Tampa Bay Lightning vs San Jose Sharks – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Benchmark International Arena (Tampa, FL).

NHL
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	DAZN Italia
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv

Match Stats


Shots on Goal
20	23
Shots off target
23	4
Shooting PCT
20% (4/20)	4.35% (1/23)
Blocked shots
18	15
Goalkeeper Saves
22	16
Saves PCT
95.65% (22/23)	84.21% (16/19)
Penalties
1	1
PIM
2	2
Power-play Goals
0	0
Shorthanded Goals
0	0
Power-play PCT
0% (0/1)	0% (0/1)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (1/1)	100% (1/1)
Hits
13	29
Faceoffs Won
22	28
Faceoffs %
44	56
Giveaways
18	13
Takeaways
1	7
Empty Net Goals
1	0

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Period (1 - 1)
14:37, 0 - 1, Toffoli T. (G), Eklund W. (A), Wennberg A. (A2)
15:10, 1 - 1, Hagel B. (G), Cirelli A. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
01:49, 2 - 1, Cirelli A. (G), Hagel B. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
03:17, 3 - 1, Guentzel J. (G), James D. (A), Goncalves G. (A2)
06:51, Reaves R. (2 min),
12:57, (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
17:41, 4 - 1, Hagel B. (G), Guentzel J. (A), Moser J.J. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning

Tampa Bay Lightning
61.4%

Draw
18.9%

San Jose Sharks
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

20.7%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

21.3%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tampa Bay Lightning's performance.

San Jose Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tampa Bay Lightning that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Sharks than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Jose Sharks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tampa Bay Lightning - San Jose Sharks Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.71)	5.05 ↑ (4.56)	4.79 ↑ (3.92)	5% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning - San Jose Sharks?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -1.5, OT - San Jose (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Tampa Bay Lightning will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 50%). San Jose (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:1.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 4.
Tampa Bay is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, San Jose has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Tampa Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of away games.
In this match, Tampa Bay is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Tampa Bay: Hedman V. (Elbow Injury) Lilleberg E. (Injury) McDonagh R. (Injury) Point B. (Lower-Body Injury) Sabourin S. (Head Injury)
There will not play in San Jose: Couture L. (Groin Injury) Dellandrea T. (Lower-Body Injury) Kurashev P. (Upper-Body Injury) Mukhamadullin S. (Upper-Body Injury) Price C. (Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 84:43. (average 4.2:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 41:20. (average 4.6:2.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Lightning won against San Jose Sharks?

Tampa Bay Lightning has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has San Jose Sharks won against Tampa Bay Lightning?

San Jose Sharks has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Lightning - San Jose Sharks were as follows:

03.01.2026 San Jose Sharks - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:7

02.01.2025 San Jose Sharks - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:1

05.12.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - San Jose Sharks 8:1

21.03.2024 San Jose Sharks - Tampa Bay Lightning 1:4

26.10.2023 Tampa Bay Lightning - San Jose Sharks 6:0

Latest results of Tampa Bay Lightning

18.01.2026 Dallas Stars - Tampa Bay Lightning 1:4 ✺

16.01.2026 St. Louis Blues - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:2 ✺

13.01.2026 Pittsburgh Penguins - Tampa Bay Lightning 1:2 ✺

12.01.2026 Philadelphia Flyers - Tampa Bay Lightning 1:5 ✺

10.01.2026 Philadelphia Flyers - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:7 ✺

Latest results of San Jose Sharks

19.01.2026 Florida Panthers - San Jose Sharks 1:4 ✺

16.01.2026 Detroit Red Wings - San Jose Sharks 4:2 ✺

15.01.2026 Washington Capitals - San Jose Sharks 2:3 ✺

11.01.2026 San Jose Sharks - Vegas Golden Knights 2:7 ✺

10.01.2026 San Jose Sharks - Dallas Stars 5:4 ✺

NHL Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Colorado Avalanche	55	34	3	9	9	212:138	83
2	Minnesota Wild	58	21	13	10	14	196:169	78
3	Dallas Stars	57	28	6	9	14	193:160	77
4	Vegas Golden Knights	57	20	7	14	16	191:179	68
5	Utah Mammoth	57	23	7	4	23	183:157	64
6	Edmonton Oilers	58	21	7	8	22	198:194	64
7	Seattle Kraken	56	21	6	9	20	162:165	63
8	Anaheim Ducks	56	18	12	3	23	185:195	63
9	Los Angeles Kings	56	14	9	14	19	146:161	60
10	Nashville Predators	57	19	7	7	24	169:198	59
11	San Jose Sharks	55	16	11	4	24	171:193	58
12	Chicago Blackhawks	57	17	5	9	26	154:185	53
13	Winnipeg Jets	56	20	2	8	26	160:175	52
14	Calgary Flames	56	19	4	6	27	142:169	52
15	St. Louis Blues	57	19	1	9	28	147:203	49
16	Vancouver Canucks	57	12	6	6	33	149:210	42

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Tampa Bay Lightning	55	28	9	4	14	199:140	78
2	Carolina Hurricanes	57	26	10	6	15	197:163	78
3	Montreal Canadiens	57	21	11	8	17	199:187	72
4	Detroit Red Wings	58	23	10	6	19	174:175	72
5	Pittsburgh Penguins	56	25	4	12	15	192:169	70
6	Buffalo Sabres	57	26	6	6	19	195:176	70
7	Boston Bruins	57	24	8	5	20	195:182	69
8	New York Islanders	58	22	10	5	21	169:162	69
9	Columbus Blue Jackets	56	20	9	7	20	179:177	65
10	Washington Capitals	59	24	5	7	23	189:177	65
11	Toronto Maple Leafs	57	19	8	9	21	188:194	63
12	Ottawa Senators	57	22	6	7	22	191:184	63
13	Philadelphia Flyers	56	18	7	11	20	167:180	61
14	Florida Panthers	57	23	6	3	25	174:191	61
15	New Jersey Devils	57	18	10	2	27	146:175	58
16	New York Rangers	57	14	8	6	29	151:180	50

Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )