Tampa Bay Lightning vs San Jose Sharks – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
20/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
icelandIcelandViaplay
italyItalyDAZN Italia
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2023
Shots off target
234
Shooting PCT
20% (4/20)4.35% (1/23)
Blocked shots
1815
Goalkeeper Saves
2216
Saves PCT
95.65% (22/23)84.21% (16/19)
Penalties
11
PIM
22
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/1)0% (0/1)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (1/1)100% (1/1)
Hits
1329
Faceoffs Won
2228
Faceoffs %
4456
Giveaways
1813
Takeaways
17
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 14:37, 0 - 1, Toffoli T. (G), Eklund W. (A), Wennberg A. (A2)
  • 15:10, 1 - 1, Hagel B. (G), Cirelli A. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (2 - 0)
  • 01:49, 2 - 1, Cirelli A. (G), Hagel B. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
  • 03:17, 3 - 1, Guentzel J. (G), James D. (A), Goncalves G. (A2)
  • 06:51, Reaves R. (2 min),
  • 12:57, (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 17:41, 4 - 1, Hagel B. (G), Guentzel J. (A), Moser J.J. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tampa Bay Lightning
61.4%
Draw
18.9%
San Jose Sharks
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.2% 20.7% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7% 21.3% 24.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tampa Bay Lightning's performance.
  • San Jose Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tampa Bay Lightning that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Sharks than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Jose Sharks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tampa Bay Lightning - San Jose Sharks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.71)
    5.05
    (4.56)
    4.79
    (3.92)
    5%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.25
    What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning - San Jose Sharks?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5, OT - San Jose (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Tampa Bay Lightning will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 50%). San Jose (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 4.
    • Tampa Bay is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, San Jose has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Tampa Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Tampa Bay is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Tampa Bay: Hedman V. (Elbow Injury) Lilleberg E. (Injury) McDonagh R. (Injury) Point B. (Lower-Body Injury) Sabourin S. (Head Injury)
    • There will not play in San Jose: Couture L. (Groin Injury) Dellandrea T. (Lower-Body Injury) Kurashev P. (Upper-Body Injury) Mukhamadullin S. (Upper-Body Injury) Price C. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 84:43. (average 4.2:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 41:20. (average 4.6:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Lightning - San Jose Sharks were as follows:
    03.01.2026 San Jose Sharks - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:7
    02.01.2025 San Jose Sharks - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:1
    05.12.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - San Jose Sharks 8:1
    21.03.2024 San Jose Sharks - Tampa Bay Lightning 1:4
    26.10.2023 Tampa Bay Lightning - San Jose Sharks 6:0
    Latest results of San Jose Sharks
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche ✔ 774561016290:197112
    2Dallas Stars ✔ 7835111220262:214104
    3Minnesota Wild ✔ 7830151221261:225102
    4Utah Mammoth773110630254:22388
    5Edmonton Oilers783091029270:26388
    6Vegas Golden Knights782881626249:24188
    7Anaheim Ducks782417532257:27687
    8Nashville Predators7827101031238:25684
    9Los Angeles Kings7719131926211:23683
    10San Jose Sharks762512732234:26981
    11Winnipeg Jets772771231221:23480
    12St. Louis Blues772941232206:24178
    13Seattle Kraken772571134214:24875
    14Calgary Flames77257936202:24773
    15Chicago Blackhawks782171436202:25670
    16Vancouver Canucks77157847202:29752


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes ✔ 783614622281:233106
    2Tampa Bay Lightning ✔ 78399624281:221102
    3Buffalo Sabres ✔ 78398823270:233102
    4Montreal Canadiens ✔ 7832141022273:245102
    5Pittsburgh Penguins783371622280:25096
    6Boston Bruins7931121026264:24696
    7Ottawa Senators783561027264:24092
    8Philadelphia Flyers7825151226233:23292
    9Columbus Blue Jackets7827121227245:24190
    10New York Islanders782814531226:22989
    11Detroit Red Wings782911929228:23889
    12Washington Capitals78336930248:24087
    13New Jersey Devils782812335219:23983
    14Toronto Maple Leafs772391431242:27578
    15Florida Panthers78298437233:26678
    16New York Rangers78249936229:23875

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Colorado Avalanche is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Dallas Stars is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Minnesota Wild is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Carolina Hurricanes is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Tampa Bay Lightning is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Buffalo Sabres is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Montreal Canadiens is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )