellegrino A. (A2)
  • 45+7', Vitor Costa 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Cremaschi B. , Rodriguez B. ,
  • 52', 3 - 3, Allende T. , Rodriguez B. (A), Messi L. (A2)
  • 63', Rodriguez B. , Obando A. ,
  • 66', Bouda O. 🟨,
  • 69', Rodrigues , Floriani M. ,
  • 70', Bouda O. , Martinez J. ,
  • 70', Weigandt M. , Lujan G. ,
  • 74', Romney D. 🟨,
  • 74', Allen N. 🟨,
  • 79', Harkes I. , Kaye M. ,
  • 79', Pellegrino A. , Lopez H. ,
  • 81', Bright Y. , Redondo Solari F. ,
  • 81', Segovia T. , Martinez D. ,

Chances of winning


San Jose Earthquakes
37.5%
Draw
24.8%
Inter Miami
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.2% 25.6% 40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8% 25.3% 40.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • San Jose Earthquakes - Inter Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.55
    (2.77)
    3.86
    (3.7)
    2.54
    (2.35)
    4.5%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes - Inter Miami?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Inter Miami will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Jose: 41.5%84.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - San Jose (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - San Jose (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): San Jose Earthquakes will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. San Jose (votes: 10 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Recent performances by San Jose have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Inter Miami's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • San Jose may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in San Jose: Wilson Valdez B. R. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Callender D. (Groin Injury) Ruiz D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Inter Miami: Rodriguez B. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Jose won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    • Including home match between the teams, San Jose won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC11005:053
    2San Jose Earthquakes11003:033
    3Los Angeles FC11003:033
    4Seattle Sounders11002:023
    5FC Dallas11003:213
    6Portland Timbers11003:213
    7Houston Dynamo11002:113
    8Vancouver Whitecaps11001:013
    9Minnesota United10102:201
    10Austin FC10102:201
    11Los Angeles Galaxy10101:101
    12St. Louis City10101:101
    13Real Salt Lake10010:1-10
    14Colorado Rapids10010:2-20
    15Sporting Kansas City10010:3-30


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC11004:133
    2FC Cincinnati11002:023
    3New York Red Bulls11002:113
    4DC United11001:013
    5New York City10101:101
    6Charlotte10101:101
    7Toronto FC10012:3-10
    8Columbus Crew10012:3-10
    9Chicago Fire10011:2-10
    10Orlando City10011:2-10
    11Philadelphia Union10010:1-10
    12Atlanta Utd10010:2-20
    13New England Revolution10011:4-30
    14Inter Miami10010:3-30
    15CF Montreal10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)