Result
1:2
08/03/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 9
- Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TNT Sports |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV, SI Solo Calcio, Sport Italia, Sportitalia Solo Calcio |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 27 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (155/241) | 73% (249/340) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 53% (45/85) | 59% (56/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 27% (7/26) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 48% (13/27) | 77% (17/22) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 42 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Millan L. ⚽, Loyola F. (A),
- 22', 1 - 1, Vombergar A. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Tripichio N. ↓, Dominguez N. ↑,
- 53', Tarzia D. 🟨,
- 59', Tarzia D. ↓, Salle S. ↑,
- 59', Millan L. ↓, Cabral L. ↑,
- 62', Cuello A. ↓, Peralta J. ↑,
- 73', Loyola F. 🟨,
- 74', 1 - 2, Loyola F. ⚽,
- 80', Reali M. ↓, Muniain I. ↑,
- 80', Vombergar A. ↓, Cerutti E. ↑,
- 86', Peralta J. 🟨,
- 89', Hidalgo S. ↓, Sporle A. ↑,
Chances of winning
San Lorenzo
30.9% | Draw
33.4% | Independiente
35.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Lorenzo's form might have worsened.Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Lorenzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
San Lorenzo - Independiente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.06 ↑
(2.51) |
2.83 ↓
(2.98) |
2.66 ↓
(3.02) |
5.6%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Watch this match and Argentinian Liga Profesional with fubo (for US customers) Network on : TyC Sports
What is the prediction for San Lorenzo - Independiente?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Independiente will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 13.8% – 69.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 1.
- At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
- San Lorenzo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in San Lorenzo: Altamirano F.
(Broken Hand)
Muniain I.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Independiente: Millan L.
(Injury)
Sporle A.
(Injury)
- Last 15 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:8 (average 0.9:0.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams San Lorenzo won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 0.8:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has San Lorenzo won against Independiente?
San Lorenzo has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente won against San Lorenzo?
Independiente has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Lorenzo - Independiente were as follows:
03.08.2024
Independiente
-
San Lorenzo
0:0
01.04.2023
San Lorenzo
-
Independiente
0:0
Latest results of San Lorenzo
Latest results of Independiente
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barracas Central | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 2 | Defensa y Justicia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Estudiantes L.P | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Huracan | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 9 |
| 5 | Union de Santa Fe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | Belgrano | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 8 |
| 7 | Tigre | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Central Cordoba | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Banfield | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Boca Juniors | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 11 | Newells Old Boys | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Argentinos Jrs | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Ind. Rivadavia | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Racing Club | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 11 |
| 2 | Lanus | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | San Lorenzo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 8 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 8 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Dep. Riestra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Gimnasia L.P | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Atl. Tucuman | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Junin | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Platense | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | San Martin S.J | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Talleres Cordoba | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Instituto | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:9 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 | Godoy Cruz | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Independiente | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
