Result
1:0 penalties
05/07/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Argentina - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 74% | 26% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (504/582) | 66% (142/215) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (504/582) | 66% (142/215) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (32/53) | 33% (15/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (109/147) | 55% (31/56) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (11/31) | 40% (2/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Gulli F. 🟨,
- 20', Baez E. 🟨,
- 24', Vombergar A. (Pen),
- 43', Bindella A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Kaprof J. ↓, Belinetz O. ↑,
- 57', Perruzzi I. 🟨,
- 65', Gulli F. ↓, Insaurralde M. ↑,
- 69', Bindella A. 🟨,
- 70', Machado C. ↓, Capano J. ↑,
- 71', Mino M. ↓, Postigo J. ↑,
- 80', Allende L. 🟨,
- 80', Roseti M. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
- 87', Tripichio N. ↓, Salinardi Branco ↑,
- 90+1', Cerutti E. 🟨,
- 90+3', Ramirez I. 🟨,
- Penalties (4 - 3)
- 1, Allende L. (Pen),
- 1, Vombergar A. (Pen),
- 2, Belinetz O. (Pen),
- 2, Cuello A. (Pen),
- 3, Aranda G. (Pen),
- 3, Herrera E. (Pen),
- 4, Ramirez I. (Pen),
- 4, Baez E. (Pen),
- 5, Flores F. (Pen),
Chances of winning
San Lorenzo
52.1% | Draw
29.4% | Quilmes
18.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Lorenzo's form might have worsened.Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Lorenzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
San Lorenzo - Quilmes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↑
(1.58) |
3.17 ↓
(3.51) |
5.06 ↓
(6.69) |
7.2%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for San Lorenzo - Quilmes?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Quilmes will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Neutral location.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 4.
- San Lorenzo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Quilmes has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Quilmes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, San Lorenzo is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, San Lorenzo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has San Lorenzo won against Quilmes?
San Lorenzo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Quilmes won against San Lorenzo?
Quilmes has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Lorenzo - Quilmes were as follows:
Latest results of San Lorenzo
Latest results of Quilmes
Draw
20251/32-finals| 1 | San Lorenzo | Sportivo Las Parejas | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Central Cordoba | Quilmes | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Tigre | Berazategui | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Banfield | Villa Mitre | 1 : 0 |
| 5 | Platense | Argentino de Quilmes | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Ind. Rivadavia | CA Estudiantes | 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Sarmiento Junin | Central Cordoba | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Gimnasia L.P. | Deportivo Espanol | 1 : 0 |
| 9 | Racing Club | Santamarina | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | San Martin S.J. | Gimnasia Jujuy | 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Dep. Riestra | San Telmo | 3 : 2 |
| 12 | Talleres Cordoba | Deportivo Armenio | 3 : 4 |
| 13 | Rosario Central | Los Andes | 1 : 0 |
| 14 | Union de Santa Fe | Colegiales | 3 : 1 |
| 15 | San Martin T. | Colon Santa Fe | 1 : 0 |
| 16 | River Plate | Ciudad Bolivar | 2 : 0 |
| 17 | Boca Juniors | Argentino MM | 5 : 0 |
| 18 | Atl. Tucuman | All Boys | 2 : 1 |
| 19 | Defensa y Justicia | Racing Cordoba | 3 : 1 |
| 20 | Newells Old Boys | Kimberley | 1 : 0 |
| 21 | Belgrano | Real Pilar | 3 : 1 |
| 22 | Barracas Central | Def. de Belgrano | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Gimnasia Mendoza | Nueva Chicago | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Independiente | Sportivo Belgrano | 2 : 0 |
| 25 | Estudiantes L.P. | Sarmiento de La Banda | 2 : 1 |
| 26 | Aldosivi | Gimnasia y Tiro | 2 : 1 |
| 27 | Godoy Cruz | Excursionistas | 0 : 1 |
| 28 | Argentinos Jrs | Central Norte | 3 : 0 |
| 29 | Lanus | General Lamadrid | 4 : 0 |
| 30 | Velez Sarsfield | Midland | 1 : 0 |
| 31 | Instituto | Deportivo Madryn | 3 : 0 |
| 32 | Huracan | San Martin Formosa | 2 : 1 |
1/16-finals| 1 | San Lorenzo | Quilmes | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Tigre | Banfield | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Platense | Ind. Rivadavia | 2 : 3 |
| 4 | Central Cordoba | Gimnasia L.P. | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Racing Club | San Martin S.J. | 3 : 1 |
| 6 | Dep. Riestra | Deportivo Armenio | 3 : 2 |
| 7 | Rosario Central | Union de Santa Fe | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | San Martin T. | River Plate | 0 : 3 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors | Atl. Tucuman | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Defensa y Justicia | Newells Old Boys | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Belgrano | Def. de Belgrano | 3 : 2 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | Independiente | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Estudiantes L.P. | Aldosivi | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Excursionistas | Argentinos Jrs | 0 : 3 |
| 15 | Lanus | Velez Sarsfield | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Instituto | Huracan | 0 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | San Lorenzo | Tigre | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Ind. Rivadavia | Central Cordoba | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Racing Club | Dep. Riestra | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Union de Santa Fe | River Plate | 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Atl. Tucuman | Newells Old Boys | 2 : 3 |
| 6 | Belgrano | Independiente | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Aldosivi | Argentinos Jrs | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Lanus | Huracan | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Tigre | Ind. Rivadavia | 1 : 3 |
| 2 | Racing Club | River Plate | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Newells Old Boys | Belgrano | 1 : 3 |
| 4 | Argentinos Jrs | Lanus | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | River Plate | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Belgrano | Argentinos Jrs | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | Argentinos Jrs | |
