San Lorenzo vs Quilmes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0 penalties
05/07/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Argentina - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.290.16
Ball Possession
74%26%
Total shots
134
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
87% (504/582)66% (142/215)
Yellow Cards
44
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.290.16
xG on target (xGOT)
1.150.00
Total shots
134
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
73
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
249
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1813
Passes
87% (504/582)66% (142/215)
Long passes
60% (32/53)33% (15/45)
Passes in final third
74% (109/147)55% (31/56)
Crosses
35% (11/31)40% (2/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.840.20
Throw-ins
2613
Fouls
1318
Tackles
56% (10/18)72% (13/18)
Duels won
6150
Clearances
1342
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.001.15
Goals prevented
0.001.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Gulli F. 🟨,
  • 20', Baez E. 🟨,
  • 24', Vombergar A. (Pen),
  • 43', Bindella A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 55', Kaprof J. , Belinetz O. ,
  • 57', Perruzzi I. 🟨,
  • 65', Gulli F. , Insaurralde M. ,
  • 69', Bindella A. 🟨,
  • 70', Machado C. , Capano J. ,
  • 71', Mino M. , Postigo J. ,
  • 80', Allende L. 🟨,
  • 80', Roseti M. , Martinez R. ,
  • 87', Tripichio N. , Salinardi Branco ,
  • 90+1', Cerutti E. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Ramirez I. 🟨,
  • Penalties (4 - 3)
  • 1, Allende L. (Pen),
  • 1, Vombergar A. (Pen),
  • 2, Belinetz O. (Pen),
  • 2, Cuello A. (Pen),
  • 3, Aranda G. (Pen),
  • 3, Herrera E. (Pen),
  • 4, Ramirez I. (Pen),
  • 4, Baez E. (Pen),
  • 5, Flores F. (Pen),

Chances of winning


San Lorenzo
52.1%
Draw
29.4%
Quilmes
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.3% 26.7% 14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7% 26.1% 13.7%

San Lorenzo - Quilmes Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.79
(1.58)
3.17
(3.51)
5.06
(6.69)
7.2%
(6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for San Lorenzo - Quilmes?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Quilmes will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/E Goals - odd (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 4.
    • San Lorenzo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Quilmes has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Quilmes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, San Lorenzo is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Lorenzo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
    Latest results of San Lorenzo
    Latest results of Quilmes
    Draw
    2026

    1/32-finals
    1San LorenzoDeportivo Rincon
    2Dep. RiestraDeportivo Maipu
    3Newells Old BoysAcassuso
    4Gimnasia L.P.Deportivo Camioneros
    5BanfieldReal Pilar
    6Estudiantes Rio CuartoSan Martin T.
    7Godoy CruzDeportivo Moron
    8Argentinos JrsMidland1 : 2
    9Racing ClubSan Martin Formosa
    10Defensa y JusticiaChaco For Ever
    11Central CordobaGimnasia Jujuy
    12BelgranoAtl. Rafaela
    13Velez SarsfieldDeportivo Armenio
    14Gimnasia MendozaGimnasia y Tiro
    15Sarmiento JuninTristan Suarez
    16Boca JuniorsChivilcoy
    17River PlateCiudad Bolivar
    18AldosiviSan Miguel
    19Ind. RivadaviaCA Estudiantes2 : 0
    20TigreClaypole
    21Talleres CordobaArgentino de Merlo
    22Atl. TucumanSportivo Barracas
    23Union de Santa FeAgropecuario
    24IndependienteBiblioteca Atenas
    25PlatenseArgentino MM
    26San Martin S.J.Deportivo Madryn
    27InstitutoAtletico Atlanta
    28LanusSarmiento de La Banda4 : 1
    29Estudiantes L.P.Ituzaingo4 : 0
    30Rosario CentralSportivo Belgrano
    31Barracas CentralTemperley
    32HuracanOlimpo Bahia Blanca

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7Midland
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10Ind. RivadaviaTBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27Lanus
    15Estudiantes L.P.TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2