Independiente vs San Lorenzo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
21/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 9
  • Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia Solo Calcio
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
peruPeruDisney+
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1, #Vamos
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesDubai Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.130.83
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
46
Shots on target
03
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
13
Passes
71% (273/383)60% (144/241)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.130.83
xG on target (xGOT)
0.001.07
Total shots
46
Shots on target
03
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
00
Shots inside the Box
34
Shots outside the Box
12
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
13
Touches in opposition box
118
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
2317
Passes
71% (273/383)60% (144/241)
Long passes
39% (22/56)25% (13/52)
Passes in final third
45% (40/88)49% (35/72)
Crosses
22% (2/9)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.19
Throw-ins
2922
Fouls
1723
Tackles
47% (9/19)64% (16/25)
Duels won
6863
Clearances
1523
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
1.070.00
Goals prevented
0.070.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 37', 0 - 1, Gulli F. , Cuello A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Valdez S. , Cabral L. ,
  • 46', Abaldo M. , Paredes F. ,
  • 63', Galdames P. , Loyola F. ,
  • 65', Gulli F. , Rattalino J. ,
  • 65', Reali M. , Ladstatter A. ,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Tripichio N. (Own goal),
  • 70', Vera F. , Rodrigo Fernandez ,
  • 82', Tripichio N. , Salinardi Branco ,
  • 82', Cerutti E. , Herrera E. ,
  • 84', Avalos G. , Pussetto I. ,
  • 90+1', Montiel S. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Salinardi Branco 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente
35.2%
Draw
36.1%
San Lorenzo
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 31.7% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 32.1% 25.9%

Independiente - San Lorenzo Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.22
(2.23)
2.97
(2.96)
3.63
(3.58)
-7.7%
(6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Independiente - San Lorenzo?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). San Lorenzo will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 16.1%74.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. San Lorenzo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 1.
    • Independiente is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • San Lorenzo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Independiente might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in San Lorenzo: Arias N. (Knee Injury) Insaurralde M. (Elbow Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 0.6:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.4:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - San Lorenzo were as follows:
    08.03.2025 San Lorenzo - Independiente 1:2
    03.08.2024 Independiente - San Lorenzo 0:0
    01.04.2023 San Lorenzo - Independiente 0:0
    Latest results of Independiente
    Latest results of San Lorenzo
    Draw
    Clausura - Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Boca JuniorsTalleres Cordoba2 : 0
    2Velez SarsfieldArgentinos Jrs0 : 2
    3Racing ClubRiver Plate3 : 2
    4LanusTigre0 : 1
    5Dep. RiestraBarracas Central0 : 1
    6Union de Santa FeGimnasia L.P.1 : 2
    7Central CordobaSan Lorenzo2 : 1
    8Rosario CentralEstudiantes L.P.0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Boca JuniorsArgentinos Jrs1 : 0
    2Racing ClubTigre1 : 0
    3Barracas CentralGimnasia L.P.0 : 2
    4Central CordobaEstudiantes L.P.0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Boca JuniorsRacing Club0 : 1
    2Gimnasia L.P.Estudiantes L.P.

    Final
    1Racing ClubTBD #2