Independiente vs San Lorenzo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
21/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 9
  • Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia Solo Calcio
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
peruPeruDisney+
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1, #Vamos
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesDubai Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.130.83
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
46
Shots on target
03
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
13
Passes
71% (273/383)60% (144/241)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.130.83
xG on target (xGOT)
0.001.07
Total shots
46
Shots on target
03
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
00
Shots inside the Box
34
Shots outside the Box
12
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
13
Touches in opposition box
118
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
2317
Passes
71% (273/383)60% (144/241)
Long passes
39% (22/56)25% (13/52)
Passes in final third
45% (40/88)49% (35/72)
Crosses
22% (2/9)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.19
Throw-ins
2922
Fouls
1723
Tackles
47% (9/19)64% (16/25)
Duels won
6863
Clearances
1523
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
1.070.00
Goals prevented
0.070.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 37', 0 - 1, Gulli F. , Cuello A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Valdez S. , Cabral L. ,
  • 46', Abaldo M. , Paredes F. ,
  • 63', Galdames P. , Loyola F. ,
  • 65', Gulli F. , Rattalino J. ,
  • 65', Reali M. , Ladstatter A. ,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Tripichio N. (Own goal),
  • 70', Vera F. , Rodrigo Fernandez ,
  • 82', Tripichio N. , Salinardi Branco ,
  • 82', Cerutti E. , Herrera E. ,
  • 84', Avalos G. , Pussetto I. ,
  • 90+1', Montiel S. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Salinardi Branco 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente
35.2%
Draw
36.1%
San Lorenzo
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 31.7% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 32.1% 25.9%

Independiente - San Lorenzo Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.22
(2.23)
2.97
(2.96)
3.63
(3.58)
-7.7%
(6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Independiente - San Lorenzo?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). San Lorenzo will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 16.1%74.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. San Lorenzo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Independiente (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 1 - 25%). San Lorenzo (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 1.
    • Independiente is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • San Lorenzo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Independiente might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in San Lorenzo: Arias N. (Knee Injury) Insaurralde M. (Elbow Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 0.6:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.4:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - San Lorenzo were as follows:
    08.03.2025 San Lorenzo - Independiente 1:2
    03.08.2024 Independiente - San Lorenzo 0:0
    01.04.2023 San Lorenzo - Independiente 0:0
    Latest results of Independiente
    Latest results of San Lorenzo
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield43106:3310
    2Lanus42208:628
    3Estudiantes L.P42204:228
    4Defensa y Justicia42204:228
    5Platense42114:317
    6Boca Juniors42025:416
    7Independiente41304:316
    8San Lorenzo42024:406
    9Gimnasia Mendoza42022:5-36
    10Union de Santa Fe41125:324
    11Talleres Cordoba41125:6-14
    12Central Cordoba41121:2-14
    13Instituto40133:6-31
    14Dep. Riestra40131:4-31
    15Newells Old Boys40134:8-41


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia44007:3412
    2Tigre431010:3710
    3Belgrano42204:228
    4River Plate42114:407
    5Sarmiento Junin42024:406
    6Gimnasia L.P42025:6-16
    7Barracas Central41213:215
    8Rosario Central41214:405
    9Huracan41214:405
    10Argentinos Jrs41212:205
    11Banfield41123:4-14
    12Aldosivi40312:4-23
    13Racing Club41035:8-33
    14Atl. Tucuman40223:5-22
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto40131:5-41

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)