Los Angeles vs San Jose Earthquakes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/04/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

BMO Stadium (Los Angeles, CA).

MLS
Referee: Fischer D. (Can)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.48	1.75
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
12	15
Shots on target
4	3
Big Chances
3	3
Corner Kicks
4	6
Passes
74% (316/429)	75% (320/427)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48	1.75
xG on target (xGOT)
1.81	1.34
Total shots
12	15
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
4	7
Blocked Shots
4	5
Shots inside the Box
5	9
Shots outside the Box
7	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	3
Corner Kicks
4	6
Touches in opposition box
26	30
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
12	12
Passes
74% (316/429)	75% (320/427)
Long passes
44% (31/70)	32% (15/47)
Passes in final third
67% (88/131)	62% (77/125)
Crosses
7% (1/14)	15% (4/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.68	1.81
Fouls
12	12
Tackles
69% (9/13)	58% (14/24)
Duels won
54	65
Clearances Total
39	23
Interceptions
18	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
1.34	1.81
Goals prevented
0.34	-0.19

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Daniel ↓, Edwards E. ↑,
42', Wilson Valdez B. R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
65', 1 - 0, Palencia S. ⚽, Bouanga D. (A),
67', Chanot M. ↓, Marlon ↑,
67', Ordaz N. ↓, Under C. ↑,
68', Harkes I. ↓, Kaye M. ↑,
68', Tsakiris N. ↓, Pellegrino A. ↑,
75', Leroux B. ↓, Bouda O. ↑,
75', Rodrigues ↓, Munie D. ↑,
83', Delgado M. ↓, Tillman T. ↑,
86', 2 - 0, Bouanga D. ⚽, Giroud O. (A),
89', Giroud O. ↓, Wibowo A. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 1, Espinoza C. ⚽, Martinez J. (A),
90+6', Vitor Costa ↓, Judd P. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Los Angeles
56.8%

Draw
22.6%

San Jose Earthquakes
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

20.9%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

20.3%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Angeles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Los Angeles's form might have worsened.

San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Los Angeles - San Jose Earthquakes Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.52)	4.21 ↓ (4.57)	4.65 ↓ (5.86)	4.9% (4.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Los Angeles - San Jose Earthquakes?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Los Angeles will win (votes: 6 - 60%). San Jose will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Los Angeles: 29.6% – 90.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Los Angeles (votes: 1 - 33.3%). San Jose (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Los Angeles won 3.
Recent matches Los Angeles is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
San Jose is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
San Jose could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Los Angeles have a series of guest games.
Recently San Jose have a series of home games.
In this match Los Angeles is a favorite.
There will not play in Los Angeles: Dellavalle L. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in San Jose: Fernandez N. (Inactive) Kikanovic B. (Lower-Body Injury) Lopez H. (Shoulder Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Los Angeles won 12 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 52:30 (average 2.6:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Los Angeles won 10 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 37:13 (average 3.1:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Los Angeles won against San Jose Earthquakes?

Los Angeles has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has San Jose Earthquakes won against Los Angeles?

San Jose Earthquakes has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Los Angeles - San Jose Earthquakes were as follows:

19.10.2024 Los Angeles - San Jose Earthquakes 3:1

13.08.2024 Los Angeles - San Jose Earthquakes 4:1

22.06.2024 Los Angeles - San Jose Earthquakes 6:2

04.05.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles 3:1

08.07.2023 Los Angeles - San Jose Earthquakes 1:1

Latest results of Los Angeles

09.04.2025 Inter Miami - Los Angeles 3:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Houston Dynamo - Los Angeles 1:0 ✺

02.04.2025 Los Angeles - Inter Miami 1:0 ✺

29.03.2025 San Diego - Los Angeles 3:2 ✺

22.03.2025 Sporting Kansas City - Los Angeles 0:2 ✺

Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes

06.04.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - DC United 6:1 ✺

29.03.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - Seattle Sounders 1:1 ✺

22.03.2025 Charlotte - San Jose Earthquakes 4:1 ✺

15.03.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - Colorado Rapids 1:2 ✺

08.03.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - Minnesota United 0:1 ✺

MLS Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	San Diego FC	27	16	4	7	52:33	19	52
2	Minnesota United	27	13	8	6	44:30	14	47
3	Vancouver Whitecaps	26	13	7	6	44:29	15	46
4	Seattle Sounders	26	11	8	7	43:36	7	41
5	Los Angeles FC	24	11	7	6	43:30	13	40
6	Portland Timbers	26	10	7	9	35:37	-2	37
7	Colorado Rapids	27	10	6	11	36:41	-5	36
8	Austin FC	25	9	8	8	24:29	-5	35
9	San Jose Earthquakes	27	8	8	11	50:47	3	32
10	Real Salt Lake	26	9	4	13	27:33	-6	31
11	FC Dallas	26	7	8	11	38:46	-8	29
12	Houston Dynamo	26	7	8	11	33:42	-9	29
13	Sporting Kansas City	26	6	6	14	37:50	-13	24
14	St. Louis City	26	5	6	15	29:44	-15	21
15	Los Angeles Galaxy	26	3	7	16	29:55	-26	16

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Cincinnati	27	16	4	7	42:34	8	52
2	Philadelphia Union	27	15	6	6	44:26	18	51
3	Nashville SC	27	14	5	8	44:31	13	47
4	Orlando City	27	13	8	6	53:35	18	47
5	Inter Miami	24	13	6	5	53:39	14	45
6	Columbus Crew	26	12	9	5	42:37	5	45
7	Charlotte	27	14	2	11	45:39	6	44
8	New York City	25	12	5	8	36:30	6	41
9	Chicago Fire	26	11	6	9	50:44	6	39
10	New York Red Bulls	27	11	6	10	42:37	5	39
11	New England Revolution	26	7	7	12	33:37	-4	28
12	Toronto FC	26	5	8	13	27:34	-7	23
13	Atlanta Utd	26	4	10	12	31:49	-18	22
14	CF Montreal	27	4	8	15	25:48	-23	20
15	DC United	27	4	8	15	23:52	-29	20

Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)