Tampa Bay Lightning vs San Jose Sharks – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey NHL
Result
4:1
20/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
icelandIcelandViaplay
italyItalyDAZN Italia
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2023
Shots off target
234
Shooting PCT
20% (4/20)4.35% (1/23)
Blocked shots
1815
Goalkeeper Saves
2216
Saves PCT
95.65% (22/23)84.21% (16/19)
Penalties
11
PIM
22
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/1)0% (0/1)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (1/1)100% (1/1)
Hits
1329
Faceoffs Won
2228
Faceoffs %
4456
Giveaways
1813
Takeaways
17
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 14:37, 0 - 1, Toffoli T. (G), Eklund W. (A), Wennberg A. (A2)
  • 15:10, 1 - 1, Hagel B. (G), Cirelli A. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (2 - 0)
  • 01:49, 2 - 1, Cirelli A. (G), Hagel B. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
  • 03:17, 3 - 1, Guentzel J. (G), James D. (A), Goncalves G. (A2)
  • 06:51, Reaves R. (2 min),
  • 12:57, (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 17:41, 4 - 1, Hagel B. (G), Guentzel J. (A), Moser J.J. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tampa Bay Lightning
61.4%		Draw
18.9%		San Jose Sharks
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.2% 20.7% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7% 21.3% 24.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tampa Bay Lightning's performance.
  • San Jose Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tampa Bay Lightning that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Sharks than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Jose Sharks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Tampa Bay Lightning - San Jose Sharks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.55 ↓
    (1.71)    		 5.05 ↑
    (4.56)    		 4.79 ↑
    (3.92)    		 5%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.25
    What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning - San Jose Sharks?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5, OT - San Jose (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Tampa Bay Lightning will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 50%). San Jose (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 4.
    • Tampa Bay is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, San Jose has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Tampa Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Tampa Bay is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Tampa Bay: Hedman V. (Elbow Injury) Lilleberg E. (Injury) McDonagh R. (Injury) Point B. (Lower-Body Injury) Sabourin S. (Head Injury)
    • There will not play in San Jose: Couture L. (Groin Injury) Dellandrea T. (Lower-Body Injury) Kurashev P. (Upper-Body Injury) Mukhamadullin S. (Upper-Body Injury) Price C. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 84:43. (average 4.2:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 41:20. (average 4.6:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Lightning - San Jose Sharks were as follows:
    03.01.2026 San Jose Sharks - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:7
    02.01.2025 San Jose Sharks - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:1
    05.12.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - San Jose Sharks 8:1
    21.03.2024 San Jose Sharks - Tampa Bay Lightning 1:4
    26.10.2023 Tampa Bay Lightning - San Jose Sharks 6:0
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Lightning
    18.01.2026 Dallas Stars - Tampa Bay Lightning 1:4 ✺
    16.01.2026 St. Louis Blues - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:2 ✺
    13.01.2026 Pittsburgh Penguins - Tampa Bay Lightning 1:2 ✺
    12.01.2026 Philadelphia Flyers - Tampa Bay Lightning 1:5 ✺
    10.01.2026 Philadelphia Flyers - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:7 ✺
    Latest results of San Jose Sharks
    19.01.2026 Florida Panthers - San Jose Sharks 1:4 ✺
    16.01.2026 Detroit Red Wings - San Jose Sharks 4:2 ✺
    15.01.2026 Washington Capitals - San Jose Sharks 2:3 ✺
    11.01.2026 San Jose Sharks - Vegas Golden Knights 2:7 ✺
    10.01.2026 San Jose Sharks - Dallas Stars 5:4 ✺
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche66395913249:17097
    2Dallas Stars673391015235:18494
    3Minnesota Wild6925141218230:19990
    4Anaheim Ducks672215327223:23377
    5Edmonton Oilers69268926243:23577
    6Utah Mammoth68278627214:19176
    7Vegas Golden Knights682381423220:21176
    8Seattle Kraken67256927193:20571
    9Los Angeles Kings6718101524180:20171
    10San Jose Sharks662012628207:23470
    11Nashville Predators67228928199:22869
    12Winnipeg Jets672351128191:20667
    13St. Louis Blues672431030177:22264
    14Chicago Blackhawks671871230178:21762
    15Calgary Flames67224734167:21259
    16Vancouver Canucks67147838176:24850


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes673111619235:19790
    2Buffalo Sabres68357620237:20090
    3Tampa Bay Lightning66329421237:18486
    4Montreal Canadiens6725121020236:22284
    5Pittsburgh Penguins672951518230:20483
    6New York Islanders682514524200:19283
    7Detroit Red Wings682611823200:20382
    8Boston Bruins682710823224:21482
    9Columbus Blue Jackets6724111121217:20981
    10Ottawa Senators66286923225:20577
    11Philadelphia Flyers6620111223191:20574
    12Washington Capitals68285827212:20374
    13New Jersey Devils672212231180:20470
    14Toronto Maple Leafs692181228216:24170
    15Florida Panthers67267331201:22569
    16New York Rangers67199831190:20964

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )

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