Los Angeles vs San Jose Earthquakes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Los Angeles - San Jose Earthquakes
Result
2:1
12/04/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Fischer D. (Can)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.481.75
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
74% (316/429)75% (320/427)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.481.75
xG on target (xGOT)
1.811.34
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
2630
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
74% (316/429)75% (320/427)
Long passes
44% (31/70)32% (15/47)
Passes in final third
67% (88/131)62% (77/125)
Crosses
7% (1/14)15% (4/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.681.81
Fouls
1212
Tackles
69% (9/13)58% (14/24)
Duels won
5465
Clearances Total
3923
Interceptions
1812
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.341.81
Goals prevented
0.34-0.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Daniel , Edwards E. ,
  • 42', Wilson Valdez B. R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 65', 1 - 0, Palencia S. , Bouanga D. (A),
  • 67', Chanot M. , Marlon ,
  • 67', Ordaz N. , Under C. ,
  • 68', Harkes I. , Kaye M. ,
  • 68', Tsakiris N. , Pellegrino A. ,
  • 75', Leroux B. , Bouda O. ,
  • 75', Rodrigues , Munie D. ,
  • 83', Delgado M. , Tillman T. ,
  • 86', 2 - 0, Bouanga D. , Giroud O. (A),
  • 89', Giroud O. , Wibowo A. ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, Espinoza C. , Martinez J. (A),
  • 90+6', Vitor Costa , Judd P. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Los Angeles
56.8%
Draw
22.6%
San Jose Earthquakes
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.8% 20.9% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 20.3% 16.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Los Angeles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Los Angeles's form might have worsened.
  • San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • Los Angeles - San Jose Earthquakes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.52)
    4.21
    (4.57)
    4.65
    (5.86)
    4.9%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Los Angeles - San Jose Earthquakes?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Los Angeles will win (votes: 6 - 60%). San Jose will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Los Angeles: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Los Angeles (votes: 1 - 33.3%). San Jose (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Los Angeles won 3.
    • Recent matches Los Angeles is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • San Jose is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • San Jose could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Los Angeles have a series of guest games.
    • Recently San Jose have a series of home games.
    • In this match Los Angeles is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Los Angeles: Dellavalle L. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in San Jose: Fernandez N. (Inactive) Kikanovic B. (Lower-Body Injury) Lopez H. (Shoulder Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Los Angeles won 12 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 52:30 (average 2.6:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Los Angeles won 10 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 37:13 (average 3.1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Los Angeles - San Jose Earthquakes were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Los Angeles - San Jose Earthquakes 3:1
    13.08.2024 Los Angeles - San Jose Earthquakes 4:1
    22.06.2024 Los Angeles - San Jose Earthquakes 6:2
    04.05.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles 3:1
    08.07.2023 Los Angeles - San Jose Earthquakes 1:1
    Latest results of Los Angeles
    Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC25144748:321646
    2Vancouver Whitecaps24136542:261645
    3Minnesota United25128542:281444
    4Seattle Sounders24108639:35438
    5Portland Timbers24107733:32137
    6Los Angeles FC22106639:281136
    7Austin FC2396821:26-533
    8Real Salt Lake24941126:30-431
    9Colorado Rapids25861131:39-830
    10San Jose Earthquakes25781047:44329
    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
    12FC Dallas24671135:45-1025
    13Sporting Kansas City24661236:45-924
    14St. Louis City24461424:40-1618
    15Los Angeles Galaxy24371428:48-2016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union25155543:241950
    2FC Cincinnati25154639:31849
    3Nashville SC25145642:261647
    4Columbus Crew25128541:36544
    5Inter Miami22126449:341542
    6Orlando City25118646:331341
    7Charlotte251221143:39438
    8New York City24115834:29538
    9Chicago Fire24105945:40535
    10New York Red Bulls25961039:36333
    11New England Revolution24671131:35-425
    12Toronto FC24561325:32-721
    13Atlanta Utd24491129:45-1621
    14DC United25471422:49-2719
    15CF Montreal25461523:46-2318

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