Result
1:0
12/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 13
- Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TNT Sports |
 China | K-Ball |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.15 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (403/479) | 78% (253/325) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (403/479) | 78% (253/325) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (17/40) | 44% (26/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (60/96) | 63% (52/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 41% (9/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (16/18) | 55% (12/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 46 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Martinez D. 🟨,
- 41', Ferrari G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Cecchini E. ↓, Tripichio N. ↑,
- 52', Brizuela M. 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 0, Vombergar A. ⚽, Cerutti E. (A),
- 62', Franco N. ↓, Lamendola N. ↑,
- 66', Romana J. 🟨,
- 68', Auzqui C. ↓, Bajamich M. ↑,
- 68', Coronel M. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
- 75', Cerutti E. ↓, Cuello A. ↑,
- 80', Martinez D. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
- 87', Baez E. ↓, Rodriguez Pagano T. ↑,
- 88', Orihuela M. 🟨,
- 88', Tripichio N. 🟨,
- 90+1', Muniain I. ↓, Dominguez N. ↑,
- 90+2', Herrera E. 🟨,
- 90+5', Diaz L. 🟨,
- 90+5', Cuello A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
San Lorenzo
49.5% | Draw
29.3% | Atlético Tucumán
21.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Lorenzo's form might have worsened.Atlético Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+8.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Lorenzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (-5%)
San Lorenzo - Atlético Tucumán Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.65) |
3.18 ↓
(3.62) |
4.48 ↓
(5.75) |
6.4%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for San Lorenzo - Atlético Tucumán?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Atlético Tucumán will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. San Lorenzo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 1.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- San Lorenzo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match San Lorenzo is a favorite.
- There will not play in San Lorenzo: Altamirano F.
(Broken Hand)
Tripichio N.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Atlético Tucumán: Brandan M.
(Inactive)
Infante J.
(Injury)
Tesuri R.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in San Lorenzo: Reali M.
(Injury)
- Last 10 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:10 (average 1.2:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams San Lorenzo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has San Lorenzo won against Atlético Tucumán?
San Lorenzo has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Tucumán won against San Lorenzo?
Atlético Tucumán has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Lorenzo - Atlético Tucumán were as follows:
10.08.2024
San Lorenzo
-
Atlético Tucumán
0:1
08.04.2023
Atlético Tucumán
-
San Lorenzo
1:3
10.09.2022
San Lorenzo
-
Atlético Tucumán
1:1
Latest results of San Lorenzo
Latest results of Atlético Tucumán
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barracas Central | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 14 |
| 2 | Central Cordoba | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Union de Santa Fe | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Estudiantes L.P | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Huracan | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Banfield | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Argentinos Jrs | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Ind. Rivadavia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Tigre | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Belgrano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Newells Old Boys | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 | Racing Club | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1:8 | -7 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:4 | 10 | 15 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Dep. Riestra | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | San Lorenzo | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:5 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | Lanus | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Atl. Tucuman | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 | San Martin S.J | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Godoy Cruz | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Platense | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | Instituto | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2:10 | -8 | 6 |
| 14 | Talleres Cordoba | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 5 |
| 15 | Independiente | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
